They lied to you - Cancer deaths are elevated and rising. They lied to you - Cancer cases and treatment costs are elevated and rising.

Yep... set & drift analysis suggests loss of main steerage and power while making 13 knots in a crosswind.

Not an act of terror or drunk helmsman.

Back to bed... everyone stand down.

https://x.com/LifeofSulla/status/1772550445413576948?s=20

With large language models, our formal publication, speech, and deliverables stand to converge into a stifling uniformity in banal expression - while in contrast our casual communication degrades into a brutish and trite Huxlean nightmare. Each expression a flawless manifestation of syntax, agreement, and punctuation—a pseudo-product of a vacant and distracted mind, instructed on what and how to think.

I did not know. I went and looked. Everything else was vanity. Accurate, is simple. But that does not serve to make simple, therefore accurate.

If you see a 'study' by a student at the University of Pennsylvania, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, contending that Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality 'peaked with Covid', so it has to be undetected Covid

...this claim is false.

This excess does not coincide with Covid in the least - it bears strict sympathy with Abnormal Clinical & Lab Findings Mortality.

Students, incompetence and Narrative Science make for a frothy intoxicating brew. The student in question is in the "Department of Sociology and Population Studies Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104"

🥱

Oh my god humanity is made up of idiots...

Weakened young hearts are being attributed to an underlying cause of an 'unspecified drug overdose' - as we suspected.

As this plays out in Non-Natural Cause Mortality, this is why seasonality has suddenly appeared inside that ICD set.

Over attribution = 400 deaths/wk. A second reason for the sudden rise and seasonality in Non-Natural Deaths. We have begun the assignment of vaccine deaths as 'climate deaths'.

X30 (thru X39) will be the 'Climate Change' death ICD codes.

Here, we found the other 100 sudden deaths in the excess Non-Natural Cause Mortality jump.

Science progresses despite peer review.

Reviewers often don't fully comprehend, and merely check for earmarks of compliance, not verity.

Intelligence will infiltrate a compliance web. In reality we are not falsifying hypotheses; rather, science is to a great degree, a process of outwitting dogmatists and censors.

Now you know why... 😉 Holy scripture involved this very same dynamic. What is presented at face value, is often a ruse. The message resides beneath the comprehension ability of the censors.

This is not new, and those who wear the robes, do the same gatekeeping, regardless of the domain involved.

When I use the term 'arrival distribution' - this is part of systems queuing theory, not biostatistics.

The principle represents the 'arrival' of events, customers, sales, signals, transactions, deaths, diseases, demand, failures, mean-times, human behaviors, etc. into a system, domain, or queue (bank teller line).

Over the decades of using this to describe processes, certain forms become common among certain types of processes and systems. That experience has value, in skipping past the red herring, chest-thumping, and ignorance of the academic.

Be very wary of 'statisticians' who don't know what this is...

In the strategy work I have done, many natural systems tend to feature arrivals in the form of a chi-square distribution (panel 1). Much akin to the natural logarithmic form, ln(x) (example in panel 2).

Most (not all) kinds of deaths from the vaccine, do arrive in this form, and are shaped by dose as well.

This is how you detect vaccine injury as distinct from Long Covid, by the inception arrival form (panel 3), shape, and kurtosis of its impact. Long Covid does not bear this arrival form.

In fact, this is the way it SHOULD be done, and let's be clear:

If a biostatistician/actuarial/academic is not using such arrival theory, THEY DO NOT KNOW WHAT THEY ARE DOING...

"The mortality trend was so stark that OneAmerica announced deaths in its group life business had risen a full 40% in the 18-64 age group, a trend that began in the second half of 2021 and continued through the remainder."

Tim Bischof, chief actuary at OneAmerica

Folleagues already knew


"One of the things that makes us believe that these really are direct or indirect COVID is the causes of death tend to be comorbid with COVID. Alzheimer’s, diabetes, things like that, but in addition they tend to move with the COVID deaths."

This is not true - diabetes and alzheimers (left panel) are not up over their generational trends. The rise is in non-traditional death ICD codes (right panel). Nor do they actually move with Covid deaths at all, (third panel).

This indicates a toxin-like effect, not a specific pathogen.

Actuaries are not taught systems analytics.

Cancer Mortality by 10y Age Bracket - absolute proof of inflection at Wk 14 2021 (Wonder)

1. Younger ages hit harder for now (first 4 panels)

2. PFE exists in the final 5 panels (exemplified by green lines). PFE is concealing the increase. When that PFE fades

...there will be NO WAY TO HIDE THIS
Based upon these charts, the actual cancer pull forward effect (PFE) for all ages falls around ~450 per week peak.

My models used 206 at peak - a 54% conservancy - Original estimate was 56 - 69%.

