Ukraine’s mobilization data drive ended yesterday.
TLDR: enough people have submitted their information to meet mobilization needs (financing them is a different issue)
The bigger problem is up to 4M “lawbreakers”, a major social and political headache
A 🧵 The deadline for military aged men (and some women) to update their data ended July 16.
So far, just ~4.5M have done so, 3.2M via the purpose-built Reserve+ app.
An est. 8-9M people should have updated their data in the legally required term of May 18-July 16

🇸🇰 #Fico ’s political allies quickly blamed independent media and the opposition for “causing” the attack on the Slovak PM.

What are the political consequences of the assassination attempt? Our take 🧵👇 TLDR: The attack will be used to justify more control over media (ia public broadcaster), financing to civil society and the judiciary (ia prosecutor’s office)

It will raise Fico’s profile (strong-man mythos), possibly leading to a top role among EU eurosceptics/ conservatives

✉️ Our weekly digest is out! This week’s highlights: the largest military aid packages for 🇺🇦, social tensions over restrictions on men abroad, a reboot of the Ukrainian energy system, and regulating online gambling
🧵 🛡 The UK is sending a significant military package, potentially including #ATACMS missiles, following the US aid decision. At the same time, Scholz's position on sending #TAURUS missiles to Ukraine remains unchanged. Spain, at the #Ramstein meeting, pledged to send #Patriot system missiles, expected this week.

🔍 We believe the goal is not to help Ukraine win back territory….