Eric Weinstein Profile picture
Math guy. MD at Thiel Capital. Host of The Portal at https://t.co/gHSLEy6iyP YT: https://t.co/Qszr1mtwld
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26 Nov
Excited to see this from @DrBrianKeating. The most interesting aspect here is that Brian is more steeped in theory than many experimentalists, and, as a student of Galileo, is keenly aware of some of the new challenges to what typically gets called “the scientific method”.
Some of the big new challenges:

*) What to do about the Big Bang & other puzzles when we can’t rerun the experiments?

*) How useable are natural experiments (e.g. 1987a supernova, cosmic rays) as replacements for lab experiments?

*) Experiments only invalidate instantiations?
*) What happens when funding or engineering limitations become the limiting factor in the ability to test theory?

*) What happens when theories emerge that have no experimental tests because the energy scale for new phenomena can be pushed out?

*) What to do about groupthink?
Read 5 tweets
21 Nov
Isn’t it. Isn’t it odd that Dads all over the world aren’t leading the charge?

We have kids to protect. And our fear of the media in a case that almost certainly involves the Intelligence Community, causes us to cower like pussies while discussing MMA, WWII, and guns like betas.
Dads should make this story impossible not to cover. I’m not going to lie; I myself have been afraid since speaking out about this. But it is also a zero choice situation. If we have state sponsored trafficking of 12 year old girls, we dads don’t have a choice. Read the contract.
When Dads don’t speak out for kids, we cease to be Dad. I don’t want to talk about this. There are weeks when I thought I should have, but backed down. I have been intimidated once directly over this.

But we may have no choice. If we aren’t forced to speak, are we fathers?
Read 4 tweets
19 Nov
I have had the pleasure of being in a jam session with my colleague @stephstem about physics for many years. Even as a tenured physics professor, Steph is an intellectual outsider. It’s not his blackness that is different. It’s his different filter & flow:
theundefeated.com/features/steph…
We say a lot of dumb things about race & science. But the important thing is that Stephon is a jazz cat in a STEM world that thinks music is played carefully and without error when carefully read from sheets. Steph’s difference is related to being black, but even more to ‘flow’. Image
If you have spent time as an outsider in a professional monoculture read this interview. I think it emphasizes that despite all the bullshit about diversity, there is a real point that is in danger of getting lost.

Nice job @stephstem. Keep going!
Read 4 tweets
19 Nov
@elonmusk, point blank: why not save the independence of physics so that it can attempt not to break the speed of light, but to render Einstein an *effective* theory. We can’t use rockets to do much. We are talking pennies to you. I just don’t get it. Why is this even an ask????
It may be a waste of money. But it is far more likely to render Einstein’s speed limit irrelevant in a deeper theory, than it is to terraform Mars and stay in this regime of hopelessness. You could dwarf the @the_IAS. Send a jolt of optimism to end the postmodern nonsense.
Read 6 tweets
18 Nov
Bitcoiners & I are focused on the danger of two related DC printing presses:

I) One that prints money directed by the Federal Reserve.

II) One that prints the CPI at the @BLS_gov which *forces* billions of dollars in wealth transfers and which can disguise the printing of fiat.
We don’t always agree. I’ve no idea how Satoshi took aim at I) above. And I don’t yet know how to explain the importance of gauge theory to Gold (physical Gauge Theory), Prices/Quantities (abelian GT), Trade (non-abelian GT) and Utility (infinite dim GT):
economics.uchicago.edu/sites/economic…
But we’ve been working together behind the scenes. I so appreciate @Breedlove22 coming to Chicago to witness what I hope will be the beginning of an attack on abuses of perhaps the second most dangerous printing press in Washington as inflation heats up.

