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Data Visualisation and Data Integration specialist - Melbourne, Australia https://t.co/U523OiVeXr Support my projects by sponsoring me on Github
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Jul 19 6 tweets 2 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for the "Global - Other" countries, to late June.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant was fairly steady, finishing at 49%.

XFG.* "Stratus" grew strongly to 30%.

#COVID19 #GlobalOther #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image The volatility is due to the ragged timing of submissions from various countries.

This perspective excludes all the high-volume countries and regions that I routinely report on: Australia, NZ, Europe, Canada and the US. The remaining countries are aggregated into this report.
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Jul 19 7 tweets 3 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for the United States, to late June.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant grew to dominant at 40%, with LP.8.1.* at 28%.

Growth of the NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant is slower, at 16%.

#COVID19 #USA #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
🧵 Image For the US, the XFG.* "Stratus" variant shows a strong growth advantage of 5% per day (35% per week) over LP.8.1.*, with a crossover in mid-June.
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Jul 19 8 tweets 3 min read
Here's the latest variant picture with a global scope, to late June.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" and XFG.* "Stratus" variants are battling for dominance in an unclear picture.

XFG.* "Stratus" looks to have the best growth rate.

#COVID19 #Global #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image Here are the trends across all the International Traveller samples. From that perspective, XFG.* "Stratus" is dominant at 48%.

This dataset (mostly arrivals in the US and Japan) is arguably more random, as it is not skewed by sequencing volumes.
🧵 Image
Jul 13 6 tweets 2 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for the "Global - Other" countries, to mid-June.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant was steady at 51%.

XFG.* "Stratus" grew to 21%.

#COVID19 #GlobalOther #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image The volatility is due to the ragged timing of submissions from various countries.

This perspective excludes all the high-volume countries and regions that I routinely report on: Australia, NZ, Europe, Canada and the US. The remaining countries are aggregated into this report.
🧵
Jul 13 7 tweets 3 min read
Here's the latest variant picture with a global scope, to late June.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" and XFG.* "Stratus" variants are battling for dominance in an unclear picture. So far they have each been succeeding in different countries.

#COVID19 #Global #Nimbus #Stratus
🧵 Image Here are the trends across all the International Traveller samples. From that perspective, XFG.* "Stratus" is dominant at 45%.

This dataset (mostly arrivals in the US and Japan) is arguably more random, as it is not skewed by sequencing volumes.
🧵 Image
Jul 7 6 tweets 2 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for the "Global - Other" countries, to early June.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant grew again to 53%.

XFG.* "Stratus" fell to 17%.

#COVID19 #GlobalOther #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image The volatility is due to the ragged timing of submissions from various countries.

This perspective excludes all the high-volume countries and regions that I routinely report on: Australia, NZ, Europe, Canada and the US. The remaining countries are aggregated into this report.
🧵
Jul 7 6 tweets 2 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for the United States, to mid-June.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant looks less dominant as more data has been shared, down to 33%, with LP.8.1.* at 31%.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant finished at 14%.

#COVID19 #USA #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image For the US, the XFG.* "Stratus" variant shows a strong growth advantage of 5.4% per day (38% per week) over LP.8.1.*, with a crossover in early June.
🧵 Image
Jul 5 7 tweets 3 min read
Here's the latest variant picture with a global scope, to mid-June.

The LP.8.1.*, NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" and XFG.* "Stratus" variants are battling for dominance in an unclear picture.

#COVID19 #Global #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image Here are the trends across all the International Traveller samples. From that perspective, XFG.* "Stratus" remains dominant, at 50%.

This dataset (mostly arrivals in the US and Japan) is arguably more random, as it is not skewed by sequencing volumes.
🧵 Image
Jul 4 10 tweets 3 min read
Australian Influenza and RSV cases update:

Reported Influenza cases continued to rise for June, but at a steady pace. Up to April cases were running at "flunami" pace, it now looks like either a lower or later peak than the recent "big" years.

#Influenza #RSV #Australia
🧵 Image The trend for Influenza case growth in Victoria is significantly higher than the national picture. It is still tracking above the record-setting wave of 2024.
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Jun 28 7 tweets 2 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for the "Global - Other" countries, to early June.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant rose as high as 61%, but fell back in later samples to 26%.

XFG.* "Stratus" grew strongly to 49%.

