Emily Burns😊 #SmilesMatter DM’s OK Profile picture
PhDropout @rockefelleruniv. Wife and Mom of 3. Conservative because liberal. Join me @ TheSmileProject below.
Hecate's Crossroad #QVArmy Profile picture Tony J Profile picture fche Profile picture Paul Melzer Profile picture Nockit Profile picture 14 added to My Authors
29 Jul
1/
10x more kids die from suicide/year (3016) than have died from COVID in 16 mos (337).

The CDC ignores this REAL threat, focusing instead on the non-threat.

Masking kids has 0 impact on transmission, what impact on suicide?

kidsdata.org/topic/211/suic…

2/
The CDC KNOWS suicidal ideation & attempts are up—50% in teenage girls—w/the cause is unquestionably their “mitigation” measures. Masks are BY FAR the most intrusive and emblematic of these mitigation measures for children and could well be causal.

washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/well…
3/
Masking is tightly linked w/lack of social contact, feelings of isolation and depression. The CDC won’t even consider doing a study to examine the harms of masks.
Read 13 tweets
27 Jul
1/
This would be in-line with what is seen with flu vaccines. In this study, researchers found a 6x increase in fine aerosols (the ones that actually carry infectious virus) of people who were vaccinated, but still caught flu, relative to unvaxed flu pts
pnas.org/content/pnas/1…
2/
This doesn't mean that vaccines don't still have value, but it would mean they should be targeted at the vulnerable, not everyone.

Nor should it mean the return of masks. It should mean being honest with people about relative risk.

3/
"The 99% of people dying are un-vaxed" is a symbol of total CDC failure. If done right, we would have communicated who was at-risk (it's very well-defined)--and virtually 100% of people in hospital for covid, and dying WOULD BE VAXED--but they would be dying at 20x lower rate.
Read 5 tweets
22 Jul
1/
Two Americas:

One blindly following “The ScienceTM” down whatever disastrous path it dictates.

Another that allows its people to choose—and yields FAR better results.

Even in vaccinations, where it matters—with the elderly—red and blue states are EQUAL

h/t @ifihadastick
2/
In what, under normal circumstances would be flagrant gas-lighting, but which is now just par for the course, it was suggested that lower vaccination rates were leaving red states behind in the economic recovery. The exact opposite is true.
3/
Interestingly, even looking at vaccination rates in the elderly, and excess deaths in the elderly from weeks 13 – 24 (after most U.S. elderly were vaccinated), there is no correlation between higher rates of vaccinated, and lower % Excess deaths.
Read 9 tweets
20 Jul
1/
Breakthrough cases DON'T mean vaxes are useless. They DO mean messaging should change:

"No matter your age: obese or have other co-morbidities? Get vaxed. You're NOT protected by others being vaxed. You ARE protected by being vaxed. Not 100%. Get out & exercise, too."
2/
But, per usual, we're focusing on the wrong metrics.

First it was cases rather than deaths, now it's OVERALL vaxes, not vaxes of at-risk people. This GOAL buries the signal, makes vaxes look ineffective when they aren't.
3/
So, instead of the CDC doing a full-court press to try and really convey just how out-size the risk to people with co-morbidities, and get THOSE people vaxed. They are OVER-PLAYING the risk to kids to get kids vaxed.
Read 7 tweets
12 Jul
1/
Chalk this up as another CDC failure. In their goal to get high vax #s no matter how, they once again fail the at-risk population.

EVERYTHING they do should be focused on reaching people w/co-morbidities. Instead they are juicing the #s w/kids.

2/
For public health to be useful, it needs to focus on outcomes, not message penetration. They view themselves as marketers, measuring uptake of their messages, not outcomes. This is why states that “follow the science” don’t have better results

3/
If the cdc wanted to have an impact, it would focus almost entirely on the obese, making it very clear how much higher their risk is. But then they would have to disaggregate the data and talk about relative risk, something they are loathe to do.
Read 5 tweets
10 Jul
"My 9-year-old daughter came home from camp two weeks ago after playing three hours of outdoor tennis in a mask. “I thought I was going to faint,” she told me, looking ill after playing in 98-degree weather.."
wsj.com/articles/its-9…
2
"Later that afternoon the camp, run by the Sidwell Friends School, called to complain about her mask compliance.

