lead @ExochartsC | building @EntropiaTrading | price action trader | order flow, statistics & transparency
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Mar 9 ā¢ 7 tweets ā¢ 3 min read
open interest (simplified):
a thread š§µ
open interest vs price:
price ā with positive OI: New longs pushing price up
price ā with negative OI: Shorts getting squeezed
price ā with positive OI: New shorts pushing price up
price ā with negative OI: Longs getting squeezed
when new positions, whether long or short, drive price, they add the dynamic that if pushed offside, price can squeeze in the opposite direction.
example - new shorts pushing price ā
Feb 28 ā¢ 7 tweets ā¢ 3 min read
Auction Market Theory (simplified)
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what is auction market theory:
a concept (not a strategy) which discusses how buyers and sellers interact within the market.
using a combination of:
- price
- volume
- time
we can determine which state of auction the market is in, either balance or imbalance.
Feb 21 ā¢ 7 tweets ā¢ 3 min read
delta: a clear understanding
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what is delta:
in trading "delta" is the difference between the sells & buys.
there are 2 common ways to watch delta:
1) traditional bottom row indicator which tells you the delta on a per candle/time basis. (like the cover image)
2) footprint chart which shows a per price view & time view of delta. meaning you can view at which time the delta came in & which price.
Identifying delta per price I find to be more valuable.
positive delta - more market buyers
negative delta- more market sellers
example ā
Feb 14 ā¢ 6 tweets ā¢ 3 min read
orderblocks (simplified)
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what are orderblocks:
- the last up/sideways movement before an illiquid down move
- the last down/sideways movement before an illiquid up move.
illiquid typically can just mean a strong one time-framing move where there are no pullbacks.
example ā
Jan 20 ā¢ 6 tweets ā¢ 3 min read
trapped traders: a clear understanding
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what are trapped traders?
when new positions enter and are placed in an offside position, they will naturally want to close, squeezing the market in the opposite direction.
this natural outburst of breakout traders being caught offside can be a great reason to look for a reversal.
example ā
Jan 10 ā¢ 7 tweets ā¢ 3 min read
forming a daily bias:
(stats included)
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candle formations:
engulfing candles - I look for a candle to wick below the previous candle and close at least beyond the 50% mark the previous candle (bullish engulfing).
I find this to be as effective as waiting for the entire previous candle to be engulfed.
the following day will be biased towards the direction of the previous day engulfing candle.
shooting star - my favourite daily formation, these often result in better entries to much larger moves, failure to extend above/below previous day and end up mean reverting.
example ā
Jan 3 ā¢ 8 tweets ā¢ 3 min read
liquidity: a complete guide
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what is resting liquidity?
resting liquidity comes in 2 forms:
- buy stops
- sell stops
these resting liquidity zones when hit can cause:
- positions to exit (stops)
- breakout traders (new positions)
- liquidation runs
There is no definitive way to look at structure, it is something that is really dependent upon individual strategy/system.
I don't take so-called "HTF" trades. I approach the market daily, finding it most useful to track market structure by anchoring it to each individual day.
Doing this removes a lot of higher time frame noise, since i am 98% of the time in and out of a trade within the same day, I want to solely focus on that trend.
note - using range chart or non time-based charts can allow for a much cleaner view of that structure.
example ā
Oct 1, 2024 ā¢ 7 tweets ā¢ 3 min read
Using Previous Day Values for Bias:
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Previous day sweeps:
monitor above & below previous day for excess in:
- volume
- liquidations
- trapped traders in general
recognising a sweep above/below the previous day can help you get on the right side of a newly forming engulfing candle.
Sep 19, 2024 ā¢ 6 tweets ā¢ 3 min read
Candlestick Reversals
[patterns & confirmations]
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Swing failures:
simple premise:
wick above or below a level with a close back in the opposing direction.
one of the more simple patterns although extremely effective if you know where to look for it.
It's extremely important not to trade these randomly but only at proven selective levels, especially at pivots/levels where others may stop out or pile in for a breakout trade.
some things I look for:
- internal liquidity [internal from major pivots - least expecting stops hit]
- distance between pivots - time to build up positions before stopping out
- sfp of specific sessions [of London high/low]
nonetheless, an sfp traps excess before allowing it to fuel a reversal.
note - invalidations for a swing failure pattern trade are commonly strictly above/below the sfp candle.
example ā
Sep 3, 2024 ā¢ 8 tweets ā¢ 4 min read
In my daily routine checklist, the top priority is volume-based levels, one of them being high-volume nodes...
