1/16. In advance of 90 minute Campaign for Learning session this morning at 1030am with @mbccorney @kathleenhenehan @chrishaleuk and Ewart Keep, here are my notes on the government's 2022 HE reforms

campaign-for-learning.org.uk/Event/5-april-… 2/16. It took DfE 1,000 days to respond to the HE part of the Post 18 review. The announcement, unfortunately, coincided with Putin's appalling invasion of Ukraine.

There's been some excellent analysis but I think people have missed a couple of points

1/6. Interesting Labour proposal to change tax rules for private schools and use the £1.7 bil raised in VAT and business rates for young people - to reduce drop out, improve careers advice, work experience etc. Rest of this thread covers the tax issue mirror.co.uk/news/politics/… 2/6. The calculation that £1.6 bil can be raised from VAT on private schools is the figure in @Resfoundation 2020 "Unhealthy finances"report (Page 133). This is the report that made the case for the 3 big tax rises now adopted by the Conservative govt resolutionfoundation.org/publications/u…

1/11. More on the immigration/skills link, using the @ukhomeoffice's very good impact assessment for the 2021 changes to skilled worker rules. Full 72 page document has some interesting numbers & charts gov.uk/government/pub… 2/11. This chart (figure 3, page 17) shows Home office's Nov 2020 forecast of net flow of EEA workers into/out of UK. Peak 150,000 inflow in 2015 shifting to net 40,000 outflow in 2021 before settling on average 10,000 inflow from 2025 onwards. "Policy" are 2021 rules.

1/6. The dog that hasn't barked. Ofqual has published conclusions about the social and economic status of A-level candidates using DfE data that doesn't include private school students (c10% of total candidates). See Pages 143 and 150 of this document gov.uk/government/new… 2/6. On Page 150 of the report (and in the Exec Summary), Ofqual say "There is no evidence that the process of awarding grades has been biased for or against students from different socio-economic backgrounds". But Table 10.7 reports an "unknown" status for 16.1% of entries