Edward-Isaac Dovere Profile picture
Staff Writer, The Atlantic — Host, The Ticket podcast. Subscribe: https://t.co/eIJD56t0El
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29 Dec 20
Jared Kushner, eight months ago today on COVID:

“This is a great success story, and I think that's really what needs to be told. ...

I think you'll see by June that a lot of the country should be back to normal, and the hope is that by July the country's really rocking again.”
Kushner wasn't the only one making rosy predictions. Here's Kevin Hassett's chart from early May (a few days after Kushner's quote). Infections and deaths were projected to have stopped months ago, and total deaths at 134,475 (count as of today: 335,000)
"While talk of an increase in cases dominates cable news coverage, more than half of states are actually seeing cases decline or remain stable. ... the progress we’ve made is remarkable." is what Mike Pence wrote in June: wsj.com/articles/there…
Read 4 tweets
6 Dec 20
Becerra got his current job b/c he was appointed to Harris's old job when she was elected to the Senate.

Now the governor, Newsom, will appoint at least two statewide officials: a senator and an AG. Plus, perhaps, a secretary of state, if the current one gets one of those spots
part of the reason Newsom was holding off on naming Harris's replacement for the Senate was his awareness that there was a chance of Becerra's HHS nomination, and that he'd potentially get a chance to balance these appointments
there's also speculation that Newsom would get an appointment for California's other Senate seat, given that Feinstein is 87 and her term runs through 2024. If so, that would be an unprecedented singlehanded reworking of power in America's largest state by Newsom.
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21 Nov 20
it's a lie that Trump met with resistance in his own transition.

Obama instructed aides directly to do everything to assist. Special iPads were prepared with material for each agency & office. Counterpart meetings were offered. Obama spoke to Trump several times himself.
"Our staffs have been getting along very well, and I'm getting along very well with him," Trump said then. "Other than a couple of statements I responded to&we talked about it and smiled about it and nobody is ever going to know b/c we are never going 2b going against each other"
What *is* true is that the Pence and Kushner threw out the materials prepared by Christie over the summer of 2016 because they thought they knew better how to do it. And that many incoming Trump officials didn’t follow up with Obama counterparts offering meetings.
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20 Nov 20
Bob Bauer of the Biden campaign on a briefing right now: "the harm is real; there is, however, no chance that Donald Trump can be successful in what he is trying to do"
Bauer says of yesterday's Republican briefing led by Giuliani and Sidney Powell: "ludicrous" and "comical":

"it was an embarrassment to everyone concerned, but that's where we are. It's all the president has left at this point."
Bauer says Trump's summoning of Michigan officials to try to get them to overturn the popular vote because he doesn't like the results is simultaneously "an abuse of power" and "pathetic"
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7 Nov 20
Biden and Harris were laughing together as they walked up to the stage.

“The numbers tell a clear and convincing story: we’re going to win this race,” Biden says.
“voters chose change, over more of the same,” Biden says. “The people spoke. And they spoke loudly for our ticket.”

Biden points out he and Harris are already at work on the pandemic response.

Notable amid all this: all the reporting is of Trump watching TV, not much else.
Trump is still fighting the election. Biden is talking about moving past the election.

“we don’t have any more time to waste on partisan warfare,” Biden says.

This is both true to form for Biden—and politically strategic.
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6 Nov 20
Votes still being counted,but already Biden’s 4,118,686 vote lead is bigger than either Bush win, near Obama re-elect:

