Kyle šŸš„ Profile picture
might make a tweet soon
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Oct 29 ā€¢ 6 tweets ā€¢ 3 min read
Figures they would spin thisā€”what the headline invites you to overlook is that Chinaā€™s billionaires have been declining for three full years of economic growth.

Whatā€™s remarkable is that itā€™s happening *despite* GDP growth (~5% in 2024) and rising real wages for everyone else šŸ§µ ā€œChina loses third of billionaires as economy faltersā€ They wonā€™t dare to make this comparison, so I will: despite the United Statesā€™ much more modest economic growth, the wealth of U.S. billionaires has grown tremendouslyā€”by 26% during the same time period.
Sep 19 ā€¢ 4 tweets ā€¢ 2 min read
People had feelings about this tweet. Many reactionaries, but some left-wingers too.

In the West, the left has been in retreat since 1980 and especially since the USSR fell. Protest movements of the 2010s were crushed, and many if not most are worse off.

How to start again? šŸ§µ It took over half a century after the Communist Manifesto was published to create the first proletarian state.

It may be even harder todayā€”after 1991, the capitalist class became more centralized and united than ever, and now has many more technological terrors at its disposal.
Sep 10 ā€¢ 4 tweets ā€¢ 2 min read
The biggest story about Haiti is that the U.S. has invaded, occupied, and overthrown Haitiā€™s government multiple times, and in 2009, on behalf of U.S. corporations that super-exploit Haitian labor, the U.S. embassy and USAID prevented Haiti from raising its minimum wage to $5/day ā€œWikiLeaks Haiti: Let Them Live on $3 a Day  The US Embassy aided Levi's, Hanes contractors in their fight against an increase in Haiti's minimum wage.ā€ Before that, after Haiti finally won independence from a century of the most brutal slave system in the Western hemisphere, it was forced to pay a $20 billion indemnity to France for their ā€œlost propertyā€
Aug 14 ā€¢ 7 tweets ā€¢ 3 min read
Often one of the most interesting things about a theorist is their errors.

In 1991, Wang Huning thought the U.S./Japan imperial alliance would fracture, and Japan would be a main rival.

Today, that alliance is more solid than ever.

China has surely learned from this mistake šŸ§µ

ā€œThe power of the solar empire has grown like nuclear fusion: in 1985, one dollar was worth 240 yen, today it is worth 130 yen. Susan Chira, writing in the New York Times (1988. 11.28), said. Japanese companies can easily outperform their competitors and purchase American property or companies. Japanese investors have lent huge amounts of money to the United States, mostly buying Treasury securities, and they can shake up the market. Japan became the ruler of the local economy and the currencies of other countries and regions did not appreciate as fast as the yen. Japan has significant inve...
ā€œThe question is why did it end up this way? In addition to various reasons such as the management system, the difference between the two cultures is an important reason. A certain system is bound to have an effect that does not depend on human will, but a certain culture will have an effect that does not depend on human will. The end of the economic competition between the United States and Japan is the product of the different genes of the two cultures. To a large extent, this is more of a cultural constraint rather than an institutional constraint. Some people say that the United States ...
The Soviet Union also made a similar error, and in their case it was fatal.

Itā€™s somewhat understandable, since exploiting the contradictions within the imperialist world was key to the Soviet victory in the Second World War.

Stalin, in 1951:
marxists.org/reference/archā€¦
ā€œConsequently, the struggle of the capitalist countries for markets and their desire to crush their competitors proved in practice to be stronger than the contradictions between the capitalist camp and the socialist camp. What guarantee is there, then, that Germany and Japan will not rise to their feet again, will not attempt to break out of American bondage and live their own independent lives? I think there is no such guarantee. But it follows from this that the inevitability of wars between capitalist countries remains in force.ā€
Jul 29 ā€¢ 4 tweets ā€¢ 2 min read
Thread šŸ§µ of Amazing Graphs šŸ“ˆ and Maps šŸ—ŗļø Relating to the Peopleā€™s Republic of China šŸ‡ØšŸ‡³

1. The rate of solar energy capacity increase worldwide, overlaid with past predictions: Image 2. The growth of per capita rural household income in Chinese autonomous regions in the 21st century: Image
Jul 15 ā€¢ 17 tweets ā€¢ 7 min read
Whatā€™s happening to Chinaā€™s banks?

According to Western newspapers, nothing good! Due to bad loans to developers and local governments, many are now ā€œvanishingā€, which will surely be bad for The Economy.

But actually, I think itā€™s quite good newsā€¦ šŸ§µ
economist.com/finance-and-ecā€¦ To get an idea of how the West would prefer China and other countries to manage their banking systems, look no further than the International Monetary Fund (which is a predatory, imperialist institution controlled by the United States governmentā€”see below).
Jul 5 ā€¢ 31 tweets ā€¢ 9 min read
Thereā€™s been some discourse lately on homelessness, or the lack thereof, in Beijing.

