We monitor actionable, event driven special sits. Find us at https://t.co/5pyfVsftj4
Jan 17 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Is #Uranium entering its insanity phase?
With U hitting triple digits, we would of course, be remiss if we didn’t mention it (yet again).
Let’s talk about what's happening with producers and fuel buyers...
Have we reached the stage were utilities finally step in to the market?
Look, there are a number of public RFPs out there where not a single producer has even responded.
There’s hardly any lbs in the next few years from $CCJ or $KAP that aren’t spoken for.
Oct 30, 2023 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Is the Eldercare Inflection Finally Here? 👴📈
We’ve heard this pitch before, and yes, for the last decade it’s been a graveyard riddled with oversupply and lowish occupancy due to overbuilding...
Thread (1/5)👇
Maybe it’s because we’ve lived in Florida for a few decades before becoming Puerto Rican, but elder care has always been top of mind.
This sector is generally broken up between nursing homes and skilled nursing facilities.
(2/5)
Aug 21, 2023 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
We cannot think of a commodity in the history of our studies that has had such lopsided financial balances...
Let's talk about #uranium 🧵👇
Most forecasts estimate 185-190 million lbs for 2024.
But are we considering the new reactors, including Japan's restarts?
Jul 13, 2023 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
From potato farm to bitcoin miner to AI service provider?
Meet $APLD... a company still grappling with the childhood question: What do you want to be when you grow up?
Today, they chose AI, but 2 notable short-sellers aren't buying it...
Who's targeting them? @StockJabber of @BearCaveEmail & @WolfpackReports.
Both have tweeted about it and their full reports can be found on their respective pages.
Here's just a few things to note 👇
Jul 7, 2023 • 12 tweets • 2 min read
When you decide to short a massive multinational wholesaler like #Walmart, you better have a damn good reason for doing so...
Certainly seems like @NingiResearch have more than a few... here's what you need to know 👇
In their report, which was flagged in our Newsletter Short Monitor, NINGI Research state that they are short both Walmart (NYSE: $WMT) & Symbotic (NASDAQ: $SYM) as a result of Walmart's risky $12bn contract with the robotics startup.
Let's take a closer look.
Jul 6, 2023 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
1/ 🚀 Strap in! @puppyeh1, renowned for shaking things up, is eyeing a new target - $ALTO Ingredients Inc., a heavyweight in the specialty alcohol & essential ingredients market!
What's going on? Keep reading... 2/ In short, Raper Capital sent a letter to the board urging them to sell key facilities to the highest bidder!
The staggering expected result? A potential stock value 🚀 by ~135%!
1/8 The Monday Monitor chart of the week! Let's break this one down a bit...
Saudi's PIF continues its ambitious acquisition trajectory as it positions itself as the leading bidder for a minority stake in Vale SA's ( $VALE) base metals business. 2/8 What's happening? #VALE is currently in the process of selling a minority stake in its base #metals business, with a longer-term plan to spin off this arm of the company.
Jun 5, 2023 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Chart and Kliff Note of the week? Here we go... Monday Monitor fresh off the press!
1/4 🧪 Brenntag SE's in the hot seat as owners PrimeStone Capital propose a divisive shake-up! 2/4 🤝 Backed by Engine Capital and ISS's historic endorsement, PrimeStone's plan has serious traction.
“For the first time in German history, ISS decided to endorse all nominees proposed by a “dissident” shareholder and recommend voting against all the company’s candidates”.
May 9, 2023 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
Ok... let's talk about regional banks and insider buying.
Here's the top 5 by $ amount over the last 7 days:
$ZION: $2.046 mn
$NBTB: $1.2 mn
$EWBC: $892k
$KEY: $733k
$SFNC: $692k
Of the 46 regional banks we are tracking in our Cluster Insider Buy Monitor, we saw a total of just under $13mn in insider buying last week alone 👀
Remember, alpha is generated via inflection points and special situations...
🌊🛢️ Offshore Earnings Update! Thread 👇 (1/6)
Offshore majors' earnings were 💪 this week. Finally seeing light after a decade of excess floater supply – we're reaching the bottom of the barrel, folks! 🛢️🚢 (2/6)
Apr 28, 2023 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
What is event driven investing? How does it work?
Here's a short thread to help you learn all about it 👇 1/8 Event driven investing is like being the life of the party in the finance world!
Investors seek to profit from specific, often short-term events that can have a significant impact on a company's stock price.
Let's explore some common event types...
Apr 4, 2023 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
1/6 The Middle East is cashing in on the oil jackpot💰 & expanding its investments like there's no tomorrow... We're talking sports, entertainment, hospitality - you name it!
Grab the popcorn, folks! 🧵👇
2/6 Saudi Arabia & Qatar aren't just making energy buddies in Europe & China; they're also showing off their non-energy muscles!
We've got the Qatari World Cup & KSA's bid for the 2030 World Cup ⚽️
Apr 3, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
KEDM's Monday Monitor Event of the week?
Even before the surprise oil production cut, MENA countries have been flexing their muscles...
IPO funding inflecting long before oil's big run 👀
For the trailing twelve months, the MENA region raised $17.65bn at IPO, meaningfully more than Europe’s $15.4bn and North America’s $10.9bn.
Mar 1, 2023 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
Purported market manipulation... 👀
This is the story of a "Sydney banker", (@puppyeh1) who's going head to head with one of Indonesia's most powerful families.
🧵 👇
Ok, what's going on? In short, the Widjajas, one of Indonesia's richest families initiated a plan a few months back to increase its ownership of Brisbane coal producer, Stanmore Resources ( $SMR.AX).
Aug 26, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
With Jackson Hole mostly behind us, what are the known unknowns that might move markets next week?
No big US data Monday and it is a bank holiday in the UK.
Unless you trade Japan, no big data bombs coming out.
Tuesday is where things get interesting...
Tuesday starts with Aug CPI out of Germany. No comment needed.
Later we get consumer confidence numbers for Aug.
Sept number post loan forgiveness sounds more interesting to us.
We also get job openings, API crude oil numbers, and Chinese PMIs for those on recession watch...
Jun 8, 2022 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
1/6
This week's KEDM Chart and Kliff Note of the Week is the debacle between $SAVE, $JBLU and $ULCC.
We saw a flurry of activity as the drama ramps at $SAVE with the vote approaching on its deal with Frontier, $ULCC (vote was scheduled for 6/10 but has been moved to 6/30)... 2/6
Last week ISS came out against the $ULCC deal and in favor of the $JBLU offer. $SAVE immediately issued a press release defending their position.