David Brady (@davebrady72.bsky.social) Profile picture
@UCRSPP, @WZB_Berlin, public policy professor, father, recovering Pirates fan, he/him, poverty/racial inequality/immigration/social policy/health
ORHAN ŞAHİN Profile picture 1 subscribed
Aug 24, 2023 11 tweets 3 min read
Poverty, not the poor | Science Advances

My new article just got released in Science Advances today. The article is open access. I try to both describe the nature of America's "systemically high poverty" and review explanations of it.science.org/doi/full/10.11… Here’s the abstract. Image
Jan 12, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
The CDC's Social Vulnerability Index uses "minority status" as an *indicator* of "vulnerability." Even tho racial composition surely predicts vulnerability (i.e. racism), isn't there something problematic to equating vulnerability with having racial minorities in a Census tract? To be clear, I've only learned of these SVI measures from my interdisciplinary colleagues. These are apparently some sort of industry standard in e.g. natural disaster research. But, I was coming from sociological lit on n'hood disadvantage, which omits these (justifiably IMO).
Nov 12, 2021 16 tweets 4 min read
This is an impressive paper that makes some valuable contributions. I’m curious about this decision to allocate public healthcare expenditures as a lump sum to everyone (equally). This treats the extremely expensive US healthcare system as one gigantic universal social policy. US healthcare is very expensive partly bc it is most privatized (bradydave.files.wordpress.com/2016/03/bradye…) & bc US is very unhealthy. This dramatically inflates health spending as % of GDP. This paper takes public spending on healthcare (inflated by above) & distributes it *EQUALLY* to everyone?
May 6, 2021 7 tweets 2 min read
Lots of people say there is an intergenerational "cycle" of poverty - as poverty is inherited. BUT, there is surprisingly little actual empirical evidence of this with high quality income & poverty measures and long panel data. This thread reports some estimates w/ @umpsid All these estimates use Cross-National Equivalent File, which has high quality post-fisc income data. From that, I calculate relative poverty as less than 50% of median post-fisc equivalized household income. These choices are essential to doing this properly but rarely done.
Oct 16, 2020 18 tweets 5 min read
Our article on deep & extreme poverty is now available @Demography (w/ @ZParolin). We provide estimates of the levels & trends in both deep and extreme poverty 1993-2016. IMO, we substantially advance beyond past research on this topic. link.springer.com/article/10.100… Our most important finding is that there are disturbingly high levels of deep & extreme poverty in the US. In 2016, we estimate that 5.2 to 7.2 million Americans (1.6% to 2.2%) were deeply poor and 2.6 to 3.7 million (0.8% to 1.2%) were extremely poor.