JMoore Quakes Profile picture
Analyst @QuakesEpicenter / @AnalysisEvolved. Co-host @BlackAndAzul & The Aftershock. Co-creator @GameFlowxPG. Where Goals Come From project.
Sep 27, 2021 11 tweets 7 min read
I'm seeing a lot of questions in @GameFlowxPG about the #RCTID and #RSL game, so I'll wade into the deep end here.

The @AnalysisEvolved xG model has this game 1.8 to 2.47 for RSL.

@FotMob has it 2.07 to 1.69 in favor of Portland.

The #WGCF model below is barely Portland.

1/ Image Think of xG models like judges in a boxing match. One may score a shot one way and another a different way due to their own perspectives (both strengths and blind spots).

Usually they agree on the final winner, but often it's a split or majority decision.