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The internet's most trusted crustacean. Conflict analysis, data visualization, and small amounts of melted butter.
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Dec 31, 2023 15 tweets 4 min read
This small two block portion of central Belgorod has my particular focus today. Image The site furthest south is notable for a few reasons.

For starters, the structural damage shown here is far worse than anywhere else in town. Several cars, windows, and the entire façade of a building are gone.
Dec 30, 2023 16 tweets 5 min read
Lets break down the attack on Belgorod: Image What do we know for certain? Lets start with the easy stuff.

A series of large explosions were reported in the central district of Belgorod at/around 14:50 local time.

This time is corroborated by several matching timestamps via dashcam.
Dec 26, 2023 9 tweets 3 min read
Too busy making merry? Here's the full rundown on the sinking of the Novocherkassk last night in occupied Crimea.

At or around 2:50 AM local time, residents of occupied Feodosia noted a series of explosions in the direction of the main port facilities.

Many were woken from a deep sleep.

Jul 4, 2023 8 tweets 3 min read
Chesapeake blue crabs, not bald eagles, should be our national animal.

- a thread, sadly - Image 1) The females literally have the U.S. Capitol Dome on their stomach. Image
Jun 6, 2023 5 tweets 1 min read
Dam rumors are looking a bit more...damming. 👀 Hard to tell where this was taken other than on the left bank. Image
Apr 29, 2023 10 tweets 3 min read
The fire may be out, but questions remain regarding the size, origin, and payload of the drone used in last night's attack.

Here's what we know so far... Two blasts - one at 4:20 AM local time and one a minute later at 4:21 AM - were heard from across the harbor.

The attached photo was taken no later than 4:40 AM local time from a neighboring port, according to sources. Image
Feb 12, 2023 5 tweets 2 min read
Not to be that guy, but...uh...another TFR was just posted: this time for portions of northern Lake Michigan. Advisory is in place until further notice for national security aircraft operations. Here we go again. Predictable sight. Lone USAF KC-135R tanker on task over the Door peninsula.
Feb 12, 2023 4 tweets 2 min read
Waiting for the official boundary to be posted, but a NEW TFR has been issued near #Havre, MT.

It is labeled as national defense airspace until further notice. Possibly related:

Feb 10, 2023 6 tweets 2 min read
An interesting NOTAM was issued (and remains in place) for portions of northern #Alaska near Prudhoe Bay this morning.

Advisory states closure is due to 'national security aircraft operations'. Image A USAF C-130J is on task in the area. Has been orbiting a specific area for the last 30 minutes or so. Image
Feb 4, 2023 4 tweets 1 min read
3~ hours until our balloon friend is turned into swiss cheese. (hopefully)
Dec 21, 2022 6 tweets 3 min read
Starting to see an almost overwhelming amount of drone footage come out of #Bakhmut from Ukrainian forces. Here's a look at the plasterboard factory to the east of downtown... For reference. Site is in far worse shape than I thought.
Dec 21, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
We last saw this apartment complex (also via drone) less than three weeks ago. Almost nothing left of them since then. Note: Drone flyover flew from E-W, not W-E as seen above.
Dec 20, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
Train carrying (among other hardware) Russian T-80BV tanks spotted in #Belarus.
Dec 19, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
🟨s? Image
Dec 15, 2022 9 tweets 3 min read
Here's a quick thread on how @ADSBExchange works and why it's such an invaluable component of the open source community... For starters, ADSB Exchange is fed almost entirely by a global network of volunteers. Using a small computer (Raspberry Pi, typically), an SDR, and an antenna, you can contribute to the unfiltered collection of flight data.
Dec 10, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
The massive explosion in #Melitopol occurred just outside a local church. It seems Russian forces occupied a sprawling, resort like complex complete with spa, relaxing fountain, and cable TV. Unclear how long they were housed there.

Now? Its a huge hole in the ground. Looks like they have a few cabins to bunk in. TV. Comfy bed. Hopefully a general or two enjoyed the evening entertainment before they were turned to dust.
Oct 28, 2022 6 tweets 1 min read
Nope. This is my last tweet ever. This one. This tweet. This one right here. Wait no this one is.
Oct 15, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
go vols? go vols :(
Oct 15, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
🦀crab🦀car🦀crab🦀car🦀 We're in Justin mode until further notice, fellas. My 21st is on the 3rd so things are going to get very meta.
Oct 15, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
Elon's hobby of the month (nuclear warfare) is lazy, oversimplified, and fails to acknowledge the greatest single threat to global peace is an accident or simple misunderstanding...

Reasonable people do many unreasonable things...and sometimes on accident. This is the world we've lived in for almost 80 years now. We trust our triad works. We trust our fail safes work. And - perhaps most foolishly - we trust the people who make these decisions.

As tensions rise, this dice is rolled more often. But the risk is always there.
Oct 3, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
This footage was fortunately filmed at the start of a rail fork which originates at a site used by the 12th Chief Directorate. Take from that what you will. Image I'm researching the site history here. This is the only photo I can find of the place. Nothing about what is stored there (though we can put context clues together based on what we saw on the train). Image