Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Cyrus Profile picture
Cyrus
@Cyrusontherun
Always on the run
Dec 5 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
On 5 December 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ -/- (No report)

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 137 (Kursk, Oryol, Millerovo, Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Chauda)
■ 80 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 57 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 58% neutralization ratio
■ 90 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 57 strike UAVs were recorded in 13 locations.

UAV count for December 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 537 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 379 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 158 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 71% average neutralization ratio
■ 325 Shahed launched (aproximately)Image UA🇺🇦 counter attack
Nov 26 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
On 24-25 November '25, Ru attacked with a massive, combined raid of kamikaze and decoy drones #Shahed-136, Geran, Gerberan, Parody and missiles.

It was not a record breaking day. Like on the 7 September '25. (+800 attack UAV).

The synchronized missile strike on Kyiv, 3 Iskander-M ballistic missiles, 4 Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" aeroballistic missiles, and 7 "Iskander-K" cruise missiles. The strike was very well synchronized, and the missiles entered Kyiv Oblast's airspace almost simultaneously. Despite this, the interception of even very complex targets was at a high level, and much greater destruction and deaths were avoided.

As seen in the chart the interception ratio increased again lately.Image The night, Odesa and Mykolaiv Oblasts were primarily terrorized by "Gerbera" decoy drones, which entered the airspace of neighboring Moldova and Romania.

Nov 21 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
Hit list of Ru🇷🇺 Oil refineries:

# 5 on hit list and 6 confirmed strikes:

Novokuybyshevsk, Samara, Russia🇷🇺
Operator: Rosneft
Location: 53.0941° N,49.9138°E
Distance: 1000 km
Production capacity: 88000.000 metric tons

Novokuybyshevsk faced six drone strikes, resulting in a 30% capacity reduction, a month-long shutdown, and regional diesel shortages.

UA🇺🇦 UAV or missile Strikes:
2024-03-23
2025-03-10
[2025-06-14] (Not refinery but adjacent petrochemical plant)
2025-08-02
2025-09-20
2025-10-19
2025-11-16Image # 4 on hit list with 6 confirmed strikes:

Syzran, Samara region, Russia🇷🇺
Operator: Rosneft
Location: 53.08°N, S°48.3877°E
Distance to 🇺🇦: 800 km
Capacity: 8.900.000

The refinery has been hit at least 6 times, with escalating damage in August 2025 leading to prolonged/full shutdowns. Repeated targeting of the ELOU-AVT-6/CDU-6 unit caused major capacity loss; actual 2024–2025 processing was far below potential (e.g., ~4.3 million tons in 2024 vs. 8.9 million capacity).

UA🇺🇦 UAV or missile Strikes:
2024-03-16
2025-02-19
2025-03-03
2025-08-15 = Direct hit on ELOU-AVT-6 primary processing unit (handles ~60% of output)
2025-08-24
2025-08-30 = Halted operationImage
Nov 14 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
On 14 November 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:
Missiles:
■ 2/3 Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" aeroballistic missiles (from Ryazan Oblast - RF).
■ 0/1 "Zircon" anti-ship missile.
■ 6/6 Iskander-K/Kalibr cruise missiles (from AR Crimea/Black Sea waters).
■ 6/9 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles (from Bryansk Oblast).

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 430 (Kursk, Millerovo, Oryol, Bryansk, Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Chauda)
■ 405 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 25 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 94% neutralization ratio
■ 300 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 15 missiles and 37 strike UAVs were recorded in 20 locations, and falling debris (fragments) in 4 locations.

UAV count for November 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 2315 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 1891 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 424 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 82% average neutralization ratio
■ 1500 Shahed launched (aproximately)Image During Russia's attack in Kyiv, a slab broke through the ceiling and fell onto a bed, resulting in the deaths of two people.

26 people were injured, and 3 have died.

