'Will the American Oligarchy Accept Limits or Choose World War Three? ' 1/ 🧵👀👇

nakedcapitalism.com/2024/04/less-u… '...US ruling class ideology. Whose values? The dominant value at play there is a belief that as Western capitalists they have a right & a duty to exploit & profit off of every corner of the globe. ' 2/

'Why...are Western governments going around begging for shells to send Ukraine rather than accepting the L? The desperation seems to stem from the creeping realization that their system is coming undone. ' 1/

nakedcapitalism.com/2024/04/less-u… 'The entire post-WWII elite US mindset is built on the foundation of worldwide profit expansion via silicon & fire, & if they throw everything at Russia & lose, well a whole new domino theory could come into play – one where parasitic Western finance capital is driven back ' 2/

'The Looming Ukraine Debacle
There is indeed a serious risk that, rather than the West teaching Russia a lesson and putting Putin in his place, the opposite may occur.' 1/

nationalinterest.org/feature/loomin… 'As the slow success of Russia’s Plan B becomes more apparent, the failure of the West’s own Plan A to deal w/ RUS is now clarified. This plan consisted of sanctions... diplomacy to isolate...&...NATO weapons & know-how to inflict serious damage on Russia on the battlefield. ' 2/

Lt. Col (ret.) NATO modelling & simulations officer, builds on earlier classic The Return of Industrial Warfare

Reads like a post-mortem of what RF has done right, & NATO has done wrong...
1/
rusi.org/explore-our-re… "The front lines've hardly moved! Isn't that a stalemate, daddy?"
'If the West is serious about the possibility of a great power conflict, it needs to take a hard look at its capacity to wage a protracted war & to pursue a strategy focused on attrition rather than manoeuvre. ' 2/

WHY IS THE EUROPEAN UNION DESTROYING ITS OWN ECONOMY?
'European leaders are caught in a “fight or flight” response, deciding whether they should run and hide or send troops into Ukraine to fight the Menace from the East. '
1/
sonar21.com/why-is-the-eur… 'puzzled many how the EU has been managing its economy since the beginning of the Ukraine war. There have been two distinct shocks inflicted upon the Eurozone economy since then. The third shock, which may be the worst, is on the way. ' 2/

'the West has set itself on a path of collective suicide. Moral suicide in Gaza; diplomatic suicide – the foundations laid in Europe, the Middle East & across Eurasia; economic suicide – the $$-based global financial system...Europe deindustrializing.' 1/
zerohedge.com/geopolitical/w… 'Deep down, they are scared, fearful & agitated. Biden et al in Washington, Macron, Schulz, Sunak, Stoltenberg, von der Leyen. They lack...the courage to face reality squarely....Hence, we observe an array of reactions that are feckless, grotesque and dangerous. ' 2/

profit trumps capability:

'....why many companies across the US DIB lack advanced manufacturing capabilities, claiming:

....they struggle to develop business cases for needed capital investment. ' 1/

https://twitter.com/BrianJBerletic/status/1760896276890358120

' In other words, while adopting advanced manufacturing technologies would fulfill the purpose of the US Department of Defense, it is not profitable for private industry to do so.' 2/

Today's neo-colonialism: from genocide to necrocide--
'‘The most accomplished form of necropower is the contemporary colonial occupation of Palestine’. It is the power to dictate the terms of life and death, & ultimately who lives and who dies.' 1/

nakedcapitalism.com/2024/02/bmj-de… 'Repeatedly framing Palestinian violence as a provocation & Israeli violence as a response is a product of ignorance to the necropower exercised by the Israeli state. Necropower & necropolitics are enabled in places that Achille Mbembé termed ‘death-worlds' 2/

AFAIK, "Tyler Durden" is a name for the collective authorship at ZeroHedge. Here, adding real value to analysis of TC/Putin interview:



🧵1/zerohedge.com/geopolitical/w… 'In order to avoid that bigger war only the oligarch class wants, we, as people, have to accept some responsibility for it getting to this point. Without that there can be no basis for a negotiated settlement.' 2/

Every. word.🧵
The Wrong Stuff
Don't even think about rebuilding western militaries.
1/
aurelien2022.substack.com/p/the-wrong-st… 'So deluded and out of touch are western political leaderships and their sycophants these days, that politicians and pundits are still talking about rebuilding western military forces, and doing something, not quite sure what, with them after that. ' 2/

'fortunately for the West, it was saved by a Russian mastery of war....The truth is, Russia has done the West a great favor by defeating Ukraine. Defeat in UKR is a way for the West to extricate itself from what could have been...a terrifying outcome' 1/

https://twitter.com/Michalis_Vlahos/status/1745556484916687321

'there emerges a feeling of betrayal...in UKR, as they become aware of the betrayal by their leadership & government. Europe also feels betrayed...by the growing awareness that the US orchestrated this war...so as to reduce European partners, and transform them into Vassals ' 2/

