https://twitter.com/mattgrossmann/status/1218603795753709568@whstancil The current congressional majority has historically high rates of both party unity & win rates in both chambers:
https://twitter.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1480164452943208451But individual agency does not imply lack of structure. e.g. Manchin is the pivotal vote due to structural factors.
https://twitter.com/tonyromm/status/1472573937758449668Manchin has been ~consistent since the July letter, actually come up 250B but clear he didn’t except sunsets to get to his ceiling. Many didn’t want to hear it or fell for others’ bluffs. “make him vote against it” doesn’t work with someone running to cameras to say he’s a no
https://twitter.com/BCAppelbaum/status/1458040538310000644Overall, Democratic & Republican states don't perform differently across objective indicators, even though you can find polarized policies with real effects:
https://twitter.com/MattGrossmann/status/1456435998263500802eg voters asked in the Trump era whether they want more or less immigration or more or less health care spending are now being asked more or less from a new (or expected new) status quo. Fewer should now say more & more should say less, even if no one has changed ideal views