Thanks #Bitcoiners: LFG.
Read 6 tweets
18 Nov
For F’s sake. The federal government has totally breached its tacit understanding with our US STEM community. We’re not your domestic help. Thank god someone is stepping in. Maybe @elonmusk will build an SSC replacement. I am frustrated that these people don’t do MORE in STEM.
How about giving America’s own scientists and engineers the massive sticky gooey portion of the pie they have built for everyone else? Instead we deny them the ability to commercialize discoveries at the same time as we breach the spirit of the “Endless Frontier” agreement.
You’re a senator @BernieSanders. I voted for you once.

Even Soviets didn’t target their own scientists. How about we pay our labor rather than calling it “training” & calling our workers, “workers” rather than “students”? Oddly, you aren’t even a socialist standing for workers.
Read 7 tweets
17 Nov
People always say "Why don't you do something about our institutions." And, as soon as you do, there starts a cycle of interpersonal drama that no one wants.

I have nothing to do w/ the University of Austin, but I think it's a great idea. And I am happy to say that I support it.
I also commend @AndrewYang for starting a political party. All of these hopeful ideas are challenged because no one in the internet age wants to answer the barbs: "Wow. You thought that would work???"

Starting new institutions is tough. I support @bariweiss & @AndrewYang trying.
And I would be happy to say to all the super savvy cool kids who know that this won't work: Andrew and Bari are the ones in arena. Not you.

It's easy to step away. It's a hell of a lot harder to believe in something that isn't a start-up business or an NFT right now.

Good luck!
Read 8 tweets
15 Nov
The @UChi_Economics department has also made a draft available of the proposed non-Abelian extension of intertemporal comparison theory to bi-lateral trade specifically when trading partners *cannot* agree on prices:

economics.uchicago.edu/sites/economic…
A novel feature here going from 1 to 2 pricing systems means moving from values in the Reals, to indices valued in non trivial matrix groups like GL(2,R). This necessitates use of a Dyson series using time ordered products and a specific reworking of Divisia-like integrands.
We have yet to find this anywhere in the Economics literature. If you know of any close relationships to standard theory we would like to include the reference. But as yet, as an outsider making a good faith effort, I haven’t seen these formulae anywhere. Thanks!
Read 4 tweets
8 Nov
You mean field. Economics is actually all about fields: field operators & field theory.

Technically, inflation is classically like a Wilson Loop observable on path spaces. But economists have historically denigrated path-dependent approaches (e.g. 'cycling problems', 'drift').🤷
You have no idea how crazy econ got to make us all the same so that what we're saying can be ignored. Seriously, think about asserting that all folks have the same tastes & that they can never change so that economists can use 'Stable preferences...relentlessly & unflinchingly'.
You will see in the inflation literature various bizarre tendencies to introduce 'homogenous' or 'homothetic' utility functions and to hold these functions fixed. Ultimately it fell to 2 giants to claim that taste is universal. That way, rich/poor, you/me all have common utility.
Read 8 tweets
6 Nov
Great news, given that *every* tick of your BLS CPI forces billions of dollars to change hands.

"The concept of the cost-of-living index guides the CPI measurement objective and is the standard by which any bias in the CPI is defined."

I found this on @BLS_gov site. Is it true?
I cannot find any place where the preference maps needed to construct a Laspeyres Konus COL index are gleaned through revealed preference. I will go so far as to say that this is bait & switch. There is a CLAIM of a COL framework, but no one is constructing anything of the kind.
Q1: Where exactly do I find the ordinal indifference maps constructed by BLS for a 'Representative Consumer' used to find substitution bias in fixed basket Mechanical approximations to a welfare Cost-Of-Living framework based on a Konus economic index of intertemporal welfare?
Read 6 tweets
6 Nov
Saw media making fun of people who get any medical advice from @joerogan.

Here’s what I heard from Joe: “I’m saying this because I love you brother: lose the fat. Now.” And I took Dr. Joe’s advice.

