A terrorist attack in Mykolaiv -

Around 1415 today, a woman approached a group of soldiers in uniform in the city center, where her bag detonated. She was killed immediately, and there are further casualties.

Speculation is that the woman didn't know she was carrying a bomb.


Source: local Kherson channel "Kherson Non-Fake", which is a very reliable source.

t.me/kherson_non_fa…

Everyone's talking about Gaza. Lets talk about it too, but from a medical perspective.

This is for civilians stuck in the middle of what is to be a very violent time and place. Don't lump me in with Hamas.

Tldr: Improvised tourniquets, chest seals, and gauze.

🧵(1/13)🔻 The IDF will conduct an invasion of Gaza, where ~2.4 million people live at high density (6,500/km2, 16,800/mi2).
Israel and Egypt currently have the borders closed for security concerns.
Hamas certainly isn't interested in helping.

The civilians are stuck. (2/23)
Old graphic🔻

Hello, we here at Global Augmentation (a registered 501c3) are launching a fundraiser for $15,000 USD, for the purchase + delivery via Nova Posta of 1000+ certified Ukrainian tourniquets to frontline troops we've trained. More info below (1/7)

spot.fund/c77k4sc What is a Tourniquet (TQ)?

A TQ is an emergency medical device that works to stop massive bleeding from the arms or legs, by squeezing the artery (the major blood vessel) to the bone. Effective and rapid TQ use saves lives every single day here, as the most common intervention.

A 🧵on 🇷🇺 + 🇺🇦 losses per @Volya_media, for 12/9/22-1/31/23.

Losses = Killed, Missing, POW

TLDR:
🇷🇺 39.3k- 39.6k Losses (133k -137k total)
🇷🇺 114.3k- 114.4k WIA (291k-305k total)

🇺🇦 15.3k- 15.4k Losses (62.2-65.8k total)
🇺🇦 59k- 59.1k WIA (148k-154.6k total)

1/8 🇷🇺 RU losses breakdown 12/9/22-1/31/23.

🇷🇺Army (including DPR/LPR):
15,490 -15,600 losses
60,801-60,969 WIA

🇷🇺Natl Guard:
130-150 losses
402-410 WIA

Wagner/PMCs:
23,700-23,870 losses
52,940-53,100 WIA

🇷🇺Navy/Marines:
0 casualties (no data)

~2,850 casualties/day

2/8

A 🧵on RU + UA losses per @Volya_media, for 11/8/22-12/8/22.

Losses = Killed, Missing, POW

TLDR:
🇷🇺 21,320- 21,380 Losses (93.8k-98.1k total)
🇷🇺 43,200- 43,469 WIA (177k-190.5k total)

🇺🇦 7,900- 8,100 Losses (47.2k-50.3k total)
🇺🇦 23,980- 24,000 WIA (89.6k-95.5k total)

1/11 🇷🇺 RU losses breakdown 11/8-12/8/22

🇷🇺Army (including DPR/LPR):
11,830-11,850 losses
24,708-24,768 WIA

🇷🇺Natl Guard:
1,100-1,120 losses
2,420-2,550 WIA

Wagner/PMCs:
8,293-8,297 losses
15,940-16,010 WIA

🇷🇺Navy/Marines:
100 losses
130-139 WIA

~2,156 casualties/day

2/11

4th RRB Voices from Bakhmut:

"Our infantry is fighting flawlessly - otherwise Bakhmut would have fallen long ago"

The NGU soldier with the call sign "Krafter" is performing tasks as part of the 3rd Battalion of the Rapid Reaction Brigade "Svoboda".

🧵1/8 Like many of his colleagues, Krafter is a volunteer who joined the ranks of the National Guard, and later the 4th RRB after February 24, when he found the full-scale Russian invasion in his hometown as he woke up to rocket attacks early in the morning down the road.

2/8

A thread on continued RU/UA op in Kherson region. Sources from @Volya_media, 🇺🇦OPCOM South forces, Kherson TG, 🇺🇦soldiers + others.

TLDR: RU is abandoning its positions, collapsing to defend around Kherson city and the Kahkovka dam.

I'm using @AndrewPerpetua's map.

🧵1/9 To the NW of Kherson city, the 1st 🇷🇺line of defense, from Pravdyne-Snihurivka, is completely abandoned to the W of the Inhulets river.

The 2nd 🇷🇺 line (Tomyna Balka- Chornobaika area) is reportedly in process of withdrawal.

🇺🇦is advancing here, slowly and methodically.
2/9

So, no update tonight beyond the Kherson one earlier.

In the meantime: a Congressional Research Service report on the Ukrainian Military Performance and Outlook:

crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF… The report covers 4 topics : personnel, equipment, Western security assistance, and the current Ukrainian military performance and outlook. A brief summary of each section is found below:

A thread on RU withdrawal and UA offensives in Kherson region. Sources from @Volya_media, UA OPCOM South, + others.

As of 10 PM on 11/9/22. East of the Inhulets river, UA is advancing towards Beryslav and the Kahkovka dam. RU is pulling some troops in to cover this area.

