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Mal McKie Profile picture
Mal McKie
@Mal_McKie
Tax Consultant • Audio Engineer • Political Pundit
Oct 19 • 13 tweets • 11 min read
2024 US general election aggregate poll thread.

National popular vote has Harris +1.4, which isn't terrible for Trump. In 2020, Biden was projected to win the PV +7.2 but the actual was +4.5, a difference of 2.7 points. With a similar differential, Trump's still likely to win. Image
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Image Looking at 2016, Clinton was projected to win PV +3.2, but her actual was +2.1, a difference of 1.1 points. Smaller difference, but it's worth noting that she lost with more points than Harris currently has.

Trump doesn't need to be ahead in polling to win the electoral college. Image
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Nov 13, 2022 • 22 tweets • 14 min read
@elonmusk, some creepy dude compiled a list including myself and other #TwitterBlue customers and has posted it to an external site. I've reported the account for abusive behaviour, but he's blocked me (and presumably everyone else on his hit-list). Is this sort of thing allowed? @elonmusk @vjeannek, you're beating @Shem_Infinite in the rankings! You're TWO behind @YellowFlashGuy! Bravo, tbh!
Nov 11, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
🧵Shit or get off the pot, Ron: A thread.🧵 @vjeannek
Nov 11, 2022 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
If your position is that DeSantis *should* challenge him in a primary, it sort of kills arguments that it's surprising/upsetting when he's put in President Trump's crosshairs. Either he's a threat and is fair game, or he's an ally and the attacks should be curbed. Can't be both. The timing is also important. There's a good amount of time between now and the primary. Better to get everything out of the way now and rally supporters later than for it to blow up in everyone's face in the middle of a primary in which the point-of-no-return has been passed.
Nov 11, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
DeSantis should either concretely state he's not running in 2024, or he should admit it and come out with it already. But he'll do neither, because that would impact his fundraising capabilities in regards to the wealthy GOP donors who are coalescing behind him as an alternative. Many people are ignorant of the fact that DeSantis' proxies have been going after Trump for months, many of them declaring his political career over back in 2021 (or earlier).
Oct 28, 2021 • 30 tweets • 29 min read
@Shem_Infinite Okay, I'mma give it 110 @Shem_Infinite
Jun 15, 2018 • 87 tweets • 22 min read
@DaveAlvord164 has asked me to look at an article about the latest Canadian trade controversy.

brianlilley.com/what-trudeau-d… Brian Lilley writes about being made aware of an interview featured in a news program produced by the state-run Canadian Broadcasting Corporation (CBC).
Jun 11, 2018 • 14 tweets • 4 min read
Canada's 2017 contributions to NATO:
$23.58 billion (1.31% of GDP)

Germany's 2017 contributions to NATO:
$51.24 billion (1.22% of GDP)

United States' 2017 contributions to NATO:
$730.32 billion (3.58% of GDP) GDP spending percentages from here:

nato.int/nato_static_fl…