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Jeremy Neufeld Profile picture
Jeremy Neufeld
@JeremyLNeufeld
Director of Immigration Policy @IFP. Also tweets @progress_vibe and @livecivilwar
Sep 3, 2025 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
In the next few days, the Trump administration is going to propose a new regulation changing the H-1B lottery.

The big question I'm watching: will DHS prioritize the highest earners or so-called DOL "Wage Levels"?

Here's why it matters: 🧵 Image DOL defines "Wage Levels" to correspond to seniority within an occupation.

So under a Wage Level ranking, an experienced acupuncturist making $40k is preferred to an early-career AI scientist making $280k. Lots of H-1Bs would still go to workers making much less than the median American.

Look at how disconnected Wage Levels can be from pay in some real H-1B petitions:Image
Oct 23, 2023 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
A big proposed overhaul of the H-1B program was published today in the federal register!

Here are the five changes I'm most excited about: 🧵 Image 1. Expanded H-1B cap exemptions would make it easier for research organizations to qualify for cap-exempt H-1Bs

This would be especially helpful for new regional innovation hubs to recruit, as @LK_Milliken and I recommended earlier this year:

progress.institute/talent-regiona…

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Apr 28, 2023 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
Why are we still awarding H-1Bs by lottery?

New data show there were more than 780k registrations for just 85,000 new H-1Bs available in 2024

Prioritizing applications by salary or a points-based system would make the program the growth engine it should be Image The lottery isn't just stopping us from getting the most valuable applicants, it's causing massive uncertainty and waste

This model from an upcoming @JIntlEcon paper implies that the search cost externality alone from the 2024 lottery is $4.4 billion!

cream-migration.org/publ_uploads/C… ImageImage
Nov 15, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
if Marx wasn't prominent before 1917, who was? not too shabby in english either

no doubt the october revolution made him *more* influential but that doesn't make him obscure beforehand
Jun 10, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
In the 20th century, medical breakthroughs were less important in reducing mortality from major diseases than clean water One relevant lesson is that it's possible to make significant progress even before fully understanding a disease.

If we internalized that, we'd be investing much more in non-pharmaceutical interventions like ventilation, filtration, and germicidal UV!
Apr 25, 2022 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Been mulling over that new Philippon paper on additive growth. Especially thinking about the far future, it seems to have some massive implications if true: 1. There is no Great Stagnation. There was a “Little Stagnation” that started in the 1970s, but it ended about a decade later