- sound
- conservative

Pandemic Aftermath Week 29 Update

Cancers turned the seasonal corner early - back to 7-sigma excess.

If you were going to spin a fraudulent 'cancer has not increased' claim, then 12 weeks ago was the time to do it. Too late now.

MMWR and Wonder data agree at 4.2% excess. Abnormal Clinical & Lab Findings Excess Mortality 16.1% above last year Wk 29. E-NCNC Mortality rose accordingly.

This means that whatever is causing this anomalous excess death is still here, and working even harder. It is sticky, persistent, or replicative in some way.

Pandemic Aftermath Update Wk 28 2023

Both Cancer & E-NCNC Mortality have turned the corner & left the 'spring lull'

MSM flagged ACM return to 'normal' right at the saddle point in the lull. They knew what they were doing (magician's sleight-of-hand)

...both higher than 2022

Non-Natural Mortality should not be exhibiting the spring lull, but is nonetheless - indicating some underlying causes of these deaths were NOT overdose, but rather a natural-cause factor.

Concealing Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause & Cancer Mortality - a common theme in the data

Pandemic Aftermath Update Wk 27 2023

As one can see, the US has indeed returned to baseline in terms of All Cause Mortality, as proclaimed widely in the MSM.

But that is NOT the story, and unwise are they who wallow in its red herring sauce. In terms of Excess Non-Natural Cause Mortality, we still reside at 15.7%.

The fact that this mortality now features a natural seasonality implies that natural deaths are concealed in this death category.

They've ceded the lockdown argument in an effort to protect the vaccine.

One must understand, that a real life operating model is nothing like an academic study:

1. Source Assumptions
2. Calculate Answer and Confidence Interval

Such analytic is fantasy. One study and done - move on to the next.

Little in the real world operates in this manner. Operating models require daily intervention = testing, babysitting, and challenging of model norms and constraints. Neither are they static. A model is a living breathing thing, which changes over time as it is challenged every single day.

People are so acclimated to being cajoled through simple huckster-speak on the part of those who claim authority, that they want to hear me express my points and evidence in that language as well. I don't speak in huckster. "All the great philosophers and groundbreaking innovators, started out by 'explaining it to 5-year olds...'"

Even a 5 year old knows this is BS, so don't expect me to buy such wisdom, nor undertake such a mission.

Covid Aftermath - Week 25 2023 Update

The good news: RXX deaths dropped

The bad news: This is the spring lull. These deaths are still 10.5% higher than last year's spring lull - and for no objective reason other than a continuation of the factor-\/, which began Dec 24, 2020. Accordingly, Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality jumped to 569,200 deaths as of wk 25 2023. A 15.1% excess.

64% of these excess deaths were in minor ICD codes, when normally this should be around 23% - indicating entropy, as well as a younger age of death in this group.

Covid Aftermath - Week 24 2023 Update

We begin with Excess Cancer Mortality, which jumped to 3.2% over the last few weeks. This might be the seasonal saddle-inflection - too soon to tell. Will need to confirm with Wonder MCoD data in early July. Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality rose to 15% excess. Too early for its seasonal saddle-inflection. We'll keep watch.

81% of these deaths are in ICD codes other than the top 12 (normally ~25%)... so some odd etiology or CDC work is at play. We shall see.

When each daily update entails significant change, decadal and generational influences are falsified as their genesis.

Don't get upset at me. Get upset at whoever obviated our comprehension as to how this system works. If this were 'container ship sulfur emission reductions' then the largest ocean warming would have occurred when the sun's geographic position was directly over the MOST ocean surface (Dec 2022).

Instead, the opposite is happening.

US Week 23 2023 Mortality Report

Encouraging news with cancer, as its mortality parallels the baseline for the 15th week in a row. However, it is still elevated to the excess by 2.8%. While below last year's absolute mortality for wk 23, we must bear in mind that this is lag period, and the MCoD for cancer mortality is 6.9% to the excess

...indicating that cancer deaths are simply being ascribed to other underlying causes right now, versus past practice.

How does the practitioner ever make a hard decision in complex business, markets, and strategy - without, oh gosh, 'peer review'? (🫣 *gasp!)

It's called 'accountability for results'. It is much more demanding, and has a much longer memory. twitter.com/i/web/status/1… When you have 50-100 employees, with kids being born and in college, and your payroll is 150% of your work backlog... I fear there is no dissertation or viva voce examination which even comes close to that pressure delivery situation. And it is years in the pursuing - 14 hours a… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

55% of North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature climate change since 1996 occurred in a mere 3 weeks of 2023.

There is only one single possible source for that much heat, in that short a timeframe.

This is global. It is NOT 'El Niño'. twitter.com/i/web/status/1… There is only one hypothesis which elegantly, or even remotely, can explain all the observations we have made regarding recent climate change.

theethicalskeptic.com/2020/02/16/the…