1/8 Warning - long thread. The UK Government's risk assessment on unilaterally breaching the NI Protocol is that the EU's answer will be somewhere between nothing and tariff retaliation. The truth of the matter is that this is a very optimistic assessment. independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi… 2/8 Whilst the exact balance of reactions is yet unknown, it is quite certain that there will be voices within the EU to suggest that the answer to such unilateral move should be to consider the Brexit agreement void altogether. Here is why.

New @OpiniumResearch poll has Brexit party top GE voting intentions after YouGov had LibDems top. Polls inform voters' intentions as much as they measure them. Those two say: "other party than Con/Lab can win next General Election so you can choose them without wasting your vote" This "informational" effect of the two polls this week is even more worrying for Labour and Tories than the "measurement" element. It will further unleash voters' frustration towards them by harming their claim on useful/strategic voting.