Since thereā€™s very little data on it, I attempted to find some evidence myself, in the most systematic way I could as an individual. šŸ§µ

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As a mega-city of >20 million, Beijing should be ground zero for the neoliberal hell of rough sleeping, if Chinaā€™s system is really similar to the United Statesā€™. Youā€™d expect the problem to be FAR worse there than in a much smaller city, like, say, Portland, Oregon (<1 million)
Jul 1 ā€¢ 44 tweets ā€¢ 12 min read
There have been some posts arguing about alleged Chinese ā€œcolonizationā€ of Tibet lately.

Though this thread will show that Tibet is not actually a colony, I donā€™t find the ā€œMao already freed Tibetā€ line to be the most convincing, and prefer an alternate approach. šŸ§µ For one thing, it was not the immediate goal of the PRC to ā€œfreeā€ Tibet in 1951, no matter how awful conditions of feudalism were for the serfs. In fact, Mao was initially prepared to allow Tibet to remain feudal for a century if necessary, as Politburo records have shown. ā€œAccording to the Chairman [Mao] no reforms in the twentieth century.... No reforms for several decades or for fifty to one hundred years ... This is based on [the model of] the Far East Republic... Even if the 1.2 million serfs remain [in Tibet], this will not affect our socialist construction [in the rest of China]. Leave the Tibetan currency and the Tibetan army alone. We should make an agreement with them ā€”we give them some money and let them do the work. Even if they embezzle all the money, leave them alone.... In Tibet, it [reforms] will take decades.ā€
Jun 29 ā€¢ 14 tweets ā€¢ 5 min read
The U.S. Supreme Court overturning the Chevron precedent may end up deregulating corporations more than any policy in a generation.

But in the Peopleā€™s Republic of China, regulations on business are increasing, not declining. Hereā€™s a thread of a few recent ones šŸ§µ (All these new regulations were created within the past five years, and are from 2021 in particular unless otherwise noted.

Again, a more complete and detailed list is available in my book, WHY THE WORLD NEEDS CHINA, now available where books are sold: )ischinagood.org
Jun 28 ā€¢ 18 tweets ā€¢ 7 min read
The destruction of the Soviet Union had a profoundly negative effect upon not just its former republics, but the entire world.

This thread will list quantitative changes to Western imperialism following the fall of the USSR šŸ§µ
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Iā€™ve described the disastrous effects upon Eastern Europe itself previously, and you can read them in the quoted thread here.

The rest of the world, however, also suffered as imperialism became more overt.
Jun 26 ā€¢ 18 tweets ā€¢ 6 min read
When was the last time the Peopleā€™s Republic of China had an economic recession?

Letā€™s find out together. In this thread I will take you on a journey back through time šŸ§µ A recession in the U.S. was (until 2022, for some reason) traditionally defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth.

In 2020, when the U.S. (and most of the world) fell into recession due to the pandemic, China had only one negative quarter, so no recession. Image
Jun 19 ā€¢ 19 tweets ā€¢ 5 min read
What happens when a ruling Communist Party is subverted or overthrown, as some claim Chinaā€™s has been?

There are several very clear examples of this happening in the early 1990s. A comparison between those countriesā€™ experiences and Chinaā€™s Reform period may be enlightening. šŸ§µ (Before I continue, please note that you can find a much longer and more detailed version of this thread in my book WHY THE WORLD NEEDS CHINA, available now from Clarity Press)
ischinagood.org
Jun 19 ā€¢ 14 tweets ā€¢ 4 min read
From 2021 to 2024, the total wealth controlled by billionaires in Chinaā€™s mainland declined by 47%, from $2.5 trillion to $1.3 trillion.

This thread (šŸ§µ) will present a selected list of Chinese billionaires who have been ordered arrested or sentenced over the last decade. (A longer list and more detailed analysis can be found in my book, WHY THE WORLD NEEDS CHINA, which is now available from Clarity Press at the link below, and also in many other places books are sold.)
ischinagood.org
Jun 15 ā€¢ 7 tweets ā€¢ 2 min read
The rumors are trueā€”I wrote a book!

WHY THE WORLD NEEDS CHINA is an analysis of modern imperialism, how the Peopleā€™s Republic of China is undermining it, and a close look at Chinese domestic policy. Itā€™s available from Clarity Press and in stores now šŸ§µ
ischinagood.org If you consider yourself left-wing but are uncertain what to think of the PRC or donā€™t know where to find independent analysis, this book is for you. Rather than anecdotes or dogma, it relies mainly on studies, data, and comparative analysis to understand Chinaā€™s transformation.
Jun 14 ā€¢ 22 tweets ā€¢ 11 min read
2023 was almost certainly China's fossil fuel peak.

According to UK news org Carbon Brief, a permanent drop in emissions in 2024 is "essentially locked in."

The original plan was to peak by 2030; this is 7 years ahead of schedule.

