Arun S. Chopra CFA CMT🧐's Threads

Feb 7, 2023 • 5 tweets • 2 min read

Feb 2022: Equal weighted $SPX 155, Federal Funds 0%

Feb 2023: Equal weighted $SPX 151, Federal Funds 4.5%

https://twitter.com/FusionptCapital/status/1487085769441173509

Also to give a sense of how not unusual this is, here is the progression in 2008.

Note that had you sold on the first hikes you not only needed the market to collapse *years* later but had ~6 months to re-enter. It's never as easy as the charts show etc.

$SPX $NVDA

Feb 6, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read

June vs Feb

Aug 2, 2022 • 8 tweets • 2 min read

$TNX $TLT

2 so far

Jun 8, 2022 • 32 tweets • 8 min read

#Gasoline

Jun 1, 2022 • 18 tweets • 5 min read

So here's the commodity grid I am watching, left side the intact stuff, right side where we are seeing breaks and/or near breaks.

Gasoline/Energy in the headlines but personally most interested in lower range on copper and the Ag trendline.

$CL_F $SPY $USO

$DBA trendline gone.

May 27, 2022 • 6 tweets • 2 min read

A, this isn't a prediction, B, I get it, C, note today's refinery news.

Doubt many remember but in '06 gasoline magically dropped in the 4 months prior to the mid-term. Was also the last time we saw talks of gouging and 6 dollar gas etc.

$USO $CL_F $ES_F

Zoom in here on 06 vs today. The price magically dropped essentially out of the blue then recovered the following year.

The political language was nearly identical, but yes the supply, ideology, geopol etc etc factors were different (they generally are).

May 13, 2022 • 5 tweets • 1 min read

POWELL: IN HINDSIGHT WE SHOULD NOT HAVE CAUSED A BUBBLE BECAUSE THAT IS BAD.

May 6, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read

Apr 12, 2022 • 5 tweets • 1 min read

Thread is nuts

Apr 11, 2022 • 14 tweets • 4 min read

Apr 10, 2022 • 6 tweets • 2 min read

Apr 6, 2022 • 11 tweets • 3 min read

please sir

Apr 2, 2022 • 14 tweets • 4 min read

Keeping an eye on the 4 leaders as they approach or are at their 200 DMA's.

The MA itself is relatively irrelevant but the slope of all are either flat to down which I tend to care about.

$BTCUSD $SOLUSD $ETHUSD

Mar 31, 2022 • 23 tweets • 6 min read