Grumpy Old Frog Profile picture
20 years on Wall Street, now doing something fun… moved on from Covid, interested in the economy and what the mainstream media doesn’t tell us.
Jan 13, 2021 14 tweets 5 min read
The current strategy to beat Coivd is not working.

Cases and hospitalizations are at record highs.

Every city, county and state has been hit.

It is time to ask, what's wrong with the current strategy?

What can we do differently?

1/thread Places with tight restrictions and high mask usage have been hit as hard as places without.

We've been doing the same thing for almost a year now.

Mass PCR testing, masks and social restrictions are not the answer.

Which begs the question, what is a viable solution?
2/
Dec 30, 2020 8 tweets 4 min read
Given @JudgeClayJ & @DCHHS aren't going to update the weekly summary tables, I'll explain why they stopped being transparent.

The failure to protect LTC residents has been a big part of the increase in hospitalizations and deaths...
1/8
@JJKoch @JWP03 @Johnson4Dallas @GovAbbott Total cases are up 70% in Dallas County in the last 10 wks.

LTC cases are up 169% in Dallas County in that same timeframe.

This has led to a 70% increase in LTC deaths.
2/8
Oct 22, 2020 9 tweets 4 min read
The IFR for Covid is trending down in the US.
It is now around 0.20% for the entire country,
And trending lower…

The US got off to a very bad start, i.e., NYC, which skewed the #'s, and everyone's perception on the IFR.
(see below)
1/9 The "To Date" IFR is around 0.30-0.36%
This is what most "experts" use for their models, some are still higher.

The 30/60/90 day IFR is around 0.20%
That's 40% lower.

But what about…
2/9