Here’s a thread on how I look at geopolitics.

🧵 State actors rarely act ideologically.

Everyone was blinded by Zionist ideology, obscuring their ability to look at the landscape objectively.

States always act to maximise security, power, influence, or a combination of all.

Ideological states do not survive.

Think of USSR.

This is a thread that will help you make sense of the Syrian conflict and what exactly the future holds for the region.

I have written this as a Q&A format.

Read on 🧵 How is the 1st Syrian War different to this 2nd Syrian war?

The US spearheaded the 1st Syrian War back in 2011 to topple Assad and cripple Russia economically by;

establishing the Turkey-Qatar Gas pipeline to Europe

and

severing Russia’s aerial/naval capabilities in the region.

Russia, Assad and Iran resisted in a bloody war to stop this from happening. Turkey and Qatar, along with the rest of GCC were all supporting the US in this 1st war.

In this 2nd war, Assad stepped down without any bloodshed. Iran effectively played no substantial role. Russia retained its aerial/naval bases without any concessions. The GCC backed Assad this time around. But Turkey and Qatar’s position was largely unchanged from the 1st war.

This is my analysis on the current middle east conflict.

A Thread The media states that a victory for Israel would be to eliminate terrorist groups like Hamas and Hezbollah. This is untrue. The real victory for Israel is the total ethnic cleansing needed to establish Greater Israel and shed the apartheid label they’re associated with.

They will aim for this even if it means starting WW3. This is primarily why they target civilians and rarely confront militant groups. This is why they indiscriminately carpet bomb rather than deploy military on ground.

It’s not because they are cowards or enjoy killing unarmed civilians. It’s also not because Hamas or Hezbollah are hiding behind civilians. These are fleeting arguments from both sides designed to influence the emotions of the public. Israel’s method of warfare is the fastest possible way to achieve ethnic cleansing. It’s the correct strategy.

The goal is to ethnically cleanse Palestinians as fast as possible while enduring the negative publicity that comes with that kind of operation. The longer Hamas exists in Gaza, the longer Israel can continue its ethnic cleansing. It’s in Israel’s best interest to not target Hamas.