Can US presidential election outcomes be plausibly explained by partisan voters becoming more likely to vote after losses and less likely to vote after wins? According to a simple simulation, maybe so!
netlogoweb.org/web?https://dl…
1/ Notably, ~all this simulation does~ is increase voter participation in each state after a loss (national or state) and decrease voter participation after a win (national or state). That's it! So partisan voter behavior is strictly reactionary. 2/6

Reading media reporting on "Talent vs Luck: The role of randomness in success and failure" has made me wonder about potentially better ways to report and interpret simulation-based research. It's a nice NetLogo toy model! arxiv.org/abs/1802.07068 To what extent do simulations like this toy model "answer questions" or "show" a phenomenon or causal relationship?