🧵1/10 RU soldiers and equipment are being withdrawn across the Dnieper River near Beryslav and over the dam. The crossing and the dam are not currently shelled.

RU brigades and 3 of the 4 RU units who were just deployed here with fresh mobikis are apparently withdrawing already.

2/10

A short thread on RU + UA losses per @Volya_media, for 10/26/22-11/7/22.

Losses = Killed, Missing, POW

TLDR:
🇷🇺 6280 - 6334 Losses (72.4k-76.7k total)
🇷🇺 12311- 12610 WIA (133.7k-147k total)

🇺🇦 2521- 2590 Losses (39.3k-42.3k total)
🇺🇦 6507- 6620 WIA (65.6k-71.5k total)

🧵1/6 🇷🇺 RU recent losses breakdown 10/26-11/7/22

RU Army:
6,030-6,050 losses
11,720-12,000 WIA

RU National guard:
150-180 losses
418-430 WIA

Wagner/PMCs:
69-73 losses
106-110 WIA
(I think more)

Black Sea Fleet:
31 losses
67-70 WIA

~1,564 causalities/day

2/6

Sevastopol bay attack thread:

Overnight of October 28-29, RU Black Sea Fleet ships were attacked by drones in the bay of Sevastopol.

The RU flagship, Admiral Makarov frigate, was damaged. There's apparent footage of the approach of UA USV drone (kamikaze boats)

🧵 1/5 A troop transport ship or cargo transport ship was damaged, possibly half-sunk. Additionally, either a Serna landing ship (pictured) or the Admiral Makarov is reported as sunk. My money is on the Serna-class (pictured) being sunk, as its much smaller.

2/5

A short thread on RU and UA losses per @Volya_media, for 10/10/22-10/25/22.

Losses = Killed, Missing, POW

TLDR:

🇷🇺 5700-5900 Losses (66.3k-72.4k total)
🇷🇺 9300-9600 WIA (121.5k-134.4k total)

🇺🇦1400-1700 Losses (36.8k-39.7k total)
🇺🇦3900-4200 WIA (59.2k-64.9k total)

🧵1/5 RU recent losses breakdown 10/10-10/25/22

RU Army:
5170-5300 losses
8478-8665 WIA

RU National guard:
420-460 losses
620-670 WIA

Wagner/PMCs:
58-61 losses
130-140 WIA
(I think more)

Black sea Fleet Marines:
52-79 losses
99-115 WIA

2/5

A thread on total RU and UA losses from @Volya_media , who has provided very accurate and granular data for some time on a number of subjects.

I encourage you to read the source:

telegra.ph/Spisok-myasnik…

TLDR:

🇷🇺60-66k KIA
🇷🇺112-124k WIA

🇺🇦35-38k KIA
🇺🇦55-60k WIA

🧵1/11 Volya claimed sources:
HQ of both armies, individual units, army and navy reports, MoD of UA and RU.

Doctors treating causalities from combat, PMCs, the Russian National guard,

Intel agencies including: RU FSB/GRU, UA GUR/SBU and the UA foreign service.

2/11

RU perspective on the situation around Luman as of 14:40 on October 1

*So far the battles for Lyman are proceeding according to the scenario we described yesterday. To all appearances, the city is almost completely under the control of the Ukrainian armed forces. There are already UA units in Lyman, not just SOF and recon. There is still fighting on the northern outskirts.

The encircled RU forces are trying to break through Zarichne to Kreminna <along the highway, under UA arty control>. Fighting is ongoing. UA took numerous prisoners.

I'd like to draw attention to a humble donor, who today donated $1000 USD in crypto to
@MriyaAid, ~50 tourniquets worth, or 50 lives saved.

I'd like to challenge you all to save some lives today. Post your donations below, or dm me for anonymous posting.
mriyaaid.org @YAmzallagh @CraigM_Regan

@OKCityRyan @BalticSnowTiger

@plamen_neykov @mmatsuo @SpencerGuard @ChuckPfarrer

@CraigM_Regan @CasualArtyFan

@domenpresern @ferlain

@JaysonGeroux @MelanieLake

@MriyaReport @MrKovalenko

Rybar doom and gloom re: UA advance and breakthrough E of Oskil, and threats thereof on RU forces in the Luhansk region:

Map:

1/5 2/5
In the Ridkodub area, UA managed to take advantage of their numerical superiority and push through the RU defenses. UA broke thru the N of the city, where defenses are weak.

UA established general control over Ridkodub, Karpivka, and Nove via an attack from Lozove.

Ukrainian Military update regarding the situation on the ground as of 5.25.22 in the PM US time (fixed the links)

Audio+ Soundcloud repository:
soundcloud.app.goo.gl/9Tuo4

Text:
textuploader.com/t1z7l

Maps:
shorturl.at/joFQ3
shorturl.at/suPRX
national-security.info/ukraine/maps.h… Ukrainian Military update regarding the situation on the ground as of 5.26.22 in the PM US time

Audio+ Soundcloud repository:
soundcloud.com/languagelearne…

Text:
textuploader.com/t1zyk

Maps:
shorturl.at/joFQ3
shorturl.at/suPRX
national-security.info/ukraine/maps.h…