Kyle Samani Profile picture
Managing Partner @multicoincap. Telegram: https://t.co/r1Njz1utJX. Opinions are my own; not a solicitation; not an offer for investment advisory services
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Sep 3 10 tweets 2 min read
0/ A thought experiment on centralization and forking and BTC purity

h/t @kankanivishal for the convo last week

in 2019, @hosseeb wrote a fantastic piece that basically said that circle and tether dictate which fork wins

haseebq.com/ethereum-is-no… 1/ today, there's $100B+ of value on chain that is secured by circle and tether

if there is ever a fork, the fork that circle and tether don't endorse (what i'll call the minority fork) basically implodes bc all the contracts implode in a matter of hours
Jul 26 16 tweets 3 min read
0/ Thoughts on predictions markets (PM)

TLDR - what matters is regularity 1/ draft kings and fan duel spend massively on CAC. so much so that they tried to merge in 2016 because they recognized that they were just bleeding each other to death (FTC blocked merger)
Jul 11 15 tweets 3 min read
0/ I used to believe in owning your own data

I don't anymore 1/ Ownership is about *exclusion*. This is most clear when thinking about assets:

a) I have a $5 bill, and you do not. Therefore I can spend $5, and you cannot

b) I own a $1M piece of art. I don't lend it to the museum so that others can appreciate it. I keep it on the wall in my house so that only I can appreciate its beauty
Jun 19 8 tweets 2 min read
0/ There's an old saying that fundraising is weird, bc the skills required to be good at fundraising are not the skills required to accel as CEO

I used to believe that

I no longer do

The entirety of the challenge of fundraising can be distilled to a single skill: communication 1/ There are two major facets of communication that are particularly important:

a) distilling information to the right level of abstraction
b) understanding context of VC and adjusting accordingly

i'll provide examples of both
Sep 26, 2023 6 tweets 1 min read
0/ Multicoin has led a $7.5M seed round in @FhenixIO , which is pioneering on-chain FHE to enable compliant, on-chain confidentiality

What's FHE? Fully Homomorphic Encryption

The ability to compute over encrypted data

The holy grail of cryptography

multicoin.capital/2023/09/26/the… 1/ DeFi is predicated on shared state

Many teams have been trying to use zk to achieve on-chain confidentiality, but there are limits here

When each user creates a ZKP, the state modifications they make are not visible to the system or other users
Jun 5, 2023 38 tweets 5 min read
0/ Some thoughts on Vision Pro

From someone who was one of the first builders on Google Glass.... 10 years ago! 1/ Apple's first demo in the keynote was at work, not at home

Tells you a lot about expected use cases and where Apple is trying to drive adoption in the near term
Jun 2, 2023 4 tweets 1 min read
0/ I've been thinking (and tweeting!) about AI over the last 6 months

There are a lot of crypto x AI intersections - far more than what I've outlined in this post

But this post outlines what I think are 4 of the most important

multicoin.capital/2023/06/02/the… 1/ AirBnB for your GPU is *by far* the most important intersection

This market will have many winners, and we are looking to invest in more teams in this sector
Mar 15, 2023 4 tweets 1 min read
0/ A theory on DAO coordination

There is an inverse relationship between surface area of social coordination, and need for hierarchy 1/ Helium and Hivemapper work because surface area for social coordination is limited, and as such, require little hierarchy. Same generally holds for other DePIN / POPW protocols
Oct 5, 2022 18 tweets 3 min read
0/ A thread on (web3) identity 1/ What is identity?

Outside of the context of legally mandated ID (eg DL/passport), I think the actually important thing about identity is that its a *socially emergent phenomenon*

What does this mean?
Oct 3, 2022 9 tweets 2 min read
0/ Discord is a social product, but not a social network

Wut? 1/ Discord onboards users… via sales

Social networks onboard users directly

Wut?
Oct 3, 2022 7 tweets 1 min read
0/ This is beautiful 1/ for a huge % of intellectual capital on the internet, twitter is the primary identity in the context of whatever intellectual capital they posses and demonstrate to the world
Jul 23, 2022 7 tweets 2 min read
0/ On finding the truth 1/ finding the truth requires overcoming human psychological biases

Our brains use heuristics constantly. Heuristics are inherently backwards facing. They are based on a mental model of the world that currently exists
Jun 27, 2022 7 tweets 2 min read
0/ Watched the Solana phone keynote

Some select ecosystem stats 1/
Jun 7, 2022 7 tweets 2 min read
0/ Teamed up with @ballmatthew and @BitwiseInvest to launch a metaverse focused crypto index

And Bitwise is concurrently launching a fund to track the index

multicoin.capital/es/2022/06/07/… 1/ Multicoin is known for high concentration, non-consensus investments

What are we doing with a passive index?
Apr 11, 2022 23 tweets 3 min read
0/ A thread on decision making (DM)

Both personally, and in the context of investment decisions at Multicoin 1/ As a general statement about life, simple > complex

Concise > verbose

etc

This is particularly important in the context of DM. But how do you embody simplicity in the context of DM?
Feb 24, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
0/ We co-led a $3M round in Marginfi

Marginfi is a defi-native prime brokerage

Marginfi is *the* quintessential example of composability on Solana. I highlighted Marginfi extensively in my composability presentation at the Multicoin Summit

1/ What’s a prime brokerage (PB)?

Big banks - GS, JPM, MS, etc. - offer 3 main PB services to hedge funds:

A/ connectivity to all venues
b/ leverage
C/ cross-margin positions, even across venues
Feb 16, 2022 5 tweets 1 min read
0/ In addition to our investment in Ceramic, we are also announcing our investment in @fluence_project today

multicoin.capital/2022/02/16/com… 1/ Fluence is a permissionless network for Web3 compute

The simplest mental model is decentralized AWS Lambda

write functions once, deploy across the Fluence network around the world
Jan 18, 2022 7 tweets 2 min read
0/ The design space to do lots of creative stuff with NFTs is vast

And the @metaplex protocol is going to be the base layer that powers this

A thread 1/ As I highlighted in my 2021 Multicoin Summit keynote, composability will be *the* defining theme of 2022

My keynote -

Multicoin's Metaplex blog post by @shayonsengupta - multicoin.capital/2022/01/18/the…
Jan 4, 2022 13 tweets 2 min read
0/ Predicting the future is hard

The most common way to do this is by using data, and extrapolating from the past

This works ok when things are changing in a predictable-ish way

But sometimes things change unpredictability

2022 will be a year of unpredictable changes 2/ whenever there is a breakthrough technology, it usually starts off looking like a toy, and slowly compounds

And then one day - when the tech and the market are ready- the growth curve turns vertical
Dec 22, 2021 9 tweets 2 min read
0/ We led a $4M seed round in @solscanofficial along with @ElectricCapital and many others

Block explorers are one of the most important parts of a blockchain ecosystem, and one of the least-loved

multicoin.capital/2021/12/22/the… 1/ Historically, block explorers have mostly been a dev tool

But as crypto permeates more and more industries, we expect that block explorers will develop an increasing surface area for general power users
Dec 22, 2021 17 tweets 3 min read
0/ An alternative theory on why Ethereum DeFi has been underperforming

TLDR - the market is becoming more *mechanically* efficient as professional trading firms build infra, and they are sapping retail’s DeFi yields

H/t @SpencerApplebau and @TusharJain_ 1/ Like most breakthrough ideas, a new set of ideas is usually not perfected at launch

See Bitcoin, video games, the Internet, mobile phones, etc

DeFi is no different