GOALS CONCEDED THREAD GAMEWEEK 9

Welcome back! 😁

Giving you positional data to highlight potential trends and goalscorers 🔎

Starting with:

🔫 ARSENAL vs CRYSTAL PALACE 🦅

The odds are in favour of Arsenal, and the goals have been spread around, but it’s hard not to favour SAKA the most

As for Arsenal, just 3 goals conceded, but with 2 of those from Strikers, it’s MATETA who has the best chance
🔵 CHELSEA vs SUNDERLAND 🐈‍⬛

Sunderland haven’t conceded many, but it’s mainly from central positions, which heavily favours JOAO PEDRO and the likely to start MARC GUIU

Chelsea are conceding from very close range, and favouring the right hand side, favouring TRAORE

GOALS CONCEDED THREAD GAMEWEEK 8

Welcome back! 😁

Giving you positional data to highlight potential trends and goalscorers 🔎

Starting with:

🩵 MAN CITY vs EVERTON 🍬

Man City have conceded half their goals to Left Wingers, and with a position change I think NDIAYE could exploit that

Everton are the opposite, conceding all their goals from the opponents Right side, which could benefit REIJNDERS, and of course I’d highly recommend HAALAND
🔴 LIVERPOOL vs MAN UNITED 👹

Liverpool are conceding most of their chances from the opposing Right Wingers, this feels like a greats opportunity for MBEUMO

Man United have conceded the 2nd most xG to Strikers, meaning we could see ISAK’s first league goal for Liverpool

GOALS CONCEDED THREAD GAMEWEEK 6

Welcome back! 😁

Giving you positional data to highlight potential trends and goalscorers 🔎

Starting with:

🩵 MAN CITY vs BURNLEY 🟣

It’s looking like a massive opportunity for HAALAND to haul, certainly worth considering triple captaincy
🦅 CRYSTAL PALACE vs LIVERPOOL 🔴

Pretty low expected goals from both teams, it’s hard to draw any conclusions here

Palace slightly favour the Right Wingers, which of course benefits SALAH, but for Palace assets the usual MATETA would be my pick

GOALS CONCEDED THREAD GAMEWEEK 5

Welcome back! 😁

Giving you positional data to highlight potential trends and goalscorers 🔎

Disclaimer: It’s been just 4 Gameweeks, trust this data at your own risk ⚠️

Starting with:

🔨 WEST HAM vs PALACE 🦅

West Han are struggling from corners, I fancy one of LACROIX, RICHARDS or GUEHI to score here
🔴 LIVERPOOL vs EVERTON 🍬

Liverpool have conceded mainly from right wingers, benefiting the usual NDIAYE

Everton have a spread when it comes to xG conceded, but the biggest by far is from Strikers, which I expect will be ETIKITE

GOALS CONCEDED THREAD GAMEWEEK 4

Welcome back! 😁

Giving you positional data to highlight potential trends and goalscorers 🔎

Disclaimer: It’s been just 3 Gameweeks, trust this data at your own risk ⚠️

Starting with:

🟣 BURNLEY vs LIVERPOOL 🔴

Strikers have benefitted the most so far vs Burnley, and I think it’ll be EKITIKE leading the line this Gameweek
🍬 EVERTON vs ASTON VILLA 🦁

2.77xG generated from Right Wingers vs Villa is the 2nd highest of any position vs any team, making NDIAYE a solid pick

Most of Everton’s xG conceded has come through penalties, but it’s Strikers positionally who have the most, benefitting WATKINS

GOALS CONCEDED THREAD GAMEWEEK 3

We are so back! 😁

Giving you positional data to highlight potential trends and goalscorers 🔎

Disclaimer: It’s been just 2 Gameweeks, trust this data at your own risk ⚠️

Starting with:

🌳 FOREST vs WEST HAM 🔨

The hammers have conceded 4 goals from Strikers and Centre Backs, as well as 4 from corners, making WOOD and MILENKOVIC stellar picks!
👹 MAN UNITED vs BURNLEY 🟣

Both goals Man United have conceded have been high xG, can they keep the clean sheet?

Burnley have conceded 1.18xG to Strikers so far, which favours either SESKO or CUNHA, and 0.65xG from centre backs is the highest of any team, great for DE LIGT

Lineups from ALL 20 Premier League teams’ final preseason fixture ✍️

This will give us the closest indicator of what each teams’ full strength XI looks like 💪

% chances of starting indicated by the colour key 🟢🟡🟠🔴

Let’s get into it!

