Economic historian & Pro-Proctor @Cambridge_Uni. Fellow & Bridging Course Director @CorpusCambridge. Two books on financial crises & the Irish famine now out.
Feb 5, 2023 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
Truss is correct to say that the "economic establishment" has moved to the left since Thatcher. The Friedmanite monetarist consensus of the 1980s was replaced by a "New Keynesian consensus" in the 1990s, which has embedded itself firmly in Britain ever since /1
By "New Keynesian consensus" I mean central bank independence, inflation targeting and the use of fiscal & monetary stimulus in periods of inflation undershoot; not to be confused by the old "post Keynesian" policies used in Britain between 1945-75 /2
Feb 5, 2023 • 9 tweets • 5 min read
For anyone reading Liz Truss's mea culpa in The Sunday @Telegraph today, the idea Truss states that Kwarteng and the Treasury had not been warned of the budget's risks to financial stability was NOT TRUE. /1
On September 8th I gave a lecture to Treasury civil servants and sent a letter (and entire paper on the subject) to Kwarteng personally warning that any budget involving a fiscal stimulus that pushed up market interest rates risked financial instability and a financial crisis /2