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Feb 17, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
A boom in auto exports through the pandemic has catapulted China up through the ranks and ahead of export powerhouses like Germany and South Korea.
But there are signs that the explosive growth is prompting regulatory pushback from governments in developed markets, particularly Europe which is the destination for about a third of Chinese auto exports.
Dec 8, 2022 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Despite the -60% fall in natural gas prices over the last three months, Europe’s energy woes continue. Among the big problems facing Europeans this winter is nuclear power—or rather a shortage of it, as 40% of France’s nuclear generation capacity remains out of action.
Nuclear power is a key pillar of the European power grid, making up 11% of Europe’s installed capacity and generating 24% of electricity produced in 2021. And of Europe’s 114GW of nuclear capacity, more than half—61.4GW—is in France.
Oct 14, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Strict Covid controls and an uncompromising new national security regime have driven a reversal in Hong Kong’s net migration flows since 2019. The first six months of 2022 saw a net outflow of 95,000 people, compared with a net inflow of 50,000 in the first half of 2019.
Two and a half years of Covid controls on movement have deterred immigration from mainland China and the rest of the world. Meanwhile, the harsh national security law imposed in 2020 has encouraged more Hong Kong residents to leave.
Sep 29, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
The UK, Norway and the Netherlands produced 9% of the world’s natural gas up to 2005, when Europe’s gas supply was more secure.
Since 2005 natural gas production fell sharply due to a combination of maturing gas fields, high production costs, low prices, high taxes and tighter environmental regulation.
Dec 13, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Asia’s status as a net commodity importer makes it vulnerable to price shocks. But despite the recent run-up in prices of food and oil contributing to sharp increases in producer prices, it has been puzzling to see limited pass-through into Asian consumer price indexes.
Disaggregating the data reveals that China, where state-owned enterprises have shouldered the burden of rising input costs without a commensurate increase in output prices, is a big outlier.
Sep 30, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Chinese iron ore prices have tumbled as the country’s property market slows and local authorities expand restrictions on steel output, even as domestic steel prices remain elevated.
The drop in iron ore prices represents the unwinding of a Covid-19 squeeze which drove both steel and iron ore prices to record highs in the first half of 2021.
Dec 18, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
If anyone still had doubts, this week European Central Bank meeting was a convincing reminder that negative interest rate policies and quantitative easing are here to stay.
For the eurozone banking sector, this is a triple hit to profitability as reserves are taxed instead of being remunerated, interest rates are low and the yield curve is flat.