Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Emily Gee Profile picture
Emily Gee
@EmilyG_DC
SVP for Inclusive Growth at @amprog. Econ and health policy wonk. Double Washingtonian. Private account, opinions my own.
Oct 19, 2021 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
NEW from @USCBO: legislation that includes closing the Medicaid gap and extending enhanced PTC for the marketplaces would result in a "net decline of about 3.9 million people without health insurance" and enable people to enroll in "less expensive" coverage. @USCBO says the number of people without health coverage would drop by 3.9 million by 2031

That's a 15% decrease in the number of uninsured.
Jul 30, 2021 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
Time to talk about Bayes' theorem.

Mathematically, the probability of being vaccinated conditional on being sick [P(A|B)] rises as the vaccination rate [P(A)] rises.

In other words, vaccinated ppl being a bigger share the sick itself doesn't imply vaccines are less effective. Vaccinated people as a percentage of those sick [P(A|B)] is **not the same thing** as the probability of getting sick while vaccinated [P(B|A)].

Please don't confuse the two!