He didn’t say “weight”. He said *fat*. Can our public health officials do that?
I think we have to understand that people are also looking to Joe as a pass-through for concierge medicine. If you have brilliant Uber-rich people in your life you hear a lot about medicine you can’t afford. Whole body work ups. Multi day examinations. Lots of medical gear.
As such, I always try to listen in on what these people are getting for their families with all that money. I believe many people aren’t asking Joe per se. They assume “Joe has top concierge care. What are his physicians telling him that my doctor can’t afford to say?”
Read 5 tweets
5 Nov
Sorry to say that I've been informed that my upcoming Nov. 10, Money & Banking Workshop at @UChi_Economics will closed to non-@UChicago folks, as will the Zoom connection. Researchers in other fields/students are allowed to attend.

This sort of breaks my no closed chambers rule.
Because this is arguably the most famous econ seminar running, it's widely known for being absolutely *brutal* yet also fair (it was founded by M. Friedman). Thus I have decided NOT to get hung up on this issue, but will comit to give an OPEN seminar on the same subject if asked.
I am particularly irritated by the dismissive nature of the academic economists towards my tagging members of the Bitcoin community as if they are some kind of a joke.

If you bitcoiners want to have a jam session on this material, I'm yours. Despite our frictions, we're aligned.
Read 8 tweets
4 Nov
ANNOUNCEMENT: I head next week to @UChicago for 5 days (Nov. 8-12) at the request of its storied Department of Economics to present our theory that all of economics is based on the wrong version of the differential calculus.

Importantly, this error afflicts Inflation & the CPI.
I am a huge believer in the University of Chicago and its ability to stay the course while all others bend to the prevailing winds.

As such, I may (or may not) be announcing other events to discuss other work (e.g. Geometric Unity) depending on time, interest & availability.🙏
Please retweet the top tweet if you're followed by economists & others interested in the debate over inflation and CPI, and your followers would find a new geometric Marginal Revolution of interest. Thanks! cc: @tylercowen, @Breedlove22, @paulmromer, @PeterMcCormack, @EconTalker.
Read 5 tweets
2 Nov
The research university system would start to collapse. And we would at last be forced to conclude that using PRC labor to try to intimidate America’s STEW force into accepting *scraps* to enrich everyone else is probably about the dumbest thing we do as a nation.

Close to it.
This is a market. Let’s get this much needed pain to our universities/STEM employers. That’s how this works. Our STEM employers need pain to stop lying & to stop helping our strategic rivals play us like a fiddle. How do we get them as much pain as we can, as quickly as possible?
Moral: Scientists are central to a modern nation on every level. Only a 3rd rate kleptocracy chisels on compensation and insulation of STEM professionals. The deliberate use by NSF of PRC labor (student and otherwise) to hold down US wages is an advanced form of academic madness.
Read 4 tweets
30 Oct
High Trust and Dependence

Vs

Low Trust and Independence

with respect to institutional leadership, is the best replacement for our old “Left vs Right” political spectrum that I have found.

Try it for yourself. I found it to be surprisingly efficient.
In particular, it explains my own politics. I am short the leadership and current experts within our institutions but “against burning them all the F down”. Thus the traditional Right & I agree on part of our current crisis, but this identifies why I’m not a natural conservative.
I don’t trust @twitter leadership which throttles my account. I don’t trust universities Coked up on DEI zealotry which wants me to give loyalty oaths. I don’t trust Fauci who lies to us. I don’t trust that @EcoHealthNYC hasn’t been taken over by our military. Etc.
Read 6 tweets
29 Oct
My colleague Peter Woit at Columbia Univ and @notevenwrong, has an interesting idea for unifying physcis. I am shocked that those claiming to do physics are not interestied in those actually trying to do physics.

Let me take a quick stab at Peter's idea:

math.columbia.edu/~woit/twistoru…
If you start with the mystery of non gravitational forces, up to a small lie, you have three symmetries for three forces:

A) U(1) --> ElectroMagnetism
B) SU(2) --> Weak Force (Beta Decay)
C) SU(3) ---> Strong Nuclear Force

But SU(3) is special here.
U(1) and SU(2) have many names:

U(1) = S^1=SO(2)=Spin(2)=Circle=Unit Complex #s

SU(2) = S^3 = Sp(1) = Spin(3) = Unit Quaternions

But SU(3) is distinguished among small symmetry groups by having only one known avatar.