Thread šŸ§µ

carbonbrief.org/analysis-chinaā€¦


ā€œCarbon Brief  Analysis: Chinaā€™s emissions set to fall in 2024 after record growth in clean energyā€
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Electric vehicles are now a majority of all car sales. In March, BYD predicted this would occur within 90 days. Others didnā€™t expect it until 2028.

Actually, it took less than three weeks after their prediction was printed.
arenaev.com/chinese_ev_carā€¦

ā€œBYD says plug-in electrics will exceed 50 pct of new car sales in China in next 3 monthsā€
ā€œChinese EV car sales exceed 50% for the first time everā€
Dec 19, 2023 ā€¢ 5 tweets ā€¢ 1 min read
ā€œDoes the wealth of the Western world still come from imperialist extraction?ā€

In very large part, yes. IMF-classified ā€œadvanced economiesā€ drain $10 trillion from the rest of the world each year, through unequal exchange underlying international trade.šŸ§µ
sciencedirect.com/science/articlā€¦ ā€œIs that a lot?ā€

Yes. Itā€™s over a tenth of the entire worldā€™s GDP. And it doesnā€™t even include lesser mechanisms of exploitation like the payment of interest in debt, royalties for patented technology, or other forms of rent.

The actual number is likely a bit higher.
Sep 1, 2023 ā€¢ 11 tweets ā€¢ 4 min read
Housing prices fell dramatically in the US in 2007-2008.

Housing prices are falling dramatically in China right now.

What's the difference?

In one sentence: Chinese banks will not make people homeless.

In several sentences... šŸ§µ The reason why so many people lost their homes during the 2008 financial crisis has to do with adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs).

In the US, ARM-dealing was highly predatory, promising very low interest ("teaser rates") to begin with, which would then greatly increase later on. Image
Jul 22, 2023 ā€¢ 21 tweets ā€¢ 7 min read
Sometime in the next seven years, a human being will set foot on the Moon for the first time since 1972.

That human will probably be a Chinese taikonaut, and the outrage from the West will be like nothing weā€™ve seen.

A thread šŸ§µ on China šŸ‡ØšŸ‡³ and the New Space Race šŸš€ A picture of the moon Letā€™s briefly review the history of the United Statesā€™ Moon policy.

JFKā€™s famous promise of a Moon landing by 1970 was fulfilled. But it may not surprise you to learn that Western plans since then have beenā€¦overly optimistic. A picture of an Apollo landing
Jul 15, 2023 ā€¢ 43 tweets ā€¢ 16 min read
The progress China has made in renewable energy just THIS YEAR makes the entire rest of the world look like it's standing still.

I wrote in December that to call China the "world leader in renewable energy" was a colossal understatement.

Thatā€™s even more true today.

Thread šŸ§µ
Huainan floating solar farm in Anhui Province.
Huainan floating solar farm in Anhui Province.
Even the Western press considers the PRC's climate target to be all-important to preventing complete global disaster. It was estimated to reduce projected temperature by 0.3 degrees Celsius, the largest *drop* ever calculated by climate models.
foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/25/xi-ā€¦
May 1, 2023 ā€¢ 9 tweets ā€¢ 4 min read
Sudanā€™s government did everything the IMF told it to. It devalued its currency by 10x, cut fuel subsidies, and normalized relations with Israel.

But instead of forgiving Sudanā€™s debt as promised, the Paris Club reneged. Sudanā€™s debt is still increasing.
https://t.co/Nn8ubmAhB2country.eiu.com/article.aspx?aā€¦


ā€œRecent economic reforms include the removal of fuel subsidies and a sharp exchange rate devaluation under an IMF-monitored programme required to enter HIPC.  Another condition for accessing HIPC was removal from the U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism, achieved last year after Sudan agreed to provide compensation to victims of attacks and normalize relations with Israel.ā€
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ā€œIn midā€‘June the Paris Club announced the suspension of debt relief for Sudan through its Enhanced Initiative for Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) owing to the OctoberĀ 2021 military coup. We expect the indefinite suspension of the HIPC for Sudan to continue at least until discussions with the IMF resume after the 2023 elections; this will widen the external debt to GDP ratio over the 2022ā€‘26 forecastĀ period.ā€
The power the IMF (and its puppet masters the US and Europe, which control its policy decisions) has over countries like Sudan is immense. To make a deal for debt relief, the victim country must enact ā€œreformsā€ FIRST, before receiving anything.
Apr 19, 2023 ā€¢ 26 tweets ā€¢ 10 min read
France is the second-strongest economy in the EU, the only nuclear power, and is energy-independent. If any country can lead Europe out from under the US thumb, itā€™s France.

However, it canā€™t without undergoing some fundamental social changes.

Thread šŸ§µ ā€œEurope must resist pressur...ā€œChina completes first yuan...ā€œBEIJING, March 28 (Reuters... Everyone is saying the word ā€œmultipolarityā€ these days. When do we get there, exactly?

The best academic writing about it I know of is from Samir Amin. In 2006, his take was that an anti-neoliberal, anti-imperialist Europe was a key criteria for a multipolar world to exist. ā€œReal advances towards a di...