Everything was wrong about the IBB transition ab initio and the signs were all there.
Every thing was right about the IBB transition ab initio and again, the signs were all there.
Both statements are true but only depending on how you look at it - first, the 2nd; then the 1st:
Shortly after kicking Buhari out in 1985, IBB set up a Political Bureau comprised of members like Edwin Madunagu the leftist ideologue, Hilda Adefarasin, Pascal Bafyau, Tunde Adeniran, Sam Oyovbaire and others.
Edwin was a no-nonsense man and soon quit the whole thing.
The idea behind the Bureau was to find the best ways by which Nigeria should be governed and they took their sweet time doing it, spending almost a year before another C'ttee headed by Major-General Paul Omu was set up to examine the work they had done.
It is merely an expression of pain from people who were demonized for warning about a coming catastrophe which they now have to endure twice: first in imagination of the future they saw and now in reality, by no fault of theirs.
There's a reason everytime the owners of Nigeria feel that a political intervention in power at the highest level is needed, they always without turn to someone from the old guard of the military.
NO OTHER GROUP in Nigeria operates with such Precision, one forged in fire.
Those guys held meetings to organise coups in the days where the only communication tools were landlines or face to face. Where you literally had to put your life in the hands of someone else and do your part in a big picture entirely dependent on whether others do theirs.
The difference between successful coups and unsuccessful ones in the history of Nigeria was how cohesive the units organising the coup were. If certain persons were involved in it, the coup would always succeed without fail and where they were not, they put down the coup.
Just confirmed from JK Agbaje that we've lost Egbon Yinka Odumakin - a sad loss not just for the Yorubas but also the Nigerian polity.
Egbon exemplified the truth of being a good ethnic person in order to be a great National figure in the context of Nigeria's configuration.
Egbon Yinka Odumakin was a man with courage of conviction who was never afraid to change his mind or follow his ideology to wherever it logically took him.
He was not always the most patient person but he exercised exceedingly great patience with his young admirers, always.
Egbon never minced words, was loyal to his friends and whatever cause he chose to believe in but once you showed him the logical counter of his loyalty and it proved that his cause or friend was false, Egbon would not hesitate to change positions directly - he had that courage.
Chosen by his colleagues to lead the country after a coup in which he exhibited little flair or ambition he turned inwards and against them until they removed him and the majority of the country celebrated - leaving him with a grudge he nursed against Nigeria for many years.
Rediscovered by Abacha, he was brought out in 2003 by an ethnic agenda to force Obasanjo to serve only a term with his lacklustre CV rewritten in glowing terms.
Until then, he had been one of only very few former officers never to advance himself economically or academically.
Ndigbo as a collective owe no apology to anyone over the 1966 coup in which many were killed - the killers got their retribution and there was enough bloodshed to apologise for afterwards on all sides.
Having said that, an astute Igbo aspirant to Presidency must know what to do.
Contrary to popular opinion that the 1999 Presidency was given to the SW, it wasn't. The power stakeholders chose a candidate from the SW they felt most comfortable with and whom the SW itself felt least comfortable with.
And regardless, he was opposed firmly at the primaries.
For Obasanjo to even emerge in 1999 you needed an Abubakar in power - from Abacha to Obasanjo would have been tactically unrealistic.
2023 is another transitional phase but the Igbo aspiration is not only legitimate and irrepressible, it is positionally encouraged.
When people say PDP and APC are the same in spite of the most glaring Nationalist vs Ethnocentric configurations of both parties in power, I shudder at how much of history is being ignored just to come to a futurist dismissive conclusion of PDP and to justify the 2015 decision.
PDP started out as a deliberate Nationally inclusive party - G34 was supposed to be G36 with one representative from every state but Abacha arrested the representatives from Kano and Jigawa, Abubakar Rimi and Sule Lamido, on their way to the inaugural meeting in Lagos.
When Abacha died, the qualification to form parties was that they had to win LGA chairmanship seats with a national spread.
PDP qualified, APP qualified, AD did not qualify.
But to appease the Yorubas over the death of MKO, INEC under Akpata bent the rules and qualified AD.
Just watched King Sunny Ade singing a version of the classic and controversial Easy Motion Tourist song for a Glo advert and it had me thinking a bit about this accreditation matter because the circumstances were a bit similar.
Here's a Highlife Music thread with some lessons:
What we definitely know of that song is that KSA was not the original composer but it featured on his Grammy-nominated 1998 album titled Odu.
Sunny's case in this thread is helped by the fact that his version is one I got used to and he made it most popular.
So, who wrote it?
I watched Fatai Rolling Dollar in the late 90s or early 2000s claim that he wrote the song, along with some band members whom he didn't name in that interview I watched.
