“The ad, with its vivid tagline — ‘Kamala is for they/them. President Trump is for you’ — broke through in Mr. Trump’s testing to an extent that stunned some of his aides.”

via @NYTimesnytimes.com/2024/11/07/us/… “The Charlamagne ad ranked as one of the Trump team’s most effective 30-second spots, according to an analysis by Future Forward, Ms. Harris’s leading super PAC. It shifted the race 2.7 percentage points in Mr. Trump’s favor after viewers watched it.”

BREAKING @J_Insider via @marcrod97: "House Education Committee: University leaders ‘turned their backs’ on Jewish students"

"The committee’s lengthy report illustrates the extent to which many elite campuses have become rife with antisemitism"
jewishinsider.com/2024/10/house-… "Two days after the Oct. 7 Hamas attack, Harvard administrators had drafted a statement condemning the terror group and expressing condolences for those taken hostage. Those key elements of the statement were softened or removed.

At Columbia, the current and past board chairs said in private messages that they hoped that Democrats would win back the House of Representatives to avoid continued investigations.

And at Northwestern University, a professor told a colleague he was hoping to secure “some amazing wins” for the student demonstrators in his role as a negotiator for Northwestern.

The above examples, culled from the just-released House Committee on Education and the Workforce’s more than 100-page report on its year-long probe of antisemitism on U.S. college campuses, paint a vivid portrait of missteps at some of the country’s leading universities as antisemitism and anti-Zionism mounted."
jewishinsider.com/2024/10/house-…

My pre-election political analysis in @J_Insider: "The presidential race is very close, but former President Donald Trump has been gaining ground throughout October, and holds a narrow advantage over Vice President Kamala Harris. That said, the race is competitive enough that even a last-minute momentum shift could make the difference."
jewishinsider.com/2024/10/daily-… "There are signs for the Trump campaign to be concerned about: 

1) overconfidence verging on hubris leading the candidate to hold an ill-advised MAGA rally on Sunday in New York City and spending time in blue states that won’t decide the election;

2) polling suggesting voters who are undecided or could change their minds favor Harris;

3) the Trump campaign’s overreliance on low-propensity or first-time voters, in contrast to the Harris advantage with the most dependable voters."

BREAKING @J_Insider: "Gov. Whitmer declines to back Michigan AG for prosecuting anti-Israel protesters"

"In CNN intvw w @jaketapper, Whitmer doesn’t speak out against R Tlaib accusation that Dana Nessel charged campus demonstrators because she’s Jewish"
jewishinsider.com/2024/09/gov-wh… "Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer is declining to back state Attorney General Dana Nessel, a fellow Democrat, who has been attacked by Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-MI) over Nessel’s decision to charge anti-Israel campus demonstrators at the University of Michigan for assaulting police and engaging in ethnic intimidation, among other alleged crimes."
jewishinsider.com/2024/09/gov-wh…

BREAKING @J_Insider via @marcrod97 / @emilyfjacobs: "Democratic witnesses at Senate hate crimes hearing at odds with Jewish communal leaders"

"Democrats have called Kenneth Stern, who opposes the Antisemitism Awareness Act, and Maya Berry, the director of the Arab American Institute"
jewishinsider.com/2024/09/democr… "The two witnesses Democrats have invited to testify at Tuesday’s Senate Judiciary Committee hearing on hate crimes — aimed primarily at the rise of antisemitic and other hate crimes since Oct. 7 — hold views on combating antisemitism that largely fall out of step with the mainstream Jewish community."

NEW @J_Insider via ⁦@marcrod97⁩ / ⁦@emilyfjacobs⁩: “Every Jewish House Democrat condemns Carlson’s interview with Holocaust denier”

“Republicans are privately alarmed that Vance’s handling of the controversy will hurt the Trump campaign” jewishinsider.com/2024/09/tucker… “Every Jewish Democrat in the House signed onto a joint statement issued Monday night condemning Tucker Carlson for amplifying the views of a Holocaust denier and blasting Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH), the Republican vice presidential nominee, for failing to denounce the interview.”

