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Maester Magoo the Compassionate Profile picture
Maester Magoo the Compassionate
@Maestermagoo
Oracle; Soothsayer I have vowed to speak only truth in all its horrific beauty. Target of projections. Sports lover. Catholic. Delusion buster.
Mar 23 • 54 tweets • 10 min read
After 7 threads and weeks of research, I found three things that may make a Bears stadium at Arlington Heights operationally unfeasible.
Not financially. Structurally.
Nobody has reported any of them.
Here's the update. 🐻🧵⬇️ Quick context: I've written extensively on why Hammond wins the financial comparison by $2-3 billion over 40 years.
This thread isn't about money. It's about three structural problems at Arlington that don't have a dollar fix.
Plus corrections on things I got wrong.
Mar 20 • 58 tweets • 12 min read
Part 5: The Full Financial Picture.
Before we model anything — one correction that changes the entire framing:
The Bears are committing $2 billion to BOTH sites.
Same investment. Completely different outcomes.
Here's the rigorous, honest comparison. 🐻🧵⬇️ ARLINGTON — TRUE COST
Bears: $2B stadium Private developers: $3B mixed-use Illinois infrastructure ask: $855M-$862M Sewers/utilities/data/stormwater: ADDITIONAL Property taxes: $100-150M/year ongoing Soldier Field debt: $534M outstanding
Total: ~$5B private + $855M+ public
Mar 19 • 59 tweets • 11 min read
Part 4/5: The Infrastructure Reality:
This was the part that truly shocked me.
After investigating the infrastructure differences between these two sites, I reached one conclusion:
Arlington, as a stadium site, isn't possible.
$855M isn't enough. It's not even close. 🐻🧵⬇️ When you see what's actually needed to make Arlington feasible, the math doesn't work.
And I think Kevin Warren knows that.
I think he ran those numbers, saw what Illinois would have to commit, and knew immediately it would never happen.
So he made a strategic pivot.
Mar 18 • 27 tweets • 6 min read
Part 3: The Logistical Trump Card. Fans debate parking. Developers ask two questions: How do you physically build a 70,000-seat dome? What does it cost to run it for 40 years? Arlington fails. Hammond dominates both. 🐻⬇️🧵 Image Building a fixed-roof dome means moving tens of thousands of tons of structural steel.
In Arlington Heights: wide-load flatbeds grinding through Route 53 and Northwest Highway for two solid years.
That's not a construction plan. That's a gridlock generator.
Mar 17 • 30 tweets • 7 min read
Everyone is asking WHEN. The better question is HOW. A Bears campus only works if it generates revenue 355 days the team doesn't play. Arlington can't do that. Hammond already can. Here's why the terrain makes all the difference. Part 2. 🧵⬇️ Part 2: The Creation of a Campus & The Border Siphon. The Bears' goal isn't just a stadium. It's a revenue ecosystem that pays for itself. 10 home games a year isn't enough. The NFL proven this over and over. You need to generate money the other 355 days. Here's the Hammond plan. Image
Mar 16 • 20 tweets • 7 min read
🧵 The media is getting the stadium story wrong. It's a franchise staring at the most asymmetric real estate opportunity in NFL history — and everyone covering it is focused on the drama instead of the math. Here's the full blueprint. 🐻⬇️
First, let's kill the geography myth once and for all. People hear "Indiana" and picture the Bears fleeing their fanbase. The Wolf Lake site in Hammond is approximately 19 miles from the Chicago Loop. Arlington Park is approximately 25 miles. Hammond is literally closer. Image
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Mar 14 • 35 tweets • 6 min read
🧵 The Bears vs. Hammond debate is missing the most important thing: almost nobody has actually read SB 27. I read it carefully. What's in there isn't a stadium bill. It's something far more extraordinary. Let me show you. SB 27 creates a "Professional Sports Development Area" — a Bears-controlled campus financed by Indiana bonds, exempt from Indiana taxes. The statute defines what qualifies for that campus. The language is where this gets interesting.
Mar 1 • 23 tweets • 4 min read
🧵 The Chicago Bears are almost certainly going to Hammond, Indiana. Here's why it's basically done, won't be exactly where you think, and why the deal is smarter than anyone's giving credit for. (Thread) 1/ Indiana signed SB27 into law this week. The Northwest Indiana Stadium Authority exists. The financing framework is signed. Indiana did in one session what Illinois couldn't do in three years.
Dec 31, 2020 • 13 tweets • 6 min read
This is what was occurring in BSL2 and BSL3 labs in November of 2019... There are multiple lab studies showing interesting results regarding humanized mice and SARS-CoV2 And... This is what Peter Daszak of EcoHealth alliance, who sponsored that work, said of the dangers of humanized move in 2015. He now says that danger is...