I write about generational companies that go unnoticed. Strong opinions, loosely held.
Jul 21 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
Let’s talk about $GRAB GrabAds.
$216M run-rate business growing 60% YoY.
I believe this could be the greatest contributor to Grab’s bottom-line within the next 2 years. 🧵👇 1/ GrabAds Today
GrabAds currently has 191,000 monthly active advertisers on its platform, up 49% YoY.
Average spend grew 30% YoY, driving Ad revenue to make up 1.7% of Deliveries GMV as of Q1 2025.
Grab’s ad product breadth is extremely wide, ranging from in-app sponsored listings, search, feed video, display, vouchers to offline formats (car wraps, in-car screens etc)…
Grab keeps Ads revenue inside the Deliveries P&L for now, but management has called it out as the primary driver of Deliveries margin expansion.
Jul 7 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
$GRAB COO Alex Hungate just spoke at the Asia Economic Summit.
He spoke extensively about $GRAB.
Here are the 5 most important takeaways for investors: 🧵 1) Grab engineers stopped shipping for 9 weeks, costing the business $100M
Grab instructed its engineers to pause “business-as-usual” operations for a 9 week period last year, dubbing the period a “Generative AI sprint”
Engineers stopped shipping features and instead focused solely on experimenting with AI.
“It’s kind of a crazy thing to do for a company of our scale”
“The cost of that is probably just our engineering time for nine weeks - about US$100 million.”
Jun 9 • 12 tweets • 5 min read
$TSM is arguably among the top 5 most important businesses in the world.
It is the key to modern computing and the backbone of the AI wave.
Here’s why I believe it is a business worthy of my investment dollars 👇🧵 1) When people think chips, they think Nvidia, Intel or AMD, perhaps even Apple.
But quietly, TSMC is the SINGLE most important company in global computing.
From iPhones to Data Centers to AI Clusters, the digital era runs on silicon crafted by TSMC.
May 30 • 13 tweets • 5 min read
$CPNG is my first purchase of 2025.
It is entering the profitability inflection phase, margins are expanding and is set for a strong decade ahead.
Here is my $CPNG investment thesis: 🧵 1/ Coupang is building what many call the “Amazon of South Korea”
That analogy undersells what Coupang has achieved.
BREAKING: Institutional 1Q'25 Changes to $GRAB Ownership
There have been some very notable additions to $GRAB's shareholder base. 🧵👇 1) The top 4 institutional holders of $GRAB made no changes. These include:
- $UBER
- Softbank
- Toyota
- MUFG Bank
Mar 28 • 22 tweets • 8 min read
3 months ago, Google, Temasek and Bain released their annual Southeast Asia e-Conomy Report.
Here are 20 key takeaways from the 128-page report.
This is a must-read for $GRAB and $SE investors. 🧵 1/ The 6 Leading Sectors in the Digital Economy:
1. E-Commerce 2. Food Delivery 3. Transport 4. Online Travel 5. Online Media 6. Financial Services
$SE and $GRAB are major players in the SEA digital economy, with each of them being involved in 4/6 key sectors.
Mar 2 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
$SE and $GRAB will DOMINATE the SEA banking space for ONE simple fact.
👉 They will bank the underbanked, who are structurally un-bankable.
And there are 420 MILLION of them.
Let me explain 👇🧵
1/ Traditional Banks in SEA are unable to bank 60% of Southeast Asians adequately.
In Southeast Asia, two tech giants are competing to harness the region’s digital potential, but they are doing so with very different playbooks.
Sea Limited and Grab Holdings have both emerged as leaders. Yet their strategies, origins, and business models diverge sharply.
While Sea Limited has built a multi‑vertical ecosystem spanning digital entertainment, e‑commerce, and digital financial services, Grab has evolved into an all‑in‑one super‑app focused on mobility, deliveries, and financial services.
In this post, I go through the history of both companies, the current competitive landscape and where I think the future lies.
Feb 14 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
$GRAB reports earnings next week! 🥳
These are the 5 KEY metrics investors must look out for: 🧵 1. Group Monthly Transacting Users
This is the north star metric for $GRAB. The beauty of the Grab business model is their ecosystem flywheel.