The Harris bounce, blown:

NEW NYT/Siena poll:
Trump 48
Harris 47

The results are "largely unchanged from a Times/Siena poll taken in late July just after President Biden dropped his re-election bid."
nytimes.com/2024/09/08/us/… Missed opportunity of the convention -- more policy substance -- and reassure voters she doesn't hold the progressive positions of recent vintage:

"28% of likely voters said they felt they needed to know more about Harris, while only 9% said they needed to know more about Trump."

nytimes.com/2024/09/08/ups…

My latest Senate analysis for @J_Insider:

“Amid all the attention on the presidential race, the battle for the Senate has been overlooked.

Benefiting from a historically favorable map with few seats they have to defend, Republicans hold a clear advantage in winning back the Senate majority — needing to flip just two Democratic-held seats to guarantee control of the upper chamber.

But Vice President Kamala Harris’ emergence as the Democratic presidential nominee has energized the party base and boosted the prospects of vulnerable swing-state senators on the ballot.

The dynamic has been especially pronounced in Arizona and Nevada, where Democratic candidates have emerged with healthy advantages in the aftermath of the Biden-to-Harris switch”

jewishinsider.com/2024/08/daily-… “At the same time, Harris is still a political drag for Democratic senators running in red states — such as Montana and Ohio.

The limited amount of public polling shows Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) trailing his Republican challenger Tim Sheehy, and continuing to face fierce political headwinds in a deeply conservative state. If Sheehy ousts Tester, it would all but guarantee a GOP Senate majority. 

Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) faces similar challenges in his race against businessman Bernie Moreno, though Brown is counting on his close relationships with blue-collar workers as a major asset against Moreno, a wealthy businessman. If Democrats manage to hold red-state Ohio, it would be a sign they’re overperforming, and in strong shape to limit their losses.

The West Virginia seat, currently held by retiring Sen. Joe Manchin (I-WV), is all but guaranteed to be a GOP flip.”

My latest analysis @J_Insider: “The last 24 hours have offered some clarity on the state of the anti-Israel left in American politics: It makes up enough of a small, outspoken faction within the Democratic Party to play a role in stunting Gov. Josh Shapiro’s veepstakes chances, but doesn’t have the numbers to win in most congressional districts across the country”

jewishinsider.com/2024/08/daily-… “The juxtaposition of Shapiro being bypassed as Vice President Kamala Harris’ running mate on Tuesday morning, followed by Wesley Bell’s victory over Rep. Cori Bush (D-MO) in Tuesday night’s Missouri Democratic primary doesn’t offer a neat black-and-white narrative.”

NEW WaPo/Ipsos poll:

Biden 46
Trump 46

washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/… This is the downside risk calling on Biden to step aside — if race is still competitive, it divides the party at worst possible time & creates tail risk that bottom will fall out for down ballot Dems

And no guarantee Harris runs ahead of Biden— even with a clean handover

My latest analysis in @J_Insider: "It’s a trend that has largely gone unnoticed amid former President Donald Trump’s legal woes, but moderation is slowly creeping back into the American body politic — at least based on early returns from primaries and developments in many key races"
jewishinsider.com/2024/06/daily-… "Squad-affiliated Reps. Jamaal Bowman (D-NY) and Cori Bush (D-MO) are facing the fight of their political lives against mainstream Democratic challengers. Both are already in serious trouble in their summer primaries — an unprecedented degree of vulnerability for sitting lawmakers."

BREAKING @J_Insider / @emilyfjacobs: "Michigan Sen. Gary Peters slams terror-linked conference Rep. Tlaib addressed: ‘There is no place for violent rhetoric’"

"Tlaib spoke alongside guests who advocated for violence against Israel and defended the Oct. 7 Hamas attacks"
jewishinsider.com/2024/05/sen-pe… "Sen. Gary Peters (D-MI) distanced himself from Rep. Rashida Tlaib’s (D-MI) appearance at the People’s Conference for Palestine, where pro-terror messages were celebrated and an activist with ties to a group designated by the U.S. as a foreign terrorist organization was welcomed."
jewishinsider.com/2024/05/sen-pe…

“Up to half of UCLA medical students now fail basic tests of medical competence.” freebeacon.com/campus/a-faile… “Faculty members with firsthand knowledge of the admissions process say it has prioritized diversity over merit, resulting in progressively less qualified classes that are now struggling to succeed.”

