I did Climate Monitoring for @NOAANCEI for 12 yrs; I'm rarely stunned by our findings. Yesterday when the climate monitoring team briefed this, it took me five minutes just to process the magnitude. Read the full report (below); here's a small supplemental thread. (1/n)

https://twitter.com/NOAANCEI/status/1702340860749467862

@NOAANCEI The role of El Nino in this is clear, but maybe not solely in the "EN plus long-term warming causes spike" sort of way. The reality is the Atlantic is super warm, and has been for months (attached maps from report; red: warmest of 174 years; deep coral: top 10% of same).

Ten years ago, my wife went into labor, while due on Nov 1. Through the wonder of science, she spent three weeks in suspended labor, and through the wonder of science, the human being she birthed, unable to breathe on his own, was breathed for by an apparatus. Today ... 1/n ... that human being, shot into this world unbreathing, literally fitting in my hand, now hits his head on doorways (Fig. 1). We all giggle at it, and you don't want to sit next to him on an aeroplane, but please, allow me a moment to speak on our relationship with science 2/n

Meteorological Summer starts next week. Leon County (Tallahassee) FL is an extreme example that *overnight* temperatures drive diffs in 21stC vs 20thC summer (JJA) warmth. tl;dr: close to the same old afternoons; colossally different nights and mornings. Details follow. 1/n What you're looking at: each image shows temperature, Tmax (afternoon high) or Tmin (morning low), for each day in June, July, & August (JJA), for 1951-2000 (20thC, grey) and 2001-19 (21stC, red), laid in a distribution. Cooler on the left; warmer on the right. 2/n

A short thread about Big Rain and the Hydrologic Cycle (no, not the 80s band of the same name). Please note I will use technically imprecise words (e.g., the atmosphere "holding" more water vapor). If this bothers you, stop reading, take a walk, and reflect on your pedantry.1/n As the world warms, and specifically as the lower atmosphere and adjacent waters, soils, and biosphere warm, the atmosphere can hold more water vapor, and can therefore potentially deliver more precipitation when the meteorology makes precip. 2/n

Dear #ClimateTwitter - I've seen your recent tweets about mental wear-and-tear from the staggering amount of work before you, often draped in a blanket of hateful resentment about your work. I have felt it too, for 15 years. Let me tell you a true story about why you matter. 1/n I'm from Oklahoma. You know about a big part of our climate history. They've written novels about it. Woody wrote songs about it. We lost a fifth of our population to it. 2/n

Occasional* Reminder that the choice of base period for global temperatures does not change trends or other findings. And a bit of an explainer on the choices we make (1/n)

* - "occasional" typically means "I spent some time on the phone on this today" The pretty graphic upthread is the annual global temperature anomaly (or departure) from the 20th century average. Each red dot is an individual year. Dots above the black line were warmer than the 20th century average; dots below were cooler than the 20th century average. 2/n

A way to think about the relationship between changing climate and Big Weather. Consider parent/child, teacher/student, coach/athlete, mentor/apprentice relationships. The parent (climate) rarely dictates day to day actions, but is hugely influential in long-term outcomes 1/4 I have a teenage boy. He can do "extreme behavior" if the ... wait for it ... right set of ingredients come together in the short term. If we hadn't named him something else, we could have named him weather. (2/4)

Cool science lesson here. A few days ago, I marveled at the change in afternoon temperatures at Miami Intl Airport. Today, I literally gasped at the change at Miami Beach (image attached here, several more images to come, I'll re-bundle them at the end of this thread) 1/n To state the obvious, it's nuts. Half the late summer afternoon temperatures of the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s literally don't happen in late summer any more. They're extinct. Half of Miami Beach's late summer afternoons have gone extinct. And that's not the science lesson. 2/n

If you’ve wondered why the battered reporter on the coast riding out the hurricane is such a weirdly compelling scene, here’s why ... 1/n In a previous life, i was a PhD student in adult education. I studied adult learning & development. My research framework was narrative inquiry, studying adult learning through the prism of a story arc in the learner and the narrative artifacts people make and leave behind. 2/n

Here's a primer on interplay between ENSO (el Nino and La Niña) and global temperature (1/n) A few things to notice: A) El Niño months generally warmer than their "neighbors" (in time). 2/n