José Morales-Arilla Profile picture
PhD Candidate in Public Policy at @Harvard @Kennedy_School. Political economy, development economics and Venezuela. Caraqueño-Guayanés. Visca el Barça!
Nov 30, 2021 20 tweets 5 min read
Because “más vale tarde que nunca”:

I am a PhD Candidate in Public Policy (Economics Track) at Harvard University. I work is on the political economy of current development issues, and I am in the academic job market this year.

Here’s a 🧵 about my Job Market Paper. (1/n) My JMP discusses how autocrats redistribute resources during economic crises. Unconditional on economic events, autocrats seem to favor their supporters. It's not obvious that such behavior is strategic for regime stability. (2/n)
Nov 7, 2020 24 tweets 8 min read
Now that things are converging to a Biden win, we have a good chance to address our biggest collective scare this election week. Here's a (long) thread on Florida, the role of Venezuela(ns), and what Tuesday means for the Biden administration and its strategy on Venezuela. Despite making important inroads in traditionally Republican areas of the state, Democrats lost ***20 points*** to their 2016 turnout in Miami-Dade. This was pivotal for losing the state.

miamiherald.com/news/politics-…
May 21, 2020 18 tweets 3 min read
Recientemente se ha reavivado una narrativa sobre la crisis venezolana: Las sanciones son las culpables de los males que vive el país. Voy con un hilo al respecto. Ante enfermedades muy fuertes, existen tratamientos médicos que empeoran la salud en el corto plazo. No tiene lógica decir que la enfermedad es consecuencia del tratamiento, en especial cuando el tratamiento busca salvarte la vida.
Apr 27, 2019 25 tweets 8 min read
Voy con un hilo sobre producción petrolera y sanciones en Venezuela. Disculpen lo largo. @MarkWeisbrot acaba de publicar un "reporte" con Jeffrey Sachs sobre el supuesto efecto de las sanciones de EEUU sobre la producción petrolera en Venezuela. Agradecen a @frrodriguezc, co-autor de Sachs en piezas recientes sobre el tema, por "su propia investigación y datos".