So Woit/Penrose make it's explanation central.
Read 8 tweets
29 Oct
The US Academic Scam: “We need to find Americans smart enough to do Nobel level science and dumb enough not to realize that we will permanently artificially glut markets so that they will have zero leverage against whatever we, their Silent & Boomer masters, want to do to them.”
The STEM shortage has been a total myth and a scam. It is an employer based gutting of America’s future to serve a dying cohort of people who bizarrely have zero interest in what they leave behind as a legacy.
Remember this odd fact: almost every graph of changes in universities over time involving tuition, faculty, time to degree, jobs, etc tells exactly the same story. Choose any university. Any measure of one generation extracting money from its descendants by destroying its future:
Read 6 tweets
28 Oct
Extra dimensions need not be spatial.

If there are extra temporal dimensions, then time’s arrow from our 1-D time becomes a whirlpool of time in two dimensions. In 3 temporal dimensions it becomes the “Right hand rule of time.”

And we lose all intuition:
One aspect is that we think of visiting the past as “turning back the clock”, like backing up on a one-way street. In two temporal dimensions you won’t have to reverse. You can “go around the block” of time if you will.

If you thought this was possibly real, you’d pay attention.
I believe there are multiple *temporal* dimensions. Specifically, 5 or 7 in total with either 4 or 6 additional temporal dimensions.

I’m not sure how our military understands what time-hacking could do as a game changer. Try imagine contemplating H-bombs before quantum physics.
Read 8 tweets
28 Oct
Not the issue. The issue: why was DOD doing ANYTHING that looks to untrained eyes exactly like BioWeapon research creating chimeric pathogens in labs of our most direct strategic rival, acting as if it was purely defensive work against zoonotic pandemics.

Said more simply: WTAF?
This is straight up: "The Lab on the River Yangtse."

The main differences from "The Bridge on the River Kwai" seem to be that the PRC army is playing the role of the Japanese and Alec Guiness snaps out of it to stop further destruction, while Peter Daszak & Tony Fauci never do.
I seriously have lost all understanding of this. We CAN hold hearing and investigate what we were doing moving US taxpayer dollars through a Zoologist to use military funds to help a communinst authoritarian rival improve its ability to weaponize SARS-COV in its own laboritories.
Read 5 tweets
23 Oct
Things I don't believe we can't conclusively resolve:

A) COVID's origin.

B) The Jeffrey Epstein story.

C) UAP.

D) JFK assassination.

E) Vegas Shooting.

F) Extent of 'Democracy Fortifying' in 2020.

G) Efficacy of Non-Vaccines.

H) Mysterious WEF 'Build Back Better' mantra.
I) Negative impacts of Trade known to have been suppressed.

J) Adulteration of BLS CPI measure of inflation.

K) Negative economic impacts of Immigration.

L) Sudden spike in fake 'Objective Third Party Fact Checking'.

M) Sudden "Diversity Equity Inclusion" explosion.
N) Collusion beween Tech Platforms functioning as Communications Utilities as well as with the Federal Government.

O) Death of John MacCaffee.

N) Chinese infiltraion of US basic research through 'Student Exchange'.

P) Take over of 'Peer Review' during Robert Maxwell's reign.
Read 7 tweets
23 Oct
*If* we are being visited, it is likely not with conventional propulsion. It is insane that we are not talking about this as possible new physics. The conversation will go right back to technology, security, skeptism etc.

Anything but physical discussion of a physical phenomena.
I cannot understand what we are doing here.

It makes zero sense. Give science our data. Now.
The unwillingness to turn our own physical data over to our own scientists makes this whole thing sound to me like we are choosing to fake extra-terrestrial visitation. That would be the main reason to think this is all a moronic psy-op. But why do that? It can't work in the end.
Read 4 tweets