My election theory

First off, I have no way to actually prove it, but I think it’s one of very few possibilities that explains elections from 2016-2024, polls + also difference between Obama vs Trump/Biden years. Short answer: it’s “the resistance”, long answer, a thread 🧵 /1 Let’s go back to the Obama years first and what changed between now and then. Democrats only cared about the presidency, but Republicans cared about all levers of power. That’s why the GOP was inches away from a 2/3 legislature majority to rewrite the constitution. /2

It took me hours + multiple sources to try to untangle, so I figure maybe other people might be interested. Like + share if you’ve enjoyed this very long tweet thread.

Are you confused about how we got here for the NY redistricting mess? You’re not alone. Here’s what happened 🧵 This all started in 2014 when NY voters approved a constitutional amendment taking redrawing maps out of the sole hands of the legislature and into the bipartisan Independent Redistricting Commission (IRC). The process of this committee is outlined in the next tweet. /2