Goshawk Trades Profile picture
Turning Ideas Into Trading Systems | From 0 to 9+ Algos In 4 Years | Follow For Insights Into Data-Driven Trading And Algorithmic Trading | Not Financial Advice
8 subscribers
Dec 17 10 tweets 4 min read
This is Jeff Yan.

He is the co-founder of Hyper Liquid, doing $10B in daily volume.

He went from being a quant at Hudson River Trading to running one of the largest decentralized exchanges in crypto.

Here's what you need to know: Image Context:

After graduating from Harvard with degrees in computer science and math.

Jeff started his career at Hudson River Trading, one of the biggest market makers in the world.

In 2018, he left HRT after becoming fascinated by Ethereum's smart contracts.
Dec 12 9 tweets 4 min read
Learning trading is incredibly difficult.

Becoming profitable is even harder.

But books have been a crucial part of my journey, accelerating my progress to above 6 figures.

Here are 5 lessons from one book you need to read: Image Context:

The book is called:
"Leveraged Trading: A professional approach to trading FX, stocks on margin, CFDs, spread bets and futures for all traders"

It is one of the four books Rober Carver (former institutional trader) has written.

I recommend you check them out. Image
Dec 11 8 tweets 3 min read
$287,565 in historical profits, with a 48.26% win rate.

All by using 3 parameters.

But does it hold up under more scrutiny?

Let's find out in 60 seconds: Image Strategy logic:

• Uses a fast Hull Moving Average crossing over/under a slow Hull Moving Average for trade signals.
• Only takes trades if ADX value is above X.
• Long trades when fast HMA crosses above slow HMA
• Vice versa for shorts.

Super simple, but does it hold up? Image
Dec 9 11 tweets 4 min read
This is Laurens Bensdorp.

He has developed over 50 trading systems that he trades simultaneously.

His systematic approach has allowed him to trade profitably in bull, bear, and even sideways markets.

Here are 6 lessons from his recent interviews: Image 1. The two main questions you need to ask before backtesting.
Dec 4 11 tweets 4 min read
This is Bruce Kovner.

He is worth $8.6 billion and ran a successful hedge fund for 28 years,

Returning 21% on average each year.

But it all started with his first trade using $3,000 borrowed on his credit card.

Here are 6 lessons from him: Image Context:

Bruce Kovner's path to trading began as an NYC cab driver in 1977, when he was writing his PHD while at Harvard.

With $3,000 borrowed on his MasterCard, he made his first trade in soybean futures.

The position grew to $40,000 before dropping to $23,000.
Dec 3 11 tweets 4 min read
I've built 1000s of trading strategies over the past 5 years,

95% of them failed miserably,

But the last 5% have led me to profit over 6 figures.

Here are 7 key principles you need to build winning strategies: Image 1. Keep it simple but not simplistic.

Complex strategies with many parameters are prone to overfitting. Focus on simple, theoretically sound approaches.

The best strategies often have just a few key parameters and clear logic behind them.

Robust is better than fancy.
Nov 20 10 tweets 3 min read
This is Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

He's a Distinguished Professor, who predicted and profited from both the 1987 and 2008 market crashes.

He is also the author of one of the most influential books on market probability.

Here's how you can learn directly from him for free: Image Taleb is a mathematical statistician, former option trader, and risk analyst.

He is a fountain of knowledge regarding probability and statistics,

And you can find most of his "mini-lectures" on these topics for free online.

Here are 5 clips from the best ones: Image
Nov 13 10 tweets 2 min read
David Harding (billionaire quant hedge fund manager) once said:

“Anyone who's complacent in my business is waiting to have their head handed to them”

Here are 7 things I learned from him: 1. "We trade everything using trend following systems, and it works. By simulation, you come up with ideas and hypotheses, and you test those. Over the years, what we’ve done, essentially, is conduct experiments."
Nov 12 11 tweets 4 min read
How to create automated trading strategies that work (without overfitting):

(A thread) Image 1. Keep systems simple.

Focus on simple strategies built around core strategy types.

Simple systems are less prone to overfitting, easier to understand and maintain, and often perform better out-of-sample.

Just don't confuse simple with easy to do.
Nov 6 7 tweets 3 min read
4 probability concepts you need to understand as a trader to improve.