#COVID19 #GlobalOther #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image This perspective excludes all the high-volume countries and regions that I routinely report on: Australia, NZ, Europe, Canada and the US. The remaining countries are aggregated into this report.
🧵
Jun 28 6 tweets 2 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for the United States, to early June.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant grew strongly to dominance at 41%, while LP.8.1.* fell to 25%.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant grew steadily, to 20%.

#COVID19 #USA #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
🧵 Image For the US, the XFG.* "Stratus" variant shows a strong growth advantage of 5.9% per day (41% per week) over LP.8.1.*, with a crossover in early June.
🧵 Image
Jun 28 8 tweets 2 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for Canada, to mid-June.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant grew strongly to dominance at around 36%. LP.8.1.* fell to around 28%.

#COVID19 #Canada #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image The XFG.* "Stratus" variant is also quite prevalent at around 19%. This is a novel scenario – until now I’ve only seen one or the other growing strongly in each country or region.
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Jun 28 8 tweets 3 min read
Here's the latest variant picture with a global scope, to early June.

The LP.8.1.*, NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" and XFG.* "Stratus" variants are battling for dominance in an unclear picture.

#COVID19 #Global #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image XFG.* "Stratus" seemed to have the best underlying momentum, until recently when samples from the US became less dominant.
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Jun 28 11 tweets 3 min read
Australian COVID-19 weekly stats update:

The risk estimate rose sharply again last week to 1.6% “Currently Infectious”, or 1-in-64. After 7 weeks, there’s still no peak in sight.

That implies a 38% chance that someone is infectious in a group of 30.

#COVID19 #Australia
🧵 Image Here’s the historical series that drives the risk estimate: Staff Cases (Weekly) in Residential Aged Care, to try to put this wave into context against the other waves since 2022.
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Jun 26 5 tweets 2 min read
I see @WHO have just added XFG.* (nicknamed "Stratus") as a "Variant Under Monitoring" (VUM).

I have it already dominant globally*, so only directing public health to pay attention to it now seems way too late to mitigate the waves it is now causing.
#COVID19 #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Here's their variant list, which links to their analysis on each VUM

🧵data.who.int/dashboards/cov…
Jun 22 8 tweets 3 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for the "Global - Other" countries, to early June.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant rose as high as 57%, but fell back in later samples to 29%.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant grew to 27%.

#COVID19 #GlobalOther #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image The odd-looking bump in the JN.1.* + FLiRT group is down to a relatively large batch of samples collected across 3 days in late May, from Kazakhstan. The LF.7.1.3 sub-variant was dominant.

That will likely be smoothed out as more data arrives from other countries.
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Jun 22 6 tweets 2 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for the United States, to early June.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant grew strongly to 35%, while LP.8.1.* fell to 28%.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant grew strongly, to 24%.

#COVID19 #USA #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
🧵 Image For the US, the XFG.* "Stratus" variant shows a strong growth advantage of 5.8% per day (41% per week) over LP.8.1.*, which predicts a crossover in early June (the data routinely lags).
🧵 Image
Jun 22 6 tweets 2 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for Australia, to early June.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant has continued to dominate at 53%, but growth appears to be slowing.

#COVID19 #Australia #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image The XFG.* "Stratus" variant is the likely next challenger as it has just become dominant globally. In Australia, XFG.* doubled since last week, to 9%.
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Jun 22 8 tweets 3 min read
Here's the latest variant picture with a global scope, to early June.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant has been struggling lately, at around 25%.

Growth of the XFG.* "Stratus" variant accelerated to 28%, and it is now dominant.

#COVID19 #Global #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 Image The odd-looking bump in the JN.1.* + FLiRT group is down to a relatively large batch of samples collected across 3 days in late May, from Kazakhstan. The LF.7.1.3 sub-variant was dominant.

That will likely be smoothed out as more data arrives from other countries.
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Jun 15 10 tweets 3 min read
Here's an animated map showing the spread of the PY.1 variant. The first sample was reported in Ontario, Canada in early March.

It was soon reported across North America and Europe and then spread globally. It has been most successful in India.
#SARSCoV2 #COVID19 #PY_1
🧵 Locations are approximate - typically country and state/province.
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Jun 14 7 tweets 2 min read
Here's the latest variant picture for the "Global - Other" countries, to late May.

The NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" variant rose as high as 56%, but fell back in later samples to 37%.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant grew to 28%.

#COVID19 #GlobalOther #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
🧵 This perspective excludes all the high-volume countries and regions that I routinely report on: Australia, NZ, Europe, Canada and the US. The remaining countries are aggregated into this report.
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