High Volume Nodes [HVN's]
a complete thread š§µ 1. what are high volume nodes
HVN's within a profile are not the highest points of volume [poc] but other points of high volume that still provide as useful s/r levels.
They are constructed through consolidation in which buyers and sellers reach a temporary equilibrium.
There is no set volume value required to determine a HVN; it is a subjective decision based on the volume profile, making HVNs relative to it.
This also shows how important it is to have correct volume profile pulls.
Here are my favoured entry patterns for intra-day trades.
Entry patterns - a complete thread š§µ
Structure Change
I use range charts in my trading career to reduce the noise found in time-based charts when tracking structure.
The range chart you choose depends on your asset. For BTC/USDT, I use the following:
- 500
- 750
- 1000
- 1500
- 2000
- 2500
The specific range depends on current volatility, aiming to see a new range candle printing every 2-5 minutes.
If you are using a time-based chart, I highly suggest the Williams Fractal Indicator to identify swing highs/lows.
More important is how to execute from a structure change. I only trade a structure change if the new major pivot created from it meets the following criteria:
- No poor high/low (a buying/selling tail)
- A spike in volume
- Preferably not within the London session
- Has seen general market aggression.
here is an example using range chart ā
Aug 18, 2024 ā¢ 8 tweets ā¢ 4 min read
I've studied and researched reversals a lot, finding they often stem from peak local aggression.
[indicators & settings included]
Market Aggression [reversals] - a thread š§µ
Relative Volume
tracked using relative volume candles, I look for clear spikes in local volume to determine peak aggression.
important to note that this is most useful for me when monitoring specific POIs only, not just buying/selling off random prints.
Relative volume info:
> 1.8
> 2
> 3.5
threshold calculation type - relative
relative length - 25
indicator - volume suite by Leviathan
Jul 21, 2024 ā¢ 9 tweets ā¢ 4 min read
How I create intra-day bias
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One-time framing
Is the daily time frame aggressively trending?
To do this, I check the daily time frame to see whether it is one-time framing in either direction.
Three or more consecutive days = aggressively trending.
If yes, i only take trades in that direction.
Jun 3, 2024 ā¢ 15 tweets ā¢ 6 min read
TPO [market profile] - a complete guide
...basics to advanced
a thread š§µ 1) How market profiles are formed:
Market profiles are formed based on how much time has been spent at individual price levels.
It will print letters in alphabetical order starting with A, and going on from there based upon your selected timeframe.
May 13, 2024 ā¢ 14 tweets ā¢ 5 min read
Volume Profile [updated] - a clear guide
a thread š§µ 1. Volume Profile Explained
Most volume tools will identify WHEN volume is coming in, whereas a profile will show at which price level volume has been transacted.
This is key as you can use that volume to determine where potential positions will defend/protect a level.
May 6, 2024 ā¢ 12 tweets ā¢ 4 min read
Delta - A Complete Guide
This will be my complete guide to understanding delta, whilst also covering its use cases for myself in my day to day trading.
a detailed thread š§µ 1. Overview of delta
"delta" is the value of difference between 2 things.
In the case of trading and particular footprint charts, delta is the difference between market buys and sells.
If there was $10m market buys vs $3m market sells, that would equal a delta value of +$7m.
May 2, 2024 ā¢ 8 tweets ā¢ 3 min read
Anchored VWAP
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What will be covered:
- Placing from major pivot highs & lows
- At the start of ranges
- Breakout/impulse points
Important:
Ensure your anchored VWAP setting is set to "open" if you want to replicate my use cases.
Apr 29, 2024 ā¢ 12 tweets ā¢ 5 min read
Liquidity levels: executing using the footprint
- resting liquidity
- volume-based liquidity
- round number liquidity
I will cover how to find those levels & EXECUTE from them using the footprint chart:
a detailed thread š§µ 1) Resting liquidity
Consecutive series of higher lows or consecutive series of lower highs before a gap in PA.
The furthest away level is used as my POI, as that is when maximum local liquidity would have been taken.
Preferred time frames I use for this:
- 15m
- 1h
Mar 27, 2024 ā¢ 7 tweets ā¢ 4 min read
Footprint Charts - Execution Triggers
[simplified]
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Trapped Traders
Waiting for large OI & delta spikes heading into a pre-planned level of interest.
Once those high OI & delta candles are engulfed in the opposite direction, it triggers an entry.
Invalidation - price un-trapping the new positions that have just been trapped.