1. The power of large sample size. As sample size increases, results tend to converge to the expected value.

This is known as the Law of Large Numbers (LLN).

This is important to know as it plays a huge role in probability and expected value.

If you have too small of a sample size it is harder to trust. Image
Nov 5 8 tweets 3 min read
Larry Connors created one of the most popular strategy books ever written:

"Short Term Trading Strategies That Work"

After a decade, let's see how one of them fairs.

Here's what I discovered: Image The strategy:

1. The symbol is above its 200-day moving average
2. If the symbol closes at a 7-day low, buy.
3. If the symbol closes at a 7-day high, sell your long position.

Clean and simple with logical reasoning increasing the chances of the robustness of the strategy. Image
Nov 4 13 tweets 4 min read
11 books that could have saved me from losing thousands in my first year of trading.

1. Leveraged Trading: A professional approach to trading FX, stocks on margin, CFDs, spread bets and futures for all traders Image 2. Algorithmic Trading: Winning Strategies and Their Rationale Image
Oct 22 8 tweets 3 min read
The best free lectures on quantitative trading from the top universities in the world:

1. Mathematics with Applications in Finance by MIT. Over 20 hours of content ranging from:

• Probability theory
• Regression analysis
• Portfolio Management

Giving you a great introduction with no student debt needed. Image
Oct 21 12 tweets 3 min read
This guy found the secret to building momentum strategies.

• PhD in finance
• Former Marine
• Wrote one of the best momentum books out there.

His insights on momentum strategies are gold for systematic traders.

Here are the 6 key lessons you should know: Image 1. Momentum definition and basic concept.
Oct 16 11 tweets 3 min read
The biggest misconception in trading:

That everyone is using the same trading data.

Let me explain: Image First, we need to understand the common types of data providers:

• Raw Data Providers - Often unprocessed, tick-by-tick data.
• Consolidated Feed Providers - Aggregate data from multiple exchanges into a single feed.
• Aggregated Providers - Combining from multiple sources.
Oct 9 9 tweets 3 min read
One technique that has helped me create 6-figure trading strategies:

Monte Carlo Simulations.

But what is it? and how do you do the same?

Here's everything you need to know (explained simply): Image What are Monte Carlo Simulations?

It is a powerful statistical technique to model the probability of different outcomes.

At its core, it performs a risk analysis by resequencing the historical trades of a backtest.

It keeps doing this for 100s of iterations.
Oct 8 12 tweets 5 min read
I just finished backtesting 3 of the most popular volume trading indicators over the past 24 years.

The results were surprising...

Here is what I found summarized in 3 minutes: Image Context:

Each one of these indicators solve different problems when implementing them into a strategy.

I will discuss their basic implementation and provide a simple historical backtest,

But further testing techniques are necessary for more thorough validation of the results.
Oct 7 10 tweets 3 min read
9 books that explain how algorithmic trading works and how to get started:

1. Building Winning Algorithmic Trading Systems: A Trader's Journey From Data Mining to Monte Carlo Simulation to Live Trading Image 2. Quantitative Trading: How to Build Your Own Algorithmic Trading Business Image
Sep 25 14 tweets 4 min read
Look at this guy.

He built Renaissance Technologies, a hedge fund that returned 66%, per year for 30 years.

Dubbed the "Quant King", I watched 10+ hours of his public talks to learn everything I could about him.

Here are his most powerful lessons that made him $30 billion: Image The importance of large sample sizes to be able to tell the statistical significance of an "anomaly," e.g., a potential predictive signal.
Sep 18 19 tweets 6 min read
Over the past 5 years, I've read over 100 research papers on trading strategies.

And the truth is, 95% of them held absolutely no alpha.

So, I've created a list of 11 that would be worth your time (bookmark this thread): Context:

Most published ideas require refinement rather than immediate application;

Their true value lies in fostering creativity. I absorb as much information as possible to enhance my ability to build/find strategies.

So here are the 10 I found quite useful:
Sep 16 11 tweets 4 min read
Tim Grittani turned $1,500 into $13,000,000.

He has priceless insights into being a consistent trader as he has been so for over a decade.

Here are 6 takeaways on how he did it: Image 1. Focusing on one setup.

Concentrating on mastering a single setup before expanding can lead to faster profitability and development as a trader.

In the beginning, there is a lot of ignorance and debt you have to overcome to really understand a setup.