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Damian Lyons Lowe Profile picture
Damian Lyons Lowe
@DamianSurvation
Founder, Chief Exec. Father of 4. Northerner, Londoner. I lead our research offering. https://t.co/juTtUUKwkX damian.lyonslowe@survation.com
Oct 5, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Current Voting Intention by news source (Newspapers). 🧵

Considering right-leaning Newspaper readership, only people primarily getting their news from Daily Mail are more likely to say they will vote for the Conservatives than Labour, and then only by a small (2%) margin: Image The Sun Readers National Prediction: Labour majority 96

In a General Election held today, with voting restricted to only those getting their news from The Sun (sample 2234) Sir Keir Starmer would enter Downing Street with a hefty majority, based on a 12 point lead. Image
May 24, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
🧵 1/4 @VasilSurvation had a little look at YouGov's very eye catching Scotland MRP release today.
Here's a table for context, with the implied *National* vote share of their MRP comped against today's Mori poll and Survation's last published Scotland figures: Image 2/4 Generally speaking, we'd be happier if an MRP projection produced had implied national vote share similar to our views on Scotland as a *whole* - if the seat estimates were correct - they should tally. That was true in the 2019 & 2017 GEs.
Mar 22, 2022 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
In relation to polling Russia at this time, there is discussion about the level of people declining to speak to (CATI) telephone interviewers as evidence that Russians are uncomfortable sharing their truthful views to researchers & polls are not therefore representative 🧵 It is logical to consider that members of the Russian public receiving telephone calls to their personal mobiles or home telephones with anti-government or anti-war views might be less likely to want to communicate those views to interviewers...
Apr 6, 2021 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
Some notes on our Hartlepool polling and a new phenomenon, *Brexit Party* Amnesia - a feature, not a bug. We interviewed 500+ Hartlepool residents last week & as can be seen from the data tables the number of people stating "The Brexit Party" to the question "Thinking back to the general election in December 2019, which party did you vote for, or did you not vote? was really low.