🧵 ARSENAL:

Full strength from Arsenal

Calafiori and Martinelli were subbed at half time for White and Madueke

Those are the 2 spots of highest contention, LW and LB

Gabriel came off at 63” for new LCB C. Mosquera, one to maybe be cautious of

Here’s a thread for Defensive Contribution points for Midfielders!

This MEGA THREAD shows EVERY midfielder’s average potential to achieve defensive action points and rating each of them!

Bookmark for the start of the season and follow for more useful graphics! 😁

🧵 Before you continue, here is a key explaining what the ratings mean: (remember, a midfielder needs 12+ defensive contributions to achieve a bonus +2 points)

💎 12+ Player is averaging above the threshold, expect +2 most of the time

🟢 11 - 11.99 Player is averaging just below the threshold, expect frequent +2

🟡 9 - 10.99 Player is averaging near the threshold, expect occasional +2

🟠 7 - 8.99 Player is averaging reasonably below the threshold, expect some +2

🔴 5 - 6.99 Player is far below the threshold, expect few +2

⚫️ <5 Player is regularly nowhere near the threshold, will rarely ever achieve +2

CBITR = Clearances, Blocks, Interceptions, Tackles and Recoveries

* = Player was at a different club

The only thread you’ll need to understand FPL Defensive Contribution points!

This MEGA THREAD shows EVERY defender’s average potential to achieve defensive action points and rating each of them!

Bookmark for the start of the season and follow for more useful graphics! 😁

🧵 Before you continue, here is a key explaining what the ratings mean: (remember, a defender needs 10+ defensive contributions to achieve a bonus +2 points)

💎 10+ Player is averaging above the threshold, expect +2 most of the time

🟢 9 - 9.99 Player is averaging just below the threshold, expect frequent +2

🟡 8 - 8.99 Player is averaging near the threshold, expect occasional +2

🟠 6 - 7.99 Player is averaging reasonably below the threshold, expect some +2

🔴 4 - 5.99 Player is far below the threshold, expect few +2

⚫️ <4 Player is regularly nowhere near the threshold, will rarely ever achieve +2

CBIT = Clearances, Blocks, Interceptions and Tackles

* = Player was at a different club

It makes a lot of sense to use the Free Hit in GW34, because the teams who get a double in GW33 (who you’d obviously want to own) blank immediately after in GW34

However, I’m committing to Free Hit GW29 😳

These are the reasons why it could work for your team too:

🧵 1/9
TEAM DEPENDENT

I currently own 6 players who will blank in GW29, and by committing to the strategy I plan on bringing more in, potentially getting up to 9 players blanking

2/9

ASSISTANT MANAGER CHIP MEGA THREAD

- Safe, Risky or Both? ⚠️
- Who To Pick? 🤔
- Data On Table Bonus 📊
- Managers To Target 🎯
- Best Time To Activate 🕰️
- The Secret Strategy 🤫
- Slot vs Moyes DGW24 🥊
- What Will The Majority Do? 👨‍✈️
- My Own Conclusions ✍️

🧵 First things first:

For the sake of simplicity, throughout this thread whenever I reference a team that plays another team 5+ places above (qualifying for table bonus), I will call them an “underdog”

I’ve collected data from Gameweek 16 to Gameweek 23, since the chip was announced, which I’ll showcase throughout the thread on:

- Individual scores
- 3 Gameweek runs
- What the player-base think

We’ve had 3 Gameweeks and now it’s a week long international break

So, to keep you occupied, let’s revisit my favourite theory…

THE TALISMAN

Here is the Talisman for every Premier League side so far:

🧵 Arsenal - SAKA

🥇 Shots (on target): 10 (7)
🥇 Shots in the box: 9
🥈 Big Chances: 3
🥈 xG: 1.33
🥇 xA: 0.67
🥇 Key Passes: 8

Worth saying HAVERTZ is a very close 2nd and would be your pick for a double up on Arsenal attack

Predicted lineups for ALL 20 Premier League teams:

I’ve done the research so you don’t have to, from fan forums to analytical pieces 👨‍💻

(%) = Confidence on the prediction

⭐️ = Players to consider

Drop a like as you’re scrolling if you find it useful! (this took A WHILE)

🧵 ARSENAL: (85%)

⭐️ Saka, Havertz, Ødegaard, Rice, Saliba, Gabriel, White, Raya

A few players could find their way into this team, there’s 8 locks but I’ll go over the maybes:

The main one is Jesus vs Partey, which sounds strange, but Havertz can play in either #9 or #8, meaning one of them fills in the other spot

Martinelli slightly favoured over Trossard

Zinchenko should keep his spot to play GW1, but Calafiori will make his way into this team