Further research at the time attributed the song to his band of three Highlife maestros called Rhythm Blues.
In trying to cover up or solve a problem, humans inadvertently create a bigger one that eventually ruins everything.
The events that led to the Watergate scandal in the US started in June 1971.
Till date, political scandals are suffixed with ‘-gate’ in allusion to that scandal.
If ever there was one person destined to be US President, it was Richard Nixon who from childhood had a mother who would read the Bible to him and impress it upon him that if he ever found himself in a position to help Israel, he must do it without hesitation.
Nixon rose in politics from being a Senator to being Vice President and then losing a presidential race then losing a gubernatorial one before eventually winning the presidential election in a close race in 1968.
Three years later, a scandal began to happen to his admin.
The 8th of June, 1997 was a Monday like today and it was on this day 22 years ago that General Sani Abacha died.
The mainstream verdict on Abacha in Nigeria has always been clear but since some people decided to extol Libya's Muammar Gaddafi, let me do same today, for Abacha.
It is perhaps an exercise in foolishness but with small hope that foolishness may cure foolishness in the same way that when one responds to sarcasm with equal sarcasm, the instigator sometimes gets serious - except there's a fixed agenda.
For context, I start with a book I read
I bought a book under Ojuelegba Bridge many years ago and it is one of my most prized today, Gavin De Becker's The Gift of Fear.
In it, he explains that victims are forever imbued with an ability to quickly identify threatening situations and persons and save themselves.
For someone whom the whitewashers are so desperate to immortalise to us as a very private person, Abba Kyari is the most well-known Chief of Staff in any Democracy admin or military regime in Nigeria since 1960.
Tell me Chiefs of Staff in the past you know, so powerful as Kyari.
If you’re an avid political watcher, you might remember a few Chiefs of Staff from the past but none near powerful or influential as Abba Kyari.
That man wrote an open article to foreign countries a week to the last election, using finesse to say what El-Rufai crudely said.
One of my personal values forbids me from speaking ill of the late (and I won’t) but some of those same values insist that we never let history be rewritten in our time, that we hold a standard of public office aloft for future generations and that we put Nigeria first, above all
Saw a couple of tweets from someone yesterday and I’ve been wanting to do this thread for a while now to talk about something I rarely talk about publicly and more so on social media Spirituality, Faith, Religion and so on in relation to a generation younger than mine.
I’ll start by saying I believe in the existence of a dimension other than that which we can see.
I believe in the existence of Divinity and I am a Christian, by birth and by choice.
But I believe everyone must chart their own spiritual journey by themselves and for themselves.
So let me say clearly from this point that I have no problem with anyone believing as they would - I respect you as human and affirm you on your journey towards finding your own spiritual beliefs.
But I have a problem with social media culture and your spiritual process.
Villagers on their way to the farms one early morning saw the tortoise sat on the back of his in-law pinned to the floor.
They asked him what happened and he said his in-law owed him a huge amount of money for over 15 years and had failed to pay.
“That’s too much and for too long - this one is a terrible in-law!” The villagers concluded, “deal with him very well. This in-law doesn’t wish you well at all, what you’re doing is very much justified.”
And so the tortoise felt vindicated and the villagers left to their farms.
By evening as they returned, they saw the tortoise on the back of his in-law, pinned to the ground.
They asked him what the issue was and he told them the same thing - in-law was owing him a huge amount of money and had failed or refused to pay for such a long time.
Pastor Poju Oyemade preached a message at the crossover service of 2009/2010 about changing the direction of your life and made a brilliant allusion that has been on my mind in observing the Bernie Sanders campaign flounder.
I think this particular lesson is worth sharing.
Many things went terribly wrong with Sanders campaign but the most astounding for me is the sheer inability of the campaign to change course when problems were sighted and that Poju message dealt with that on a personal level - so this is political but has personal lessons.
Political campaigns generally have two major problems:
1) Campaign is blind to incoming problems, usually because the rank and file are too optimistic or
2) The campaign sights incoming problems but is unable to adapt to them, and this second problem for me is the worst.
There’s a place every political aspirant wants to get to and in other engagements, it’s mostly described as “The Flow”, in politics it’ll be something like “Untouchable”.
I think Bernie Sanders is just almost there right now, but most definitely also is Trump - Untouchable.
The Flow in any engagement is a state of heightened but enervating intensity in what you’re doing to a point where almost everything is shut out and works just...flows.
The parallel in political aspiration is a point where nothing against the candidate seems to go against them.
Only few politicians ever in history have attained it - off the top of my head, I can only think of Trump, Jawaharlal Nehru, possibly Awolowo, definitely Buhari, Aminu Kano almost, and now Sanders giving us an example of how to get there.