My latest analysis @J_Insider: “The Washington Post’s news coverage of the Biden administration’s Israel policy and university crackdowns on anti-Israel encampments on campus have lately been colored by an obsession that wealthy Jewish donors are the main force driving leaders’ decisions”

jewishinsider.com/2024/05/daily-… “The supposedly straight news reporting all but ignores the antisemitism that was present at many of the encampments in the first place and fails to grapple with the reality of public opinion — that a sizable majority of the American public, according to polls, support Israel and oppose the anti-Israel campus activism.”

If I'm reading this correctly, a senior Biden official is floating the idea of a coalition PA-Hamas government as part of a future ceasefire deal -- per the Times of Israel:

timesofisrael.com/the-us-aims-to… "When the Palestinians get to a point where they are in a position to hold elections, a second US source said, the goal is for Hamas alternatives to have demonstrated results in governing that can be weighed against the destruction that the terror group unleashed on the enclave due to its October 7 terror onslaught."

NEW @J_Insider via @emilyfjacobs: "Jewish Democrats concerned over Maryland’s Democratic party’s leftward tilt"

"Sen. Chris Van Hollen has elevated his rhetoric against Israel in recent months, raising concerns that down-ballot Democrats may follow"
jewishinsider.com/2024/05/jewish… "Pro-Israel Democrats in Maryland are wondering how a state with one of the largest Jewish constituencies in the country is represented by one of the Senate’s leading Israel critics — with some aspiring Democratic congressional candidates moving toward left-wing positions that until recently were rarely embraced in party circles."
jewishinsider.com/2024/05/jewish…

New battleground state polls, via NYT/Siena (of registered voters):

WISCONSIN
Biden 47
Trump 45

PENNSYLVANIA
Trump 47
Biden 44

ARIZONA
Trump 49
Biden 42

MICHIGAN
Trump 49
Biden 42

GEORGIA
Trump 49
Biden 39

NEVADA
Trump 50
Biden 38
nytimes.com/2024/05/13/us/… "The sense that Mr. Biden would do little to improve the nation’s fortunes has helped erode his standing among young, Black and Hispanic voters, who usually represent the foundation of any Democratic path to the presidency."

BREAKING @J_Insider via @GSDeutch: "Biden threatens to withhold weapons to Israel if IDF goes after Hamas in Rafah"

"The president’s comments mark a significant policy shift towards the Jewish state"
jewishinsider.com/2024/05/biden-… "President Joe Biden told CNN in a Wednesday interview that he will withhold certain weapons transfers to Israel if the IDF mounts a major ground operation in Rafah, the first time Biden has explicitly stated that the U.S. is conditioning arms transfers to Israel.

Last month, the White House threatened to shift its policy toward Israel if it didn’t take additional precautions to protect civilians — and Wednesday’s interview confirmed that was not an empty threat."
jewishinsider.com/2024/05/biden-…

Bombshell lawsuit just filed: “The lawsuit, which seeks compensatory damages for nine American and Israeli victims of the attack in which Hamas killed 1,200 people and took 240 people hostage, alleges that AMP and NSJP work in the United States as collaborators and propagandists for Hamas. Hamas is a United States designated Foreign Terrorist Organization. The suit also notes that AMP (American Muslims for Palestine) and NSJP are merely the current version of several prior entities that were already determined by the U.S. government to be supporters of Hamas.”

gtlaw.com/en/news/2024/0… Lawsuit filed by Greenberg Traurig, LLP, the National Jewish Advocacy Center, the Schoen Law Firm, and the Holtzman Vogel law firm

SCOOP @J_Insider via @GSDeutch: "Inside the State Department’s anti-Israel listening sessions"

"Staffers feel comfortable venting about Biden’s support for Israel, and receive little pushback from senior department officials"
jewishinsider.com/2024/04/state-… "These meetings, and others like them held by senior department officials with lower-level employees, have often devolved into venting sessions about U.S. policy toward Israel and Gaza, three department employees told Jewish Insider. All of them requested anonymity to speak candidly about internal department matters."
jewishinsider.com/2024/04/state-…

Ruth Marcus, WaPo: "To visit this traumatized country as an American Jew is to begin — just begin — to grasp what one U.S.-born Israel Defense Forces soldier described to me as the 'existential loneliness of Israel.'"
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/… "​Israelis, of all political persuasions and degrees of observance, feel besieged and misunderstood. Six months after a day on which more Jews were murdered than since the Holocaust, Israel finds itself nearing the status of international pariah. How could this have happened?"