We’re now 16 months into the pandemic and children remain victims of the Covid political theater that has characterized the national debate about masks ever since."
"We’ve had an entire school year to prove what scientists have said all along: Children aren’t major vectors of the virus, and schools and child-care centers aren’t drivers of community spread. Consider three of my children and their two schools. "
Read 7 tweets
8 Jul
1/
Trying to mask the abject failure of blue state COVID responses, a new success metric has been rolled out: Vax levels. But whole pop. vax levels, mask much lower variance in at-risk groups. What's more, deaths in 65+ from Jan-Jun are NOT linked to vax levels.
2/
Some will say that the vaccination level of the population is important b/c those other vaccinations are shielding the at-risk further. But excess deaths since January are NOT tied to higher levels of whole population vaccination.
4/
The push to vax well beyond the at-risk represents another installment of “following the science” where sadly, fealty to “the science” does not produce any measurable result. This new metric—whole pop. Vax—is designed to wash away all the other failures
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Read 12 tweets
30 Jun
1/
The proof (long-suspected) that the mRNA (like AZ DNA) vaxes do not offer sterilizing immunity is now being used to push wider vaccination among kids to acquire “herd immunity.” This makes no sense—it should be the opposite.
wsj.com/articles/vacci…
2/
AZ is the only manufacturer that did weekly testing of trial participants to evaluate the efficacy of vaccines in stopping infection—not just disease. These results showed that the AZ standard dose had no impact on reducing asymptomatic infection.

thelancet.com/action/showPdf…
3/
Neither Pfizer’s nor Moderna’s trials did this. Pfizer’s recorded 170 infections (162 control v. 8 vax) However, data in the FDA’s review showed an additional 3410 suspected cases—1816 control/1594 vax. This would reduce efficacy from 95% to 19%.
blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/01/04…
Read 24 tweets
16 Jun
1/
FL parents send 6 masks to a lab...
- 100% of masks contaminated.
- 50% w/pathogens, including multiple strains of pneumonia- and meningitis-causing bacteria.
- 1/3 with antibiotic-resistant pathogens.
- 2 masks w/more than 70 strains of bacteria.

rationalground.com/dangerous-path…
2/
"Masks work" has become such a powerful mantra for public health, it has stifled not only research showing it doesn't, but also the ability to even question if it might cause harm.
3/
This is a testament to the power of children's immune systems. Every one of these pathogens is SIGNIFICANTLY more dangerous to children than SARS-CoV2. Yet they have been exposed over, and over, and over again.

(note, no SARS-CoV2 was found on the mask, because... )
Read 9 tweets
15 Jun
1/
More than a year into the pandemic, we can start to evaluate the overall efficacy of our COVID responses. The U.S. provides a unique opportunity to evaluate different policy responses.

TL DR: Heavy-handed approaches don't look good.

Source data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
2/
The graphic below ranks states by their overall COVID policy score: This score takes into account COVID deaths/million, access to education, and increased unemployment ABOVE Feb 2020. All numbers are over the course of the entire year.

Source data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
3/
In order not to overly penalize or reward “outliers,” the score is based on rank relative to other states. Raw data is linked below, to create your own scorecard.

No matter how you slice it, doesn't look good for heavy-handed approaches

Source:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Read 14 tweets
11 Jun
1/
In today’s installment of “how to lie with science” a nature article purporting to show that even w/gaps, surgical masks 70%+ effective.

Let’s take it apart.

First, look at the experimental set-up & how the air would actually flow (cigarette smoke)

nature.com/articles/s4159…
2/
Comparing the jets of cigarette smoke, in truth, the exhalation would be rocketing past the apparatus. This is reflected in the incredibly low particle numbers—10/sec @ max. The actual # is 1000 - 10K particles/sec--which excludes <0.5 micron.
pnas.org/content/117/22…
3/
The study notes that it does not include particles under 0.5 microns—the vast majority of aerosols, as seen below. Though it is clear from the measured particles/second, that the apparatus is missing 99.9% to 99.99% of the particles emitted.
Read 10 tweets
3 Jun
1/
OSHA is working at both federal & state levels to CONTINUE mask reqs. Over the last 2 days, I have been on 2 OSHA calls.

@ Federal level they give NO information, you CAN'T ASK QUESTIONS--just talk at them and hope to "influence".
reginfo.gov/public/do/eo/n… RIN is 1218-AD36
2/
The Cal OSHA one is going on now--link to join below.

CA is proposing (even after 7/31) that employers offer ALL un-vaxed fitted N-95s. If they choose not to wear the N-95, ALL other employees have to wear masks.

You can imagine how this is going...

dir.ca.gov/oshsb/document…
3/
This is an abject disaster. The unions are super for it (not sure if they've checked with their members).
Read 4 tweets
2 Jun
Woo hoo! Citizen science! Concerned citizen succeeds in swaying decades of aerosol science and the great Fauci! #FauciEmails
Reminder of what the science actually said back then, though even Dr. Fauci appears not to have taken the time to read up on the growing understanding that respiratory aerosols (0.1-1.0 micron, med 0.28) were the driver of flu & other respiratory viruses
If this email doesn't show how badly Dr. Fauci misunderstands the behavior and volume of aerosols, and research on flu for the prior 12 years, don't know what does. No wonder he recommended cloth masks.
Read 7 tweets
27 May
1/
It's now acknowledged that COVID-19 is primarily transmitted by tiny aerosols generated through NORMAL breathing—not coughing, or flying spit globules.
Based on what we already KNEW about these respiratory aerosols, this should have meant MASKS OUT.