▪️ Podilskyi district - hit on a multi-story building, 13 people rescued.
▪️ Dniprovskyi - fire extinguished in a five-story building, 17 people rescued; at another address - partial destruction of a building.
▪️ Darnytskyi - fire extinguished on school grounds.
▪️ Desnyanskyi - fire in a multi-story building, localized; 9 people rescued, 50 evacuated; one person unblocked from under the rubble.
▪️ Solomianskyi - fire in a residential building and on the roof, 20 people rescued.
▪️ Sviatoshynskyi - hit on a residential building, fire extinguished in a 22-story building.
▪️ Holosiivskyi - debris fell on hospital grounds; at another address - fire in a building.
▪️ Obolonskyi - hit on a 9-story building, apartments caught fire.
▪️ Shevchenkivskyi - fire in an open area.

Flight routesImage
Image
Nov 11 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
1/3 into November and the total number of #Shahed-type declined. Image The UAV are more sophisticated and in the meantime can turn loops.
Nov 11 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
On 11 November 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ -/- (No report)

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 119 (Kursk, Millerovo, Oryol, Bryansk, Hvardiiske)
■ 59 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 60 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 50% neutralization ratio
■ 80 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 59 strike UAVs were recorded in 18 locations, as well as falling debris (fragments) in one location.

UAV count for November 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 1626 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 1294 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 332 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 80% average neutralization ratio
■ 1040 Shahed launched (aproximately)Image UA🇺🇦 counter attack

Nov 10 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
On 10 November 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ -/2 Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" aeroballistic missiles from Tambov Oblast.
■ -/5 S-300/S-400 surface-to-air guided missiles from Kursk Oblast.

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 67 (Kursk, Millerovo, Oryol, Bryansk, Hvardiiske)
■ 52 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 15 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 78% neutralization ratio
■ 40 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 15 strike UAVs were recorded in 9 locations. Information regarding the missiles is being clarified. No impact or hit data has been received.

UAV count for November 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 1507 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 1235 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 272 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 82% average neutralization ratio
■ 960 Shahed launched (aproximately)Image UA🇺🇦 counter attack
Nov 7 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
On 7 November 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ -/- (No report)

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 128 (Kursk, Oryol, Millerovo, Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Chauda)
■ 94 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 34 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 73% neutralization ratio
■ 80 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 31 strike UAVs were recorded in 11 locations.

UAV count for November 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 913 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 743 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 170 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 81% average neutralization ratio
■ 570 Shahed launched (aproximately)Image UA🇺🇦 counter attack

Nov 6 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
On 6 November 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ -/- (No report)

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 135 (Kursk, Millerovo, Oryol, Primorsko-Akhtarsk)
■ 108 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 27 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 80% neutralization ratio
■ 90 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 27 strike UAVs were recorded in 13 locations.

UAV count for November 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 785 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 649 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 136 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 83% average neutralization ratio
■ 490 Shahed launched (aproximately)Image UA🇺🇦 counter attack

Nov 5 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
Russia launched a total of 268 missiles, with 152 intercepted (57% interception rate). This is a lower interception rate compared to September, attributed to Russia's shift towards targeting rear areas with single or grouped strikes of ballistic missiles like the Iskander-M (9M723). These strikes often target areas lacking Patriot or IRIS-T air defense systems capable of intercepting them.Image The Iskander-M missiles have reportedly undergone modernization, allowing for mid-course maneuvers, complicating interception efforts. Image
Nov 2 • 9 tweets • 5 min read
On 02 November 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ 0/2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles from Bryansk Oblast

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 79 (Kursk, Millerovo, Oryol, Primorsko-Akhtarsk)
■ 67 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 12 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 85% neutralization ratio
■ 50 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by one ballistic missile and 12 strike UAVs were recorded in 6 locations, as well as falling debris (fragments) in 2 locations.

UAV count for November 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 302 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 273 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 29 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 90% average neutralization ratio
■ 190 Shahed launched (aproximately)Image UA🇺🇦 counter attack 23:10 | 01/11

Approximate flight routes of our UAVs:

🔴Red arrow – directions of strike UAVs;

🔵Blue arrow - directions of jet UAVs;

All information regarding the routes is taken from Russian sources.

@drnb Image
Nov 1 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
On 01 November 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ -/- (No report)

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 223 (Kursk, Millerovo, Bryansk, Oryol, Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Hvardiiske)
■ 206 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 17 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 92% neutralization ratio
■ 140 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 17 strike UAVs were recorded in 7 locations.Image UA🇺🇦 counter attack was massive!

