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HomeRunPredict
@HomeRunPredict
Daily MLB home run projections, slate breakdowns. Follow for sharp HR spots daily | Join ➡️ https://t.co/uL6TtAJaeA | Partner @pikkitsports @PlayProphetX
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Jul 1
•
15 tweets
•
7 min read
7/1
MLB HR Slate
14 games on the board today.
36.0
total projected home runs
2.6
average per game
Top projected HR games:
DET @ NYY — 3.0
NYM @ TOR — 2.8
CWS @ BAL — 2.7
MIN @ HOU — 2.7
SD @ CHC — 2.6
LAD @ ATH — 2.6
Game-by-game HRP + value plays below 👇 CWS @ BAL (12:35 PM ET)
Top HRP: Colson Montgomery 19.7% (+407 / +290 Fanatics), Pete Alonso 18.9% (+428 / +335 Novig), Coby Mayo 18.4% (+442 / +425 ESPN Bet)
Value Picks: Leody Taveras +1000 Bet365 (+3.3% EV), Chase Meidroth +1200 Bet365 (+2.2% EV), Blaze Alexander +750 Bet365 (+1.2% EV)
ML: BAL -135 | CWS +122 | O/U: 10.0
Weather: 94°F, 6 mph out to RF — strong HR boost.
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Jun 30
•
16 tweets
•
7 min read
6/30 MLB HR Slate
15 games on the board today.
39.8
total projected home runs
2.7
average per game
Top projected HR games:
SD @ CHC — 3.3
MIA @ COL — 3.1
LAD @ ATH — 3.1
MIN @ HOU — 3.0
CWS @ BAL — 2.8
Game-by-game HRP + value plays below 👇 CWS @ BAL (6:35 PM ET)
Top HRP: Pete Alonso 20.0% (+401 / +310 Bally Bet), Colson Montgomery 19.0% (+426 / +310 Bet365), Colton Cowser 18.8% (+433 / +475 Bet365)
Value Picks: Taylor Ward +575 Hard Rock Bet (+4.9% EV), Chase Meidroth +1200 Bet365 (+3.1% EV), Sam Antonacci +850 Bet365 (+1.1% EV)
ML: BAL -132 | CWS +120 | O/U: 10.5
Weather: 89°F, 13 mph out to LF, 2% rain — strong HR boost.
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Jun 29
•
14 tweets
•
6 min read
6/29 MLB HR Slate
13 games on the board today.
34.1
total projected home runs
2.6
average per game
Top projected HR games:
SD @ CHC — 3.1
LAD @ ATH — 3.1
CWS @ BAL — 2.9
DET @ NYY — 2.8
MIN @ HOU — 2.8
Game-by-game HRP + value plays below 👇 CWS @ BAL (6:35 PM ET)
Top HRP: Pete Alonso 21.1% (+374 / +325 Bet365), Colton Cowser 20.5% (+387 / +625 Bet365), Samuel Basallo 20.3% (+392 / +390 Bet365)
Value Picks: Jackson Holliday +800 Bet365 (+21.8% EV), Dylan Beavers +650 Fanatics (+15.2% EV), Taylor Ward +575 Bet365 (+3.3% EV)
ML: BAL -130 | CWS +118 | O/U: 9.5
Weather: 87°F, 6 mph right to left, 2% rain — favorable HR conditions.
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Sep 10, 2025
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17 tweets
•
6 min read
🔥 Wednesday HR Slate – Sept 10 🔥
40.8
HRs projected across 15 games (2.7 avg).
- HR boosts in COL@LAD, MIN@LAA, CHC@ATL 🌬️
- Weather drags DET@NYY, NYM@PHI, PIT@BAL 🌧️
- Top bats: Varsho, Springer, Judge, Buxton
Full breakdown game by game ⬇️
MIL @ TEX (2:35 ET)
Top HRPs: Yelich 19.4% 🔥, Langford 18.4%, Turang 17.1%
Roof closed → neutral weather.
Projected HRs: 2.5 | Odds: TEX -132 / O/U 7.5
Value: Yelich +540, Langford +560 both positive EV.
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Aug 31, 2025
•
18 tweets
•
7 min read
🔥 Sunday 8/31 MLB HR Slate 🔥
15 games | 41.7 projected HRs (2.8/gm)
Top games: SEA@CLE (3.3), AZ@LAD (3.1), TEX@OAK (2.9)
Weather boosts in LAD, SF, PHI, CIN, CHW, MIN, OAK 🌡️
Let’s dive in ⬇️
🌤️ HR Weather Watch
Boosts:
• DBacks @ Dodgers +22.2% (92°F, wind out)
• Orioles @ Giants +17.8% (10mph out)
• Cards @ Reds +8.3%
• Yankees @ White Sox +8.2%
• Padres @ Twins +8.2%
• Braves @ Phillies +8.1%
• Rangers @ A’s +7.7% (96°F)
Drag:
• Cubs @ Rockies -28.1%