thesmileproject.global/post/airborne-… Image
2/
This is because we know that these aerosols are nearly identical in size to cigarette smoke (see last tweet). Cigarette smoke, and by extension, the respiratory aerosols carrying COVID are NOT STOPPED by masks, or caught. They are redirected—see video.
3/
And yet, we have this kind of dishonesty from people like Bill Nye. He talks about “stopping the flow of air.” Yet he, just as everyone else who has worn a mask, must have felt the air escaping out the top of the mask--fluttering his eye lashes--during this demonstration.
Read 60 tweets
5 May
1/
Mass. is terrorizing its children. In TWO COVID seasons, there were 293 TOTAL pediatric HOSPITALIZATIONS—
<1/3 the usual number for ONE flu season.
In 2 seasons, 13 TOTAL deaths ~= to 1 flu season. The pediatric CASE fatality rate, in MA is 0.006% = to the ped IFR for flu.
2/
The CDC recently released an updated disease burden for COVID-19. While they did not include deaths, those are easy to append. There, too, we see the infection fatality rate for children for COVID is MUCH lower than flu.
3/
This is certainly an overestimate due to attribution of deaths as COVID deaths, simply based on a prior positive test for COVID, regardless of whether it was a contributing factor—the Director of the Illinois DPH explains below
Read 12 tweets
15 Apr
*POW!!*

An organization that is supposed to defend children actually *gasp* defending children!!

Vaxes are a godsend for the vulnerable.

The case different case for school kids, whose IFR is 0.001%.
1/

ca.childrenshealthdefense.org/wp-content/upl…
Below, the IFR for school age children calculated from the CDC's most recent infection estimates, and deaths through 2 weeks after.

Any trial would be healthy children, whose risk might literally be zero, and is certainly approaching to 1:1 M
2/

thesmileproject.global/post/un-maskin…
Again, the vaxes are a god-send to the vulnerable.

It is because the CDC is refuses to use its own data to help people understand their relative risk, that people who are at serious risk for the disease have had one vax option removed now.

More misfeasance by the CDC.
Read 4 tweets
9 Apr
1/
Masks don’t work to stop COVID, though they work wonders keeping kids out of school & unemployment high

But WHY don’t they work? Let’s see

Rather than thinking of respiratory aerosols like tiny spit globules, a better metaphor is cigarette smoke

2/
Cigarette smoke is almost the exact same size as 99% of virus-carrying breath aerosols-- <1 micron. The majority of these particles are in the 0.2 – 0.25 micron range--just like the majority of breath aerosols.

sciencedirect.com/science/articl… Image
3/
This is the EXACT range of breath aerosols. The chart below shows that out of around 11K breath aerosols generated during 5” of breathing, only about 25 are over 1 micron~0.02%. 90% are <0.3 microns—the exact same size & distribution as cigarette smoke.
pnas.org/content/118/8/… Image
Read 47 tweets
31 Mar
1/

Masks ARE political. They have no basis in science—except perhaps political science—and have ZERO impact on COVID deaths or cases.

Pitched as no-cost interventions they are in-truth linked to incredible societal harms--visited in proportion to their adoption.
2/
While there is no linkage between masking and COVID deaths, they are linked to ultra-low levels of in-person schooling.

If these two charts were flipped, masks would be a no-brainer. That they are not means masks—and the fear they generate—are causing grave harm.
3/
Masks are also linked to significantly higher levels of unemployment—driving closures in services industries, and generally making people afraid of engaging with each other. The brunt of this is borne by blue states with strong mask mandates.
Read 32 tweets
20 Mar
In Oregon: Public comment period for permanent masking and distancing closes on April 2nd

We are watching the cultural equivalent of prohibition being instated by regulators— happening at federal level too

Once in place only legislation can overturn

osha.oregon.gov/news/2021/Page…
Read 5 tweets
18 Mar
1/
Lockdown-driven public health interventions have skewed COVID-19 infections in a deadly way, driving the virus away from the young, and towards the old. This distribution looks nothing like other pandemics over the last 100 years.
academic.oup.com/epirev/article…
2/
By shunting the disease to the most vulnerable, these actions have nearly doubled deaths, increasing deaths from COVID-19 by more than 150K through 1/9/21 alone. This is a direct result of NOT taking a #FocusedProtection approach.
3/
Far from flattening the curve, these actions have also increased hospitalizations by more than 25% had the virus been allowed to take a more natural course, where the young and healthy bore the brunt of the disease.
Read 20 tweets
12 Mar
Prologue

1/
Last week UT (the most child-centric state in the country) set an expiry for their mask mandates--leaving it in place for children. This must not stand. I created a series of 4posts to arm parents with data to challenge this. This is the 1st
thesmileproject.global/post/un-maskin…
2/
Back in summer, many school districts made a “deal” with parents and children. Mask your kids, allow us to severely restrict their ability to interact with other children as human beings, and they can go to school.
3/
Parents were desperate, having watched the learning loss and depression of the spring, so they acquiesced.
Read 10 tweets