Recently, information about the mass withdrawal of mercenaries of PMC Wagner from Belarus to Russia on vacation has been actively spread in the informational space. Let’s review the development of the situation in chronological order. Thread ⬇️
1/10 📍On August 5, we received screenshots from the drivers’ chat, where it was said that unknown people were allegedly looking for buses with drivers in Belarus to send passengers from Asipovichy to Krasnodar, Rostov-on-Don, Moscow and St.Petersburg.
2/10

10 helicopters of the Russian Aerospace Forces left Belarus.

Today at around 8:15-8:20, a group of 10 Russian helicopters took off from Machulishchy airfield:
• 4 Mi-8 of the Russian Aerospace Forces;
• 6 Mi-24 of the Russian Aerospace Forces.
1/5 The helicopters flew to the east/southeast and were later spotted over Mahiliou region, flying towards the border with Russia, which they later crossed. We note that most of them spent 209 days in Belarus (since January 8, 2023).
2/5

At least 100 pieces of military equipment have been withdrawn from Belarus in a week.
According to @belzhd_live, 5 military cargo trains with equipment and personnel of the Russian Armed Forces left the territory of Belarus for Voronezh oblast (Russia) from July 3 to July 5.
1/9 On July 5, a military cargo train No. 961 with 43 cars went from Palonka station (Baranavichy district, Brest region) to Maslovka station (Voronezh oblast, Russia).
2/9

Lukashenko is now meeting with foreign journalists. He has already said that Prigozhin is not in Belarus at the moment, neither are Wagner mercenaries. He also sees no risks of their deployment in the country and believes that they can be used “to defend Belarus.”
1/4 “As far as I am informed this morning, Wagner fighters are in their camps. In permanent camps, where they were after the withdrawal from the front for recovery.”
“I see absolutely no risks from the deployment of the PMC Wagner,” Lukashenko said.
2/4

A field camp for ~8000 people was built near Asipovichy, where the PMC Wagner could be stationed.
@BBCWorld published fresh satellite images of the territory of the former military unit No. 61732 in Tsel village (Asipovichy district, Mahiliou region) dated June 30, 2023.
1/5 They clearly show that construction of the field camp is completed. We managed to detect that there are ~298 tents in the images. We can see that these are M-30 tents, which have an average capacity of 30 people.
2/5

Prigozhin is in Belarus, but the PMC Wagner is not: a planned disinformation campaign. Part 1

In the past few days, we have received a lot of information related to the PMC Wagner, Prigozhin and Belarus.

*Everything mentioned in the publication is valid as of 16:30, 28.06.
1/10 As of 16:30 on June 28, the Belarusian Hajun believes that part of the information and statements spread in various sources is a planned disinformation campaign, but there was also truth.
2/10

Various Telegram channels spread insides that Prigozhin is already in Minsk, but we can’t confirm this information. However, we can say where his planes, which he usually uses, are.
The first, business jet BAe 125-800B (RA-02731), has been in Moscow since June 22.
1/4 The second, which is his main plane, Embraer Legacy 600 (RA-02795), flew yesterday from St. Petersburg to the south of Russia and returned to St. Petersburg late evening.
Thus, at least we know that Prigozhin didn’t arrive in Belarus by his planes.
2/4

Drills of the Belarusian and Russian Armed Forces in Belarus are extended till at least July 2.
June 24-25 were days off for some training grounds, and other continue to work with no days off: Asipovichski, Obuz-Liasnouski, Liepielski, Damanava, and Nioman.
1/6 The extension of drills at the Belarusian training grounds from June 26 is as follows:
•Barysauski training ground (Barysau district) until 01.07;
• Hozhski training ground (Hrodna district) until 30.06;
• Brestski training ground (Brest district) until 01.07;
2/6

Yesterday, June 25, at 15:12, An-124 “Ruslan” transport aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces (RA-82030) landed at Minsk National Airport. The aircraft arrived from Ulyanovsk, Russia, and stayed in Belarus for almost a day.
1/4 On June 26 at 13:03, it flew back to Russia and at 14:15 landed at Vnukovo airport.
It’s unknown what was the purpose for the arrival of the An-124 to Belarus, this could be a commercial flight.
2/4

According to our information, today from 18:25 to 19:10, five Il-76 military transport aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces flew from Machulishchy airfield back to Russia (to the departure airfield). These aircraft arrived in Belarus from Pskov yesterday evening.
1/5 According to our information, the aircraft left empty. We note that they arrived in Belarus also empty. Thus, the aircraft just stayed at Machulishchy airfield for a day and flew back.
2/5

⚡️ Five Il-76 of the Russian Aerospace Forces arrived in Belarus from Russia.