Col. (ret.) Swiss Military Intel, w/ NATO in Donbass 2014:

The Russian Art of War: How the West Led Ukraine to Defeat 🧵1/ The 'perception of a permanent & inescapable war led the Soviets to study war in a quasi-scientific way, and to structure this thinking into an architecture of military thought that has no equal in the Western world. ' ' 2/

As Russia Signals It Can Achieve Maximalist Aims in Ukraine, How Would Russia Manage Kiev and Western Ukraine? 1/

nakedcapitalism.com/2023/12/as-rus… 'the West simply cannot...compete w/ Russia in arms production, even before getting to the superiority of Russian systems in most categories. Despite recognition of that sorry fact in some quarters, the West is not making serious efforts to rearm or increase manning levels. ' 2/

Western Policymakers Are Panicking Because There Was No Plan B if The Counteroffensive Failed

'It’s remarkable to see how the US, which was home to leading thinkers in game theory and decision theory, has become so abjectly bad at both. ' 1/

nakedcapitalism.com/2023/12/wester… 'The US and & actually got what it wanted, a Russia attack on Donbass, and better yet, and underpowered one....The Western coalition bet mainly on its shock & awe sanctions, & that...would soon bring chaos to Russia, leading to Putin’s ouster &... even a breakup of Russia' 2/

'The first problem is that industrial warfare is fundamentally different than guerilla warfare. It means that the US doesn’t have overwhelming industrial strength. US troops and mercenaries that have served in Ukraine didn’t do so well. ' 1/
ianwelsh.net/the-entire-wes… 'They aren’t used to fighting in an environment w/o total US air & artillery supremacy. That’s a huge shock. One fear is what the US will do if....they take losses of carriers & the like. The main risk... is that it would go nuclear after the US ruling class panics. ' 2/

USSR went from agrarian society to STEM juggernaut in 30 years.

West's "low-tech Russia" trope today is bizarre...

Mathematical olympiad:
1/

https://twitter.com/djuric_zlatko/status/1733861806764970484

Computer science / informatics olympiad:

2/

'NATO officers fully convinced of the magical invincibility of their tech, but...also seem to have forgotten that the enemy can shoot back. According to UKR officers, NATO’s generals simply did not take the actions of RUS forces into account at all' 1/

ddgeopolitics.substack.com/p/ukraine-pays… 'It seems that NATO has not only convinced themselves that they are unbeatable, but also swallowed the shoddily rebranded Nazi propaganda of Russian subhumanity hook, line and sinker. NATO’s top officers could not even conceive of the idea that Russian forces would fight back' 2/

Europe doesn't have a Russia problem
(Russia: "just stay away from us.")

Rather: Ex-MI6, UK diplomat:

'Russia now has a ‘Europe problem’ of lingering, unrealistic ‘geo-political’ ambition'
1/

t.me/rocknrollgeopo… 'the general hastened from St Petersburg to warn the Tsar of approaching catastrophe. However, on arrival at the Court, Wrangel was shocked to see that 80% of the Romanov women, most of whom he knew, were wearing a red ribbon. ' 2/

Geopolitics Update [i]
Ukraine, Argentina, and the Middle East

'Russia’s combat effectiveness is currently the highest in the world. I am not saying that Russia has the strongest army in the world. Maybe America still does, maybe not. ' 1/

bmanalysis.substack.com/p/geopolitics-… 'Maybe Russia has surpassed America. What I want to say is that Russia has without a doubt the most experienced functioning and well-lubricated military war machine in the world. ' 2/

'The Russian army inflicted a crushing defeat on the Armed Forces of Ukraine, retired General Harald Kuyat, ex-head of the NATO Military Committee, said....Moreover, it has prepared reserves to liberate Odessa and reach Transnistria' 1/
vpk.name/en/794057_the-… 'here in Germany, we have people in the leadership of the country who… Let's just say that these people, because of their incompetence & ignorance, make mistakes, & we have the policy that they pursue ' 2/

'The unanswered question implicit in English’s observations about Russia outproducing, not just the United States, but NATO as a whole is this — why are Western intelligence analysts so ignorant of Russia’s industrial capability? ' 1/ 🧵👇

sonar21.com/more-bad-analy… 'Russia, unlike the United States and Europe, was not dependent on imports to sustain its military industrial capability. It is self-sufficient and has trained workers who can do the job required to manufacture such items. ' 2/