Daniele Albertazzi Profile picture
Professor of Politics @UniOfSurrey: #EuropeanPolitics, #populism. Principal Investigator "Survival of the Mass Party" project, funded by @ESRC. Tweets=my views.
Jan 13 16 tweets 3 min read
Another record for @berlusconi (tick), as the first leader ever to openly campaign via the media (this is one of the family's newspapers) to become Italy's President. "The friend of everyone, the enemy of no-one". Living aside the totally absurd claims made here, including that Berlusconi "ended the cold war".... here is a summary of why he should never be allowed near the Presidency, a serious role exercising real power (cerimonial it is not):
Dec 13, 2021 18 tweets 3 min read
The week-long series of debates, meetings & cultural events organised by Brothers of Italy (“Conservatives’ Christmas”) has come to an end. It has been a success for @GiorgiaMeloni, in terms of media coverage & participation by many high profile reps from all major parties. (they were all duly hit on the head with a stick by her during her final speech, but that’s life...)
Oct 3, 2021 13 tweets 2 min read
14 years ago the then leader of Brothers of Italy's predecessor, the National Alliance, went to Israel, said that fascism was "pure evil" & rejected the legacy of Mussolini's Social Republic.

In time, he moved even further to the centre. Having split from Berlusconi, Gianfranco Fini tried to reinvent himself as a liberal leader renewing Italy's right, only to end up in the political wilderness. There was no political space back then for someone of his background now embracing the values of the Enlightenment.
Sep 30, 2021 4 tweets 1 min read
In 40 years of League history (i.e. starting from the Lega Autonomista Lombarda) there has never been a sitting national leader ejected by the party. Not for political reasons, and not for any other reasons (both Bossi and Maroni had resigned). Yes things change, but the idea that the members of the "League for Salvini Premier" are now going to follow such an inspiring leader as Giorgetti, & that Salvini won't fight back is, frankly, for the birds.
Sep 4, 2021 11 tweets 4 min read
I have said many times that I expect an eventual govt led by @GiorgiaMeloni to act in continuity with the 4 govts led by @berlusconi in the last 25 years. The fundamental reason are the powerful external constraints placed upon Italy by its membership of NATO & the EU... ... (particularly as Italy starts drawing EU funds to bounce back, & considering its ballooning state debt & reliance on international finance markets).

These facts will not be changed by a campaign - as they never have before.
Apr 14, 2021 4 tweets 1 min read
Like Conte's, Draghi's govt seems to be making it up on a daily basis concerning pandemic.

It is as if structural factors (e.g. state capabilities), relations of power state/regions, and: "events, dear boy, events" (e.g. J&J & AZ) mattered more -much more- than identity of PM 🤔 On the other hand, no-one could have predicted this.
Feb 4, 2021 14 tweets 3 min read
Some Italian papers are talking abt the right wing coalition "breaking up", since the parties within it have different positions abt Draghi. Nothing is further from the truth. This is the usual good cop/ bad cop routine they have adopted many times before-which benefits them all. The facts. Berlusconi has consistently asked for a "Government staffed by the best" to lead the country. Taking part allows him to influence allocation of the goodies of the Recovery Plan, election of next President, while fostering the image that -incredibly- Italian media...
Feb 3, 2021 4 tweets 1 min read
Draghi has PD & Demolition Man in the bag already (yes, strange as it may sound, Renzi has literally no choice right now but to back him. & he will).

So he only needs to pick a couple of ministers M5S can "sell" to their grassroots... ... they don't even need to be party members (Conte wasn't, in fact Conte could well be one of them). Then he could pick one of two that Berlusconi likes. And he's done it.

(It's clear enough already that no-one is going to focus on policies, just look at the debate today...
Feb 3, 2021 4 tweets 2 min read
This is now the proposal of ex-M5S leader Di Maio to get out of the impasse, avoid elections and still keep the party together.👇 In other words: support Draghi, but ask him to put together a "governo politico" (in the rest of the world simply known as: "a government").

See debate among M5S Parliamentarians here:
corriere.it/politica/21_fe…
Feb 3, 2021 4 tweets 1 min read
A detached govt of "technocrats" that only does "what is needed"only exist in some sort of parallel reality, of course.

