Len Cabrera Profile picture
Semi-retired teacher, author, free-lance cyclist, car snob and trophy husband. Author of "Basic Personal Finance" https://t.co/AWIOe24eak
16 Jan
"Defining Our Terms" 1/15 @SteveDeaceShow podcast is a must listen:
"Progressivism is a religion based upon the affirmation of human desire... I desire for my desires to be validated... my desires must be affirmed. You cannot argue with that."

megaphone.link/BMDC7488520393
"Where do our rights come from & then who are we responsible to if we abuse those rights or try to take those rights away from others? Well, our rights come from God, not from government... That adds a little more gravity to the situation than... I'm responsible to the majority."
"That's what Chesterton meant when he said, 'America was the only county ever founded by a creed.' What was that creed?... There is one God. Our rights come from Him & the role of government is the protection & preservation of those rights."
Read 4 tweets
30 Nov 20
My mom died yesterday from a massive cerebral hemorrhage. She would've turned 70 on Wed. In 2018, she had 3 of them & had to learn to walk again TWICE. Her persistence & resilience were amazing to her doctors, but her loss of executive function required long-term care so... (1/7)
she moved into an assisted living facility. It was supposed to be a happy time: cruise-ship living with restaurant-style dining, daily happy hour, and live music. Then COVID. Since March, her ALF became an expensive prison & she was basically in solitary confinement. (2/7)
She started losing her ability to walk because of lack of exercise. She was unable to see her family. Even after @GovRonDeSantis allowed long-term care facilities to open, many didn't or imposed restrictions for fear of lawsuits. My mom was allowed just 1 30-min visit/week (3/7)
Read 7 tweets
20 Nov 20
No test is perfect and the complete faith in PCR tests should make everyone concerned. A +test basically steals 2 weeks of someone's life (+ close contacts). What if they're not really sick? I estimate 245K (27%) of FL COVID "cases" are false+. 1/5
Even with highly accurate tests, low prevalence can result in >30% false+. That's why the PCR fact sheet says "only using respiratory specimens collected from individuals suspected of COVID-19 by their healthcare provider." PCR is not a screening tool. 2/5
fda.gov/media/136229/d…
Even NY Times admits 40-90% of +PCR tests are non-infectious (do not have live virus even if they did have COVID in past), but I'm talking about actual false+ (i.e., +tests returned for people who don't actually have COVID). 3/5

Read 5 tweets
8 Oct 20
CDC Provisional Deaths by Age updated thru 10/3... still roughly 80% of deaths from 20% of population. Let's have fun with graphs... (1/6)

data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provision… ImageImage
Distributions of population and COVID deaths. COVID is bad, but imagine flipping that COVID distribution horizontally to be more like 1918 Spanish Flu (50% deaths aged 20-40)... that's society-altering tragedy. US life expectancy dropped by 12 years! (2/6) ImageImage
Distributions of COVID deaths and all other deaths... maybe they're so similar because we're just assigning COVID to anyone who dies with a +test, regardless of whether COVID caused the death (almost like the government is financially incentivizing the practice). (3/6) ImageImage
Read 6 tweets
15 Sep 20
What Fauci wrote in Feb (before making COVID political):
1. COVID is related to SARS (2002 & 2012)
1a. SARS has CFR 9-10%
1b. COVID has CFR 1.4-2%
2. COVID "case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia" (not just +PCR test) (1/4)
nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.105…
3. Higher "mortality among the elderly and among those with coexisting conditions"
4. "No cases in children younger than 15"
5. "Children less likely to become infected... or symptoms were so mild that their infection escaped detection" (2/4)
nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.105…
6. "Asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as higher as the number of reported cases"
7. "Overall clinical consequences of COVID-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza" (3/4)
nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.105…
Read 4 tweets
9 Sep 20
Why did the CDC change guidance on who to test? Read the Cohen-Kessel paper on false positive rate (FPR). They reviewed real-world data on RT-PCR tests for RNA viruses since 2004 & estimated 2.3% FPR. (1/6)

bioinvasions.org/wp-content/upl…
That means the specificity is 97.7%, not the fanciful 100% reported by labs (Table S1). Using 99% sensitivity & 97.7% specificity, then using the daily %+ tests to estimate the COVID-19 prevalence of the test population, it's possible to estimate... (2/6)
the number of + tests that were returned for uninfected people (i.e., false positives). Since 2/29, the US has 6.1M +tests, but 1.7M (28%) are likely false+. Also 45K of 77M (0.059%) false- tests (- test returned for infected people). (3/6)
Read 6 tweets
19 Aug 20
As @SteveDeaceShow says, "Assume you're being lied to." Here's a summary of Florida District 8 medical examiner reports on COVID-19 deaths from @AlachuaCounty: 39 reports, all but 5 list COVID-19 pneumonia or infection as primary cause of death, but... (1/8)
80% (31 of 39) have 4 or more co-morbidities; only 2 list <3 (81 & 82 y/o with dementia); most common: hypertension (31), heart/circulatory disease (30), diabetes (24), kidney disease (15); 17 in long term care facilities; median age was 78; 90% (35 of 39) were 65 or older (2/8)
Discontinuity between state data systems; @HealthyFla case line data (8/18) has 29 C19 deaths in @AlachuaCounty (59 in all of ME District 8); From 39 ME reports 12 can't be matched to case line data; specific examples of "COVID" deaths follow... (3/8)
Read 8 tweets
13 Aug 20
Wear a mask because
(1) COVID erased years of science & replaced it with "SCIENCE!" (insert @SteveDeaceShow voice)
(2) It shows you care & is cheaper than sending a card to everyone
(3) It's easier to comply with tyrannical government than to fight for liberty
(1/13)
1975: "The wearing of a surgical face mask had no effect upon the overall operating room environmental contamination" (2/13)
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/1157412/
1981: "No masks were worn in one operating theatre for
6 months. There was no increase in the incidence of wound infection." (3/13)
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
Read 13 tweets