@SapientaCY Country Analysis #Cyprus Clients: Big Oil-Big 4-AMCs-UN-embassies etc. #ONGT #cyprob #EastMed #EconCy Likes=bookmarks @FionaMullenCY@econtwitter.net
Aug 7 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
We delved into northern #Cyprus tourism arrivals in our latest @SapientaCY monthly report. The “2.7 million” figure cited here is totally misleading for a number reasons. cc @visitcyprus 1/ 🧵
First, the arrivals by air + sea (ex crossing points) reached 798,879 according to the same sources cited by the guy in the article. Also note that that “arrivals” = more than tourists. It includes workers (see the big number for Turkmenistan), students, returning residents. 2/
Aug 5 • 14 tweets • 4 min read
How do you get to a situation where the Greek Cypriots say there is a date for a #cyprob meeting, the Turkish Cypriots say there isn’t, and the UN apparently confirms there isn’t? My hunches are as follows. 1/ 🧵
As I said in my latest monthly @SapientaCY report published 31 July “It is not unusual for the Greek Cypriots in particular to try to manage expectations by suggesting
that there will be significant developments, even when nothing ultimately materializes.” But 2/
Jun 1 • 14 tweets • 3 min read
Some thoughts about why #Cyprus seems incapable of doing big infrastructure projects and yet #Greece despite everything seems to do them well. (Am thinking energy especially.) Some background: 1/
The #Cyprus government recently cancelled a contract (issued under its predecessor) for the upgrade of Larnaca marina. This marina a long-running saga. The previous contractors were also sacked. And if I remember right 2/
Nov 13, 2023 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
Dear Cypriots, ahead of whatever this reveals (no I am not privy to it) a few words of advice from a pesky foreigner on how your reactions will be perceived. Thread. 1/ #Cyprus #ICIJ
If you say “foreigners are doing this so they can steal our business”, it will only make you look more guilty. 2/
Jan 11, 2022 • 27 tweets • 7 min read
OK. It has to be said. As someone who has spent big chunks of her voluntary + professional life in the past 20 years trying to help a federal solution of the #cyprob I would love this headline to to be true. But I am afraid the opinion polls say something else. #Cyprus. 1/n
Polls suggest that the historically dominant UBP of the late Rauf Denktash - the party currently all bent on a two-state solution - will come first. 2/
Jul 8, 2021 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
I have a really horrible feeling that the gravitational pull is towards annexation. So choice in 5 years’ time will not be 2 states v federal #cyprob solution but 2 states v formal annexation. New EU land border with Turkey anyone? How will the EU protect its TC-EU citizens then?
Am also somewhat horrified that quite a few Greek Cypriots don’t give a flying f**k about this scenario, which will inevitably see their “fellow brother compatriot Turkish Cypriots we have no problem with” locked up for protesting + generally thrown to the wolves. 2/