In fact, it is a profoundly ideological construct. Draghi will need to decide whether to appeal more to the M5S with his proposals - trying to stem the tide of opposition there - or whether to incentivise the League to back him.
Apr 10, 2020 15 tweets 3 min read
1/ Major Italian parties are sticking to the script concerning the recent agreement reached by EU finance ministers, according to whether they support the govt or not, & also what they need to do to compete with their own allies (e.g. League vs. Brothers of Italy). /THREAD/ 2/ Makes perfect sense: the agreement is ambiguous, hard to interpret, hence citizens will take their cue from parties on whether glass half full or empty.

How these decisions will be framed in next couple days is crucial.
Feb 19, 2020 22 tweets 17 min read
So, apparently Italian govt will learn his fate tonight, as former PM & leader of tiny Italia Viva party, @matteorenzi, is hosted with great fanfare by major current affairs programme #portaaporta. @matteorenzi He’s promised to make an important statement, certainly would prefer to "retire" @GiuseppeConteIT and change PM.

There’s a small hitch: he cannot know for sure how many senators from is own party are ready to switch sides & continue to support Conte if he pulls the plug on him.
Dec 30, 2019 36 tweets 7 min read
1/ As the year draws to a close, a short THREAD on challenges and opportunities for the most important Italian parties next year.

Here we go. 2/ Risk for the Five Star Movement (M5S): to become an ex-party. It is losing representatives in Parliament due to several reasons, & votes in the country. No-one expects them to recover the levels of support enjoyed in 2018 anytime soon.
Oct 23, 2019 18 tweets 4 min read
1/ Election to be held in the Italian central region of Umbria on Sunday. What to look for.

Short thread for those interested in wider implications. 2/ The “red belt” of central Italy does not exist anymore. At the 2018 national election, both League & M5S enjoyed healthy growth in Umbria & other "red" regions. Still, Umbria has ALWAYS been led by left wingers so far - symbolically this matters...
Aug 25, 2019 8 tweets 3 min read
As discussions between PD & M5S continue, also abt name of PM, it's useful to go back a few days to re-read @GiuseppeConteIT's resignation speech. He DID press buttons at key points to please the PD. Rumours now have it that M5S has offered PD majority of ministeries... ... as long as they swallow bitter pill of allowing Conte to stay on (M5S says these rumours untrue, but they are believable). PD unhappy with Conte mainly 'cause they need to show their electorate there's discontinuity btw this & previous govt.
Jun 8, 2019 13 tweets 3 min read
1/ There has been much discussion in recent weeks about whether the League wants to take Italy out of the Euro.

SHORT THREAD 2/ A very good summary of what’s happened and why it matters is here, by @SMerler:

May 26, 2019 15 tweets 4 min read
1/ First exit polls out in Italy. Brief thread (on the move).

Warning: accuracy still low hence all very provisional. 2/ Forza Italia btw 9-11%. Good result for @berlusconi. If replicated in general election would definetely allow him to achieve his current objective: be king maker without whom a right wing govt cannot take off. Worse than being fulcrum of political system as he has been...
Apr 22, 2019 23 tweets 4 min read
Time for a little thread on the relationship between Lega and M5S.

Here we go. 👇 2/ What’s the problem? Bottom line: according to polls, Lega
may get as much as 37% in EU elections (vs. 17 a year ago), while M5S just
above 20 (vs 32). M5S needs to show that it is not subordinate to what should
theoretically be its junior partner.
Mar 4, 2019 18 tweets 4 min read
1/ There's hype among Italian left due to election of @nzingaretti as leader of Partito Democratico. Took a year for party to elect leader (unforgivable mistake) but Z. is a competent administrator & has a solid background as left winger. Hype understandable.

/THREAD/ 2/ Looking beyond honeymoon: some reasons for optimism & for caution (for those wishing PD to succeed).

Caution: PD faces similar challenges of all centre-left parties, i.e. deciding whether to attract "Losers of Globalisation", Guardian-reading urbanites, or both, & how...
Jan 24, 2019 13 tweets 3 min read
1/ The fact that these evictions continue in Italy with no opposition from M5S paradoxically makes it less likely that Lega will bring down this govt after EU elections – in my view. SHORT THREAD.

Italy evicts more than 500 people from refugee centre theguardian.com/world/2019/jan… 2/ After govt was formed I wrote that Lega would dominate its agenda (easy prediction) & that I did not think Conte could last very long:

bit.ly/2RdbdM8