1/The supplysituation for Bakhmut is hard but not critical. Even though several roads are cut there isn't just one way left into Bakhmut. We talk a lot of the 0504-road from Chasiv Yar/Vulytsya to Bakhmut via Khromove. But you can probably get supplies to Ivanivske from road 0504 There's a dirt road from Ivanivske to road 0504. Actually the last 40 meters is lacking (yellow arrow) but combat engineers could fix that in a couple of hours. So if you take control of Khromove the ukrainan forces could still get supplies through Ivanivske.

The main take from tonight's vlogg discussion was that Ukraine has managed the war better during 2023 than was expected. There where also doubts that Russia was able to a large offensive encompassing the whole area east of the Dniepr. Most thought that an offensive west of Kharkiv to threaten ukrainian forces east of the Oskil river and in Slavyansk was the most likely major alternative for a large offensive. I concur with that assessment and has written about it several times already.

According to my sources Russia produces 10 000 artillery shells a day, up from 5000 a year ago. In obe yearsctime the goal iscto produce 20 000 shells a day. Now they use 20 000 a day, down from 40-60 000a day last summer. They use 10 000 shells from their reserves every day.

https://twitter.com/rybar_en/status/1628811707874177024

At the beginning of the war Russia had up to 15 000 000 millions shells in storage. Most of thise must now be used up. Soon Russia must reduce it's shell consumption to 10 000 a day to match production.

Many who tries to look on the war as neutralt as possible are all the time accused of being vatniks and russian trolls. @DefensePolitics wrote about it recently. In Sweden the ultimate warmonger is the best-selling author of technothrillers Lars Wilderäng. He blocks everybody that doubt the inflated ukrainian claims of killed russian soldiers, but even supporters of Ukraine are blocked if they want to keep swedish weapons in Sweden to defend our country and don't send them to Ukraine.

As the war goes on we talk about other things in Sweden. One leading police chief, Nats Löfving, took his life today. He got all the blame for a scandal where one of his deputies, Linda Staaf, in the national police intelligence department where his mistress. He is dead, his mistress went and became mistress to the commander in chief of Sweden. He has now divorced his wife. For me it's very simple. A woman who becomes mistress to several leading and married men in the police and military are a security risk. The same goes for the men.

The modern woke west at it's worst.

https://twitter.com/OopsGuess/status/1624209072907247618

This is a joke, but I've seen this in real life. No one is immune to diversity thoughts. Even in the Sweden Democrat party, supposedly conservative and nationalistic, a member of an election committee I chaired, suggested that we should select a candidate for the elections that