Michael New Profile picture
A Conservative Catholic Professor, Researcher, and Blogger. Subscribe if you want commentary from the most amusing social scientist in the pro-life movement.
Jan 25 7 tweets 2 min read
(1/7) Pro-life friends,

Many have asked for some commentary about the recent JAMA Internal Medicine study which claims that about 64,000 children have been conceived in rape in states that have enacted strong pro-life laws post-Dobbs,

Well here you go! (2/7)

This is one of the most biased and flawed pieces of research that I have seen in my years as a social scientist.

The fact that it was published in a peer reviewed journal gives it respectability and credibility that it simply does not deserve
Jul 20, 2023 6 tweets 1 min read
(1/6) Pro-life friends, @CNN is reporting that infant mortality rate in Texas dramatically increased in 2022.

Unsurprisingly, their spin is that the increase was caused by the Texas Heartbeat Act which took effect in September 2021.

For several reasons this is misleading. (2/6) The TX infant mortality rate data is not publicly available. We do not have a good sense of where these deaths are happening. It is possible that increased rate of illegal immigration might have played a role.
Sep 7, 2022 11 tweets 3 min read
(1/11) Pro-life friends, here is some analysis of the recent @WSJ poll on abortion.

It purportedly shows that 60 percent of Americans think abortion should be legal in "all or most cases" (2/11) Since Dobbs there has been a gain in sentiment in favor of legal abortion by about 5 to 6 percentage points.

This @WSJ poll is broadly consistent with that
Aug 3, 2022 7 tweets 2 min read
(1/7) Pro-Lifers, it was a tough night in Kansas. There are still more votes to be counted, but things do not look good for the "Value Them Both" Amendment.

Please do not despair, this was going to be an uphill battle for pro-lifers for a couple reasons. (2/7) First, a good body of academic research shows that money plays a large role in who wins statewide ballot propositions.

Since abortion is a multi-billion dollar industry subsidized by taxpayers, our opponents can almost always outspend us.
Jun 3, 2022 8 tweets 3 min read
(1/8) A new @Gallup poll shows a gain in pro-choice sentiment. However, pro-lifers need not be worried -- here's why (2/8) The poll shows 55% of Americans identify as "pro-choice." This is a 5 percentage point gain from the last Gallup poll taken in May 2021.

Regardless of how the questions were worded, there was a 5-6 percentage point gain in favor of legal abortion since last year's poll,
Oct 30, 2020 19 tweets 4 min read
(1/19) @philvischer & @SkyeJethani, I saw your video that questions whether overturning Roe is the key to reducing abortion.

Glad you're interested in the data. Evidence from the past 40 yrs shows electing pro-life candidates has helped reduce the U.S. abortion rate by over 50% (2/19) Overturning Roe is not an all or nothing proposition. Since 1973, Republican-appointed judges have not succeeded in overturning Roe v. Wade. However, Republican-appointed Supreme Court judges have upheld a variety of life-saving pro-life laws. These include: