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John Hardie Profile picture
John Hardie
@JohnH105
Deputy Director, Russia Program, @FDD. Writing on Russian military @LongWarJournal. Alum, @universityofga, @georgetownsfs. ATLien. #GoDawgs
Mar 18 • 58 tweets • 59 min read
Thread on Ukraine's incursion into Russia's Belgorod Oblast today 1/ Russia's "Sever" Grouping of Forces initially said that Ukraine had attacked Grafovka and Prilese, near the border with Belgorod-Kursk border, with three groups of infantry supported by tanks as well as UR-77 and IMR obstacle-clearing vehicles.

The Russian MoD later said Ukraine attacked five times in the direction of Demidovka and Prilese, with the first attacking beginning at 5:50 AM local time and the last one beginning at 5:30 PM local time).

According to the MoD's report (which should obviously be taken with a handful of salt), the Ukrainians used 5x tanks, 16x other armored vehicles, 3x obstacle-clearing vehicles, an UR-77 mine-clearing vehicle, and four light vehicles.

2/
 t.me/warriorofnorth…
t.me/mod_russia/502…Image
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Jan 29 • 22 tweets • 17 min read
Thread on several interesting documents that Ukrainian Special Operations Forces captured from North Korean troops in Kursk Oblast, translated by @SeongminLeeNK. 1/

nkinsider.org/exclusive-docu… The first document is titled “Combat Experience and Lessons of the 94th Brigade.”

Ukrainian military intelligence has also said that 94th Brigade troops are in Kursk.


2/ t.me/DIUkraine/5029Image
Nov 21, 2024 • 17 tweets • 12 min read
U.S. & other Western officials said the Russian missile launched at Dnipro was a ballistic missile but not an ICBM as Ukrainian Air Force reported. Some officials said it appears to have been an IRBM, so presumably RS-26 Rubezh.

(Links in alt text) https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/ukraine-russia-war-11-21-24#cm3r5sq6v00053b6msy7twfcv
https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/russia-ukraine-war-missiles-kyiv-claims-icbm-dnipro-after-atacams-strike/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/21/world/europe/russia-ballistic-missile-ukraine-war.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/21/world/europe/russia-ballistic-missile-ukraine-war.html A senior U.S. official told NYT that the Russian missile launched at Dnipro appears to have been an IRBM but “is a new type we have been tracking.” Unclear whether this means RS-26 or something else. Image
Jun 17, 2024 • 13 tweets • 9 min read
Another big shakeup in the Russian MoD. Putin replaced a number of long-serving deputy defense ministers and seems to have altered the division of responsibilities between their positions. Thread 1/x Image Dismissals

Putin issued a decree dismissing First Deputy Defense Minister Ruslan Tsalikov, State Secretary/Deputy Defense Minister Nikolai Pankov, and Deputy Defense ministers Tatiana Shevtsova and Pavel Popov.

Belousov, the new defense minister, met with them and thanked them for their service, per the MoD. 2/x


kremlin.ru/acts/news/74313
t.me/mod_russia/398…Image
Jan 3, 2024 • 16 tweets • 10 min read
Thread on Russia's new 153rd Tank Regiment, part of the 47th Guards Tank Division, 1st Guards Tank Army, Western Military District.

(Picture credit: @naalsio26)

1/xImage Note: This draws on open-source research, including VK/TG posts by 153rd Reg troops and their relatives, as well as great work by other analysts (cited below). I've included links to sources except where doing so could burn a source or expose him/her to RU govt scrutiny. 2/x
Dec 29, 2023 • 13 tweets • 12 min read
Video of the Izdeliye 504AP version of the Russian Kh-101 air-launched cruise missile releasing L-504 electronic countermeasures. (Pics are old, provided for reference.)

t.me/infomil_live/2…



Pic from last week showing wreckage of a Russian Kh-101 air-launched cruise missile. You can see the L-504 chaff dispenser. (Third pic provided for reference.)

t.me/UA_National_Po…


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Nov 20, 2023 • 6 tweets • 5 min read
A Russian manual on how to protect vehicles against UAVs by using add-on cages/screens and jammers. The manual reportedly came from the Russian Defense Ministry’s Main Armored Directorate.

t.me/milinfolive/11…



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Image More pics from the manual, including of the Volnorez vehicle-borne EW system.



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Nov 8, 2023 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
Russia purports to have recruited nearly 400,000 troops this year, obviating the need for further forced mobilization. How realistic is this claim?

Data from Russia’s Vladimir Oblast provide a clue. 1/x

Located just east of Moscow, Vladimir Oblast is unusual in that its regional government and the government of its capital city, Vladimir, have religiously published videos/pictures each time a batch of recruits leaves for training.

2/x Image
Jul 7, 2023 • 136 tweets • 46 min read
An assistant to the Belarusian defense minister said Wagner fighters haven’t arrived at a newly erected tent camp seen as possible housing for Wagnerites who participated in the mutiny. nytimes.com/live/2023/07/0…

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Image Recall that yesterday Lukashenko said neither Prigozhin nor Wagner fighters are in Belarus. He said Prigozhin is still in Russia, while the Wagnerites are at the camps where they went after withdrawing from the frontline in the Bakhmut area. belta.by/president/view…
Jul 5, 2023 • 37 tweets • 15 min read
Remnants of a downed Geran-2, the Russian designation for the Iranian Shahed-136 one-way attack drone. The serial number differs from that seen on previous Geran-2s, perhaps indicating Russia has launched initial domestic production of these drones. t.me/milinfolive/10…Image Previous Geran-2s seen in Ukraine began with “M” followed by a number. The earliest ones seen publicly started in the 200s. Eventually they went above 1000.





en.defence-ua.com/news/ukrainian…

t.me/milinfolive/10…


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