1980: 8,423,115
1984: 16,878,120
1988: 7,977,523
1992: 5,805,339
1996: 8,203,716
2000: -543,895
2004: 3,012,166
2008: 9,550,193
2012: 4,982,291
2016: -2,868,686
This number could go up significantly as votes keep being counted in spots like California & New York. But either way, shows how minute differences in some states—cumulatively, a shift of under 300,000 votes would radically change what the Electoral College looked like either way
Biden’s current popular vote lead is bigger than the populations of 21 states, or of the approximate populations of Rhode Island, Delaware, North Dakota, South Dakota, Alaska, Vermont and Wyoming combined.
Read 6 tweets
5 Nov 20
"our data shows that Joe Biden will be the next president of the United States," argues Biden campaign manager @jomalleydillon. Seeing "the same data and knows he is losing" Trump "continues to push a flailing strategy designed to keep people's votes from being counted"
.@jomalleydillon is predicting that there may be some fluctuations as the votes come in for Nevada, depending on which county comes in when during the day, but that by the end of the day, the count will be done there and Biden will win
A similar prediction for Arizona fluctuations over the day as with Nevada: "the story of Arizona is one where Joe Biden is going to win, but it's going to take time"
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4 Nov 20
Biden campaign manager @jomalleydillon says Biden is "on track" to win today and "will be the next president of the United States."
Biden campaign manager is projecting wins in Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania. Calls Georgia "currently a toss-up." North Carolina "probably leaning towards Trump" but "going to do down to the wire."

"We think that this is already a foregone conclusion."
Biden campaign lawyer Bob Bauer predicts that if Trump does try to get to the Supreme Court to stop the count, he will be dealt "one of the most embarrassing defeats a president has ever suffered in the highest court of the land”
Read 6 tweets
4 Nov 20
It’s 2020 and the TV stations are showing 20 minutes+ footage of an empty Trump podium
The question of whether TV stations would take Trump live even if he said things that aren’t true has been settled. He was making false claims of “disenfranchisement” by his second sentence.
And now the president is claiming that he won the election, just like he said he would, and it’s being carried on live TV, even though as of now, it is a lie.
Read 6 tweets
2 Nov 20
Marco Rubio 2016: “People around the world are watching this debate and this campaign and wondering what’s happening here, because the things [Trump] says are nonsensical.”

Marco Rubio 2020:
Rubio went on to warn in 2016 of Republicans supporting Trump: “These are people that – whether it’s now or five years from now or two years from now or six months from now – are going to be explaining for a long time how they fell into this.”
Rubio also said of Trump in 2016: "This is not about political correctness. This is about rules of civility and the way a society talks to each other."
Read 6 tweets
2 Nov 20
It’s the day before the election and I will be the print pool reporter as Biden campaigns in Ohio & Pennsylvania. Follow along for what will either be the day before he wins or the day before he loses or the day before an extended count. He just got on his plane to Cleveland: Image
As he exited his car to get on the plane, Biden held up his index finger and said, “one more day.”
Biden has landed in Cleveland, where he’ll be addressing a drive in rally at a hangar at the airport: Image
Read 10 tweets
25 Oct 20
NEW from me: Michigan was Trump's narrowest win in 2016. Democrats have spent four years trying to figure out how to get it back. Here's what they did:
theatlantic.com/politics/archi…
This story is, effectively, Part 3 in a four year, three part series. It started in 2016, with just how many ways the Clinton campaign screwed up in Michigan in 2016: politico.com/story/2016/12/…
Part 2: How the Democrats came back in the midterms, from 2018: theatlantic.com/politics/archi…
Read 4 tweets
25 Oct 20
the White House is still a coronavirus hot spot, and the coronavirus czar is still not following scientific recommendations about how to keep people safe:
at the beginning of the summer, Pence was insisting there was no second wave of infections coming. There was, and it's here. But this could be a second wave of infections just within the White House grounds.
this is from a few weeks ago -- after the VP debate -- but here's Short and Pence and the rest of the debate prep group, no masks
Read 4 tweets
24 Oct 20
more of the White House's Twitter account focusing on publicizing government action only in states where the president is focusing his campaigning:
Now as Trump has landed for another campaign stop in Wisconsin, the White House Twitter account is tweeting about federal help to Wisconsin. As the information states, it is a government account, not a campaign account. Yet:
The president is headed to New Hampshire to campaign, so today the official White House government account has started the day promoting work in New Hampshire:
Read 4 tweets
24 Oct 20
Obama, in Florida, on the pandemic: "the idea that this White House has done anything but completely screw this up is nonsense."
"maybe we shouldn't had the president get on television and said if you put some bleach in you, that might clean some things out," Obama says. "The mismanagement might be comical and ridiculous if it didn't mean people losing lives."
This is Obama's reaction when he repeats Trump's claim that he's been the best president for Black Americans since Abraham Lincoln:
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22 Oct 20
Trump aides have been telling people that the big surprise in store for tonight's debate is he's bringing Tony Bobulinski, the former Hunter Biden business associate, as a guest tonight.

