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Hal Brands Profile picture
Hal Brands
@HalBrands
Prof JHU-SAIS, scholar AEI, Bloomberg Opinion columnist. https://t.co/RsJJkWATeL Co-author of The Lessons of Tragedy.
3 subscribers
Nov 7, 2022 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
The US isn’t the only country worried about war in the Taiwan Strait. See the first of four dispatches from key countries grappling with choices about to confront a conflict. Stop 1 was Tokyo, where the Chinese challenge is promoting a quiet revolution in Japanese statecraft—and pushing that country to prepare for a fight.
Sep 18, 2022 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
What do the history of World War II and the war in Ukraine have in common? They both indicate the US military isn't nearly ready for a major war with China in the Western Pacific. A thread based on my long weekend piece for @opinion

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Ukraine war reminds us modern conflict can be prodigiously costly--it consumes munitions and expensive platforms at astonishing rate. Just look at how much trouble Western coalition is having supplying Ukraine with what it needs without depleting its own armories dangerously.
Sep 13, 2022 • 14 tweets • 2 min read
A few thoughts about the significance and implications of Ukraine's recent breakthroughs. THREAD First, this shows just how devastatingly effective the cooperation between the US and committed partner can be. It seems clear from reporting that US officials were deeply involved in planning this op--and steering Kiev away from lower-percentage, higher-risk play in southeast.
Sep 10, 2022 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
If Russia's battlefield situation in Ukraine is as bad as it seems, it will create serious dilemmas for China. A thread: My view has long been that: a) Xi Jinping is probably dismayed that Putin launched such a ham-handed, incompetent invasion of Ukraine so soon after signing the "no limits" declaration; in part because
Jul 23, 2022 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
All the hubbub surrounding Pelosi's potential trip to Taiwan is making one thing very clear: We are, alas, probably overdue for a major political-military crisis in US-China relations. Not a crisis over trade, or COVID, or someone else's war (as in case of Ukraine), but crisis that brings two sides face to face in an area where both have highly important, perhaps vital, security interests.
Aug 31, 2020 • 19 tweets • 7 min read
COVID-19 and World Order, a book I co-edited with Frank Gavin, now officially exists...thanks to @JHUPress, which turned a manuscript into a book in the unheard-of period of 6 weeks.

amazon.com/Hal-Brands/dp/… Book has 23 chapters from distinguished contributors, covering everything from public health plans for the next pandemic, to future shape of international institutions, to issues grand strategy in the wake of COVID. Just a few of the most interesting contributions include: