Adding my two cents on the doctrinal developments in Russia in the last 24h - for what its worth. A thread 1/ The spectacle here is the key: the act of communicating "our doctrine is changing" now has the worlds attention, with the implicit message: you should be worried. 2/

1/ My new piece in on Russian nuclear decision making is out in @WarOnTheRocks In it, I argue that Russian idiosyncrasies are useful to discuss potential Russian nuclear employment in Ukraine. Thread 1/7 warontherocks.com/2022/03/unders… 2/ This probably remains a local war in the Russian lexicon, one “with a few states pursuing limited political-military objectives”. The nuclear signaling we have seen so far is all oriented to deterring it from moving to the next level: a regional war.