1) A short thread on what I think is happening and coming next.
I've been using a new formula, basically a dumb man's (me) r0, to predict case growth. The results seem promising so far.
This new formula indicates that we are very close to a peak.
2) Once case growth hits that dashed line, we're a day or two away from our peak.
Again this method is new to me, so it could be totally off, BUT...
I think the Public Health establishment, who have failed every step of the way, are seeing what I'm seeing.
3) That's why there's the sudden HUGE push for vaxports. This is their dying breath. It's their last chance to attach a restriction to a natural peak, as they always do (lockdowns 2 & 3), so they can take credit for the decline.