Each incremental ride-hailing or food delivery user is a future customer of GFin, vice-versa.
$GRAB’s MTUs have increased consistently over the past 7 quarters.
It is essential that this continues to trend the way it has, and I believe it will, with the tailwinds within the SEA economy.
Jan 23 • 17 tweets • 8 min read
The primary reason for my strong optimism about $SE and $GRAB in the medium to long term lies in the demographics of the regions they serve, particularly Southeast Asia.
The tailwinds of the SEA economy into 2030 and beyond are huge. 🧵 1/
$SE and $GRAB operate predominantly in Southeast Asia, a region that remains under-appreciated and often misunderstood by many US based investors.
This unfamiliarity has likely contributed to the significant undervaluation of these companies in recent years, especially following the post-COVID market correction.
Dec 29, 2024 • 15 tweets • 13 min read
$UBER v $GRAB
Past, Present and Future.
🧵 1/
In the battle for ride-hailing supremacy, Uber and Grab have emerged as global and regional leaders, respectively, redefining urban mobility.
While Uber has revolutionised the transportation landscape on a global scale, Grab has established itself as a Southeast Asian powerhouse, tailoring its offerings to the region's unique challenges and opportunities.
In this post, I will go through the history of both companies, its current situation, and where I think the future lies.
Dec 6, 2024 • 24 tweets • 8 min read
Last month, Google, Temasek and Bain released their annual Southeast Asia e-Conomy Report.
Here are 20 key takeaways from the 128-page report.
This is a must-read for $GRAB and $SE investors. 🧵 1/ The 6 Leading Sectors in the Digital Economy:
1. E-Commerce 2. Food Delivery 3. Transport 4. Online Travel 5. Online Media 6. Financial Services
$SE and $GRAB are major players in the SEA digital economy, with each of them being involved in 4/6 key sectors.
Nov 28, 2024 • 13 tweets • 5 min read
Ride-hailing and deliveries are sub-par businesses.
Competitors come at you relentlessly.
You spend millions to fight for market share only to see a new competitor pop up, quarter after quarter.
So why do I own $GRAB? 🧵
GFin: The Ultimate Goal
1. GFin is Grab’s newest business line.
Started in 2022, GFin was launched to consolidate its financial services.
It currently operates 4 main services: Digital Payments, Digital Banking, Insurance, and Lending.
Sep 19, 2024 • 12 tweets • 5 min read
$SE and $GRAB are two of Southeast Asia’s largest and most influential technology companies, yet both find themselves down at least 60% from ATHs.
Here is the reason why the market is wrong about them and why they are two of my largest holdings going into the biggest growth trajectory the region has ever seen. 🔽1/
Despite operating in different primary sectors—Grab as a superapp and Sea Limited through its gaming and e-commerce focus—both companies are positioning themselves at the center of Southeast Asia’s digital economy.
Here’s a thread…
BahamaBen: Redfin $RDFN @BahamaBen9
- B2B and B2C have been around for decades
- But over the last decade, a new trend has emerged…
- E2E, companies focused on delivering End to End powered by a fusion of software and people (Real-World Software Companies)
Jun 18, 2021 • 20 tweets • 5 min read
$SKLZ CEO Andrew Paradise recently went on Ark’s FYI Podcast to discuss Competitive Mobile Gaming.
Here are my takeaways…
1/
AP first thought of the idea of $SKLZ in 2004 when Valve open-sourced the first game engine.
Idea wasn’t as interesting/lucrative back then because there was a lack of infrastructure to build out tech to integrate into game engines. (Lack of games on the half-life engine)
- Excluding $16b in Cash + Stake in Pokemon (Niantic)
- Enterprise Value: $46b
- EV/Op. Profit: 7.8x
- The Operating Profit multiple is so low because investors don’t believe in the staying power of the Switch console
- Wii console in 2010s was gimmicky, relatively interesting but had lack of staying power
- This could be the reason for investors lacking belief in Switch
- Difference between Switch and Wii
1. Switch has an account linked to Nintendo, easy to roll people over to new gen