Jacob Kaarsbo Profile picture
Senior fellow @thinkeuropa. Foreign, security and defence policy analysis. 15 yrs @ Danish Defence Intelligence Agency. Sportsnerd.
Apr 27, 2023 4 tweets 3 min read
Det er knapt et år siden 🇩🇰 afskaffede sit forbehold over for 🇪🇺 forsvarsdimension. #Terma , @di_forsvar , @aalborg_uni og @thinkeuropa har i morgen fornøjelsen af at afholde konference om, hvordan 🇩🇰 og 🇪🇺 kan få mere ud af hinanden på netop forsvarsområdet 1/4 Image I lyset af den sikkerhedspolitiske udvikling i Europa har behovet aldrig været større. Ofte siges det "🇪🇺 kan ikke løfte forsvarsopgaven", og "det går meget bedre i NATO". Det er sandheder med modifikationer. 🇪🇺 har nemlig særlige industrielle og finansielle muskler 2/4
May 3, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
There’s lots of talk about Putin declaring war and starting mass mobilisation on May 9th. It might happen or it might not. Safe to say it would be a high risk strategy for Putin. Why? Short🧵/1 1) It would be an implicit admission of failure of “the special military operation”, which has been highly successful in the regime’s own narrative, 2) What would be the goal of the war? Conquering all of Ukraine? War on Ukrainians? Would be troublesome to define scope /2