According to the Belarusian Hajun, five Il-76 of the Russian Aerospace Forces are now landing one after another at Machulishchy airfield.
1/ According to our data, these aircraft arrive in Belarus empty.

Chronology of landing:
• 17:50 — The first Il-76 of the Russian Aerospace Forces landed at Machulishchy airfield.
• 18:05 — the second Russian Il-76 landed at Machulishchy airfield.

“There has never been anything more terrifying in Russian history than the Smuta”: in its statement regarding the situation in the south of Russia, the Security Council of Belarus supported the war in Ukraine and called the conflict in Russia “a gift to the collective West.”
1/4 The Security Council also said that those involved in the conflict “are needed where the future of the Slavic world and the fate of millions of our people are decided.”
2/4

Members of the European Parliament, national parliaments of the EU and the U.S. appealed to the President of Portugal to prevent the easing of sanctions against Belarusian potash fertilizers. According to the MPs, there are a number of reasons for this.
Noted by @zerkalo_io
1/4 The MPs stressed that the lifting of sanctions against Belaruskali could not only worsen the situation with human rights in Belarus, but also provide finances for Lukashenko and Putin. The MPs note that Russia often uses Belarus to circumvent sanctions.
2/4

Report on military activity on the territory of Belarus on June 22 by the Belarusian Hajun:


Online map of military activity in Belarus: https://t.co/7Z84dEBuRg
1/10motolko.help/en-news/belaru…
hajunby.motolko.help 📍Aviation activity:
• Aviation activity was recorded at Machulishchy, Baranavichy and Lida airfields. Flights of aircraft and helicopters of the Belarusian Air Force and Russian Aerospace Forces were recorded.
2/10

Report on military activity on the territory of Belarus on June 21 by the Belarusian Hajun:


Online map of military activity in Belarus: https://t.co/7Z84dEBuRg
1/5motolko.help/en-news/belaru…
hajunby.motolko.help 📍Aviation activity:
• Aviation activity was recorded at Machulishchy and Lida airfields. Flights of aircraft and helicopters of the Belarusian Air Force and Russian Aerospace Forces were recorded.

📍No rail activity was recorded.
2/5

Drills of the Belarusian and Russian Armed Forces in Belarus are extended till at least June 25.
June 17-18 are days off for some training grounds, and other training grounds continue to work with no days off: Asipovichski, Obuz-Liasnouski, Liepielski, Damanava.
1/6 The extension of drills at the Belarusian training grounds from June 19 is as follows:
•Barysauski training ground (Barysau district) until 24.06;
• Hozhski training ground (Hrodna district) until 23.06;
• Brestski training ground (Brest district) until 24.06;
2/6

The Belarusian Hajun currently sees no evidence of the transfer of nuclear weapons to Belarus.
Today, speaking at the SPIEF, Putin said that Russia had transferred part of nuclear weapons to Belarus.
As of 23:20, 16.06.23, we have no confirmation of this statement.
1/9 “The first nuclear weapons have been delivered to the territory of Belarus. But only the first ones. This is the first part. But by the end of summer, by the end of the year, we will complete this work fully,” he said.
2/9

Report on military activity on the territory of Belarus on June 15 by the Belarusian Hajun:
motolko.help/en-news/belaru…

Online map of military activity in Belarus: hajunby.motolko.help
1/6 📍Aviation activity:
• Aviation activity was recorded at Machulishchy and Lida airfields. Flights of helicopters and aircraft of the Belarusian Air Force and Russian Aerospace Forces were recorded.
2/6

Report on military activity on the territory of Belarus on June 14 by the Belarusian Hajun:
motolko.help/en-news/belaru…

Online map of military activity in Belarus: hajunby.motolko.help
1/6 📍Aviation activity:
• Aviation activity was recorded at Machulishchy and Lida airfields. Flights of helicopters of the Belarusian Air Force and Russian Aerospace Forces were recorded.
2/6

The Russian defense line is built extremely close to the Belarusian border.
@bradyafr published a satellite image by Planet of a sector of the Belarusian-Russian border dated May 31, 2023. It was noticed by Flagshtok.
1/5 The image clearly shows that the Russian defense line is located near Ryabinovka village in the Klimovo district (Bryansk oblast, Russia), 6 kilometers from the border with Ukraine, and reaches the border with Belarus.
2/5

Russian S-400 SAM systems were brought to the 25th missile arsenal near Stoubtsy.
Today the Belarusian Ministry of Defense reported that another set of S-400 SAM systems had arrived in Belarus from Russia.
1/4 According to our information, this afternoon, a military cargo train carrying S-400 SAM systems was spotted near Kolasava (Stoubtsy district, Minsk region).
2/4