Oct 29 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
On 29 October 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ -/- (No report)

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 126 (Kursk, Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Donetsk, Chauda, Hvardiiske)
■ 93 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 33 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 74% neutralization ratio
■ 80 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 32 strike UAVs were recorded in 10 locations.

UAV count for October 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 4500 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 3522 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 978 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 78% average neutralization ratioImage Massive UA🇺🇦 counter attack
Oct 23 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
On 23 October 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ -/- (No report)

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 130 (Kursk, Millerovo, Shatalovo, Oryol, Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Chauda, Crimea)
■ 92 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 38 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 71% neutralization ratio
■ 80 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 25 strike UAVs were recorded in 11 locations, as well as falling debris (fragments) in 11 locations.

UAV count for October 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 3945 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 3125 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 820 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 79% average neutralization ratioImage UA🇺🇦 counter attack
Oct 19 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
On 19 October 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ -/- (No report)

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 62 (Millerovo, Kursk, Oryol, Shatalovo, Primorsko-Akhtarsk)
■ 40 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 22 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 65% neutralization ratio
■ 40 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 19 strike UAVs were recorded in 7 locations.

UAV count for October 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 3252 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 2604 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 648 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 80% average neutralization ratioImage UA🇺🇦 counter attack

Oct 17 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
It's only half way through October and there have already been more than 3000 #Shahed-type UAVs. Whether or not Ru🇷🇺 & Putin will refrain from large-scale UAV attacks before the aforementioned Trump & Putin meeting in Budapest remains to be seen. Image Yesterday's interception ratio was catastrophic. Only 50% of the attacking UAVs were intercepted. Image
Oct 13 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
On 13 October 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ -/- (No report)

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 82 (Oryol, Kursk, Primorsko-Akhtarsk)
■ 69 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 13 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 84% neutralization ratio
■ 50 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 13 strike UAVs were recorded in 7 locations, as well as falling debris (fragments) in 2 locations.

UAV count for October 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 2427 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 1955 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 472 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 81% average neutralization ratioImage UA🇺🇦 counter attack

Oct 11 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
On 11 October 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ -/- (No report)

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 78 (Oryol, Millerovo, Kursk, Chauda)
■ 54 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 24 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 69% neutralization ratio
■ 40 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by 21 strike UAVs were recorded in 6 locations.

UAV count for October 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 2227 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 1783 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 444 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 80% average neutralization ratioImage UA🇺🇦 counter attack

Oct 10 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
One third into the month of Oktober. The amount of #Shahed and missile launches increased. Image More than 2000 Shahed-type UAV launched. In average on July numbers. Interception ratio slightly down. Image
Oct 10 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
On 10 October 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ 1/2 Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" aeroballistic missiles from the airspace of Lipetsk Oblast - RF.
■ 4/14 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles (launch areas: TOT of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea; Rostov, Bryansk Oblast – RF).
■ 9/12 Iskander-K cruise missiles (launch areas: TOT of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea; Rostov, Bryansk Oblast – RF).
■ 1/4 Kh-59/69 guided air missiles.

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 465 (Kursk, Millerovo, Shatalovo, Oryol, Shakhty, Primorsko-Akhtarsk)
■ 405 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 60 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 87% neutralization ratio
■ 200 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Direct hits by 13 missiles and 60 attack UAVs were recorded in 19 locations and falling debris (fragments) in 7 locations.

UAV count for October 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 2149 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 1729 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 420 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 80% average neutralization ratioImage Flight movements of missile and UAV attack Image
Oct 7 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
On 7 October 2025 Ru🇷🇺 launched:

Missiles:
■ 0/2 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles from Rostov Oblast

#Shahed-type & attack UAV:
■ 152 (Oryol, Kursk, Shatalovo, Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Chauda)
■ 88 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 64 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 58% neutralization ratio
■ 80 Shahed launched (aproximately)

As a result of the Ru🇷🇺. Hits by two missiles and 52 strike UAVs were recorded in 10 locations, as well as falling debris (fragments) in 2 locations.

UAV count for October 2025 that Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 1389 launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 1083 downed & lost [EW, decoy, malfunction] reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 306 hits reported by UA🇺🇦
■ 78% average neutralization ratioImage UA🇺🇦 counter attack