They're hoping to spring this on Biden, the way he brought Bill Clinton accusers in 2016
Bobulinski was the subject of a Breitbart article yesterday portrayed as a "bombshell" in which he says that he read Ron Johnson's report on the Bidens and got mad that he "connected the dots" to think they were making money behind his back.
The Breitbart article about Bobulinski also mentions that he was the subject of the Wall Street Journal article which Trump mentioned at the beginning of the week and said would be a huge problem for the Biden campaign -- but which so far, hasn't run.
Read 4 tweets
21 Oct 20
Obama, hitting the stump at a car rally in Philadelphia:
Obama on Trump: “by the way, his ratings are down. And you know that upsets him.”
Obama on Trump: "He’s got a secret Chinese bank account. How is that possible? Can you imagine if I had had a secret Chinese bank account when I was running for re-election. You think Fox News might have been a little concerned about that. They would have called me Beijing Barry"
Read 19 tweets
21 Oct 20
Obama, joining a round table in Philadelphia in his first in-person stop for the Biden-Harris campaign Image
Obama just compared voting to going to the gym & people who complain that they don’t end up looking like @TheRock. “The easiest thing to do is to say, ‘Well, I quit.’ But we can’t afford to quit.”

But then adds he’d still like to look like The Rock. “Maybe if I shave my head.”
Obama on Trump, not by name: “it’s been a long history in America: You try to distract working people from coming together by highlighting racial differences or religious differences, so the people who got what they got can keep what they got.”
Read 6 tweets
19 Oct 20
Anthony Weiner apparently felt like popping up again at the end of an election, for old time’s sake: nbcnewyork.com/news/politics/…
Weiner seems to have thought there was such a need at this moment to get some press for his new reclaimed materials countertop manufacturing company that he’d do an interview that aired 15 days before the presidential election.

But that’s why they call him Carlos Danger.
Weiner is asked in this interview if he feels any responsibility for Clinton’s losing b/c of his cameo in the last two weeks of 2016. He does not.

(In an interview with me 2 weeks ago, Clinton still pointed to the Comey letter as the turning point: theatlantic.com/politics/archi…)
Read 4 tweets
18 Oct 20
Here’s the Trump campaign making a show of attacking the press, when aides often follow up and ask to speak off the record after this kind of thing to say it’s all tactics and a show:
Consider, for example, that some of the White House press corps who got COVID may well have been exposed to the virus by the president himself, coming to speak to reporters off the record on Air Force One, in between rallies where, among other things, he attacked reporters
This attack the press in public/then be solicitous of the press in private theme was part of the 2016 campaign, the White House, the 2020 campaign for Trump and top aides. Meanwhile, some reporters have had real threats to their safety from Trump supporters who take it seriously
Read 6 tweets
16 Oct 20
Then-Sen. George Allen, 2006: “Macaca, or whatever his name is.”

Sen. David Perdue, tonight: “Kamala-mala-mala-whatever"

(Though Perdue is making fun of the actual name of a woman he has served with for four years.)
Perdue and Harris are not just in the Senate together, but both serve on the Budget Committee. So Perdue either doesn’t know the name of a woman he’s served closely alongside, or he intentionally mispronounced to say he thinks it’s weird as part of a campaign rally.
One way to think about this clip is what it would look like if someone made a big show of mispronouncing “